Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder will headline the UFC 326 main card as the co-main event on Saturday night, with an expected start time of 10:45 p.m. ET.
The UFC middleweight division is bracing for a grappling masterclass between two contenders in Borralho vs. de Ridder on Paramount+.
Find our Borralho vs. de Ridder prediction and UFC 326 expert pick for Saturday, March 7, including PrizePicks UFC picks and key stats for the middleweight bout.
We'll look at the paths to victory for both fighters in Borralho vs. Ridder co-main event; will the surging Brazilian be ready to handle world-class submission pressure, or will RDR’s grappling pressure drown him down the stretch in this must-win matchup?
You can predict UFC winners on PrizePicks Team Picks and earn money if you're right, including on Borralho vs. de Ridder, now available in 35 states.
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Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder Prediction for UFC 326 Co-Main Event
Caio Borralho (17-2-0) arrives at UFC 326 looking to make a statement after suffering his first defeat inside the Octagon against Nassourdine Imavov, the current No. 1 contender."The Natural" has systematically dismantled seven of the 185-pound division’s best while showcasing a highly well-rounded skill set.
Borralho’s capacity to dictate where the fight takes place makes it difficult for the opposition to get their own game going. Look for the Brazilian to utilize his kickboxing from the outside before initiating timely level changes.
Reinier de Ridder (21-3-0) is coming off a loss of his own after succumbing to the pace and pressure of Brendan Allen his last time out.
Prior to that loss, RDR rattled off four-straight wins, beating former middleweight champ Robert Whittaker in the process. The former two-division champion brings a world-class submission game, having forged his reputation by finishing top-tier competition.
However, "The Dutch Knight" faces a monumental test against a similarly formidable grappler. If de Ridder can enforce his relentless chain wrestling and secure dominant top control, he could put himself right back into title contention.
Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder Payouts at UFC 326
Caio Borralho enters the co-main event as the favorite, returning a 1.4x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if he wins. Reinier de Ridder is the underdog with a 2.77x payout if he wins — or a $270 payout on a $100 entry.
The winner of this fight will also re-enter the 185-pound title picture.
The favorite for method of victory, according to picks on PrizePicks, is Caio Borralho by decision, which pays out 2.27x on Yes., with Borralho by KO/TKO/DQ the second highest implied probability, with a 4x payout.
Fight Winner Payout: Caio Borralho 1.4x ($100 pays out $140) | Reinier de Ridder 2.7x
Borralho vs. de Ridder Method of Victory Payouts: Borralho by Decision (Yes 2.27x) , Borralho by KO/TKO/DQ (Yes 4x), de Ridder by Decision (Yes 5x)
Borralho vs. de Ridder To Go the Distance? Payouts: Yes – 1.58x | No – 2.17x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
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Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder Prediction for UFC 326 Co-Main Event
Here are some UFC stats to help you make your Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder in the UFC 326 co-main event on Paramount+. Make your prediction on UFC fights on PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you're right.
- Borralho’s striking efficiency (60% significant strike accuracy) should help him dictate the pace and keep the fight in his preferred range against the taller opponent.
- ‘The Natural’ brings a proven Octagon resume against elite 185-pound competition, boasting recent statement victories over top-tier names like Jared Cannonier and Abus Magomedov.
- De Ridder possesses glaring physical advantages, utilizing his 6-foot-4 frame and 78-inch reach to close the distance and initiate his relentless chain wrestling.
- "The Dutch Knight" is a prolific submission specialist, with 14 of his 21 career wins coming by submission, making early takedowns and dominant top control his clearest path to victory.
- The 33-year-old Borralho arrives as the fresher fighter — if he can exploit the cardio that plagued the 35-year-old de Ridder in his most recent Octagon appearance, the Brazilian could dictate the late rounds where he has the advantage.
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Borralho vs. de Ridder Start Time, How to Watch UFC 326
Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
Time: Main Card – 9 p.m. ET | Borralho vs. de Ridder Start Time – 11:00 p.m. ET (estimate)
Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada
TV: Paramount+
Borralho vs. de Ridder Stats for UFC 326 – Tale of the Tape
Here are the key fighter stats to know for Borralho vs. de Ridder in the UFC 326 co-main event.
Caio Borralho Stats for UFC 326
Overall Record: 17-2-0 (1 NC)
UFC Record: 7-1-0
Last 5 Fights: 4-1-0
Height: 6’1”
Reach: 75”
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute: 3.44
Takedowns Landed Per 15 Minutes: 1.28
Last Fight: Loss vs. Nassourdine Imavov by Decision
Finishes: 9 (5 KO/TKO/4 SUB)
Reinier de Ridder Stats for UFC 326
Overall Record: 21-3
UFC Record: 4-1-0
Last 5 Fights: 4-1-0
Height: 6’4”
Reach: 78”
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute: 2.20
Takedowns Landed Per 15 Minutes: 2.68
Last Fight: Loss vs. Brendan Allen by TKO
Finishes: 18 (4 KO/TKO/14 SUB)
Borralho vs. de Ridder Pick for UFC 326 Co-Main Event
Here is our Borralho vs. de Ridder pick for PrizePicks UFC in the UFC 326 co-main event tonight. Make your UFC picks via the PrizePicks MMA board and earn cash if you're right.
Caio Borralho – 39.5 Significant Strikes
- Caio Borralho lands 3.44 significant strikes per minute across his UFC career with an average fight time of 14:04.
- "The Natural" has landed 229 significant strikes (85 average) in his last three UFC fights.
- Borralho has proven his cardio in high-stakes bouts, going the full five-round distance against Jared Cannonier (153 significant strikes) and Nassourdine Imavov (66 significant strikes).
- Against Reinier de Ridder's forward-marching grappling style, Borralho's can use his accurate outside kickboxing — utilizing his 56% striking accuracy and elite 76% takedown defense.
- If he comes to the octagon with that strategy, Borralho's 40 total significant strikes projection aligns with his typical three-round output.
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Make Your Borralho vs. de Ridder Picks on PrizePicks
The UFC 326 co-main event pits two surging middleweights looking Caio Borralho and Reinier de Ridder, looking to climb the rankings for a future title shot.
The UFC 326 co-main event, Borralho vs. de Ridder, will be broadcast on Paramount+, live from T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, this Saturday, March 7. Before UFC 326 gets underway, it's time to lock in your picks on PrizePicks.
You can win real money with your UFC 326 predictions on PrizePicks — from the first fight of the night all the way to the BMF title fight. Pick your fighters and win cash if you're right. You can also predict winners in every UFC fight on PrizePicks Team Picks, now available in 35 states.
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