The Atlanta Braves and Minnesota Twins will be wrapping up a three-game series on Wednesday, August 19, at 1:40 p.m. ET. Ahead of the first pitch, the Braves are slightly favored on the road with a 1.81x payout to secure a victory on PrizePicks Team Picks.
Minnesota has won the first two games of the series, so Atlanta is hoping to avoid being swept on Wednesday.
Below, we'll break down our Braves vs. Twins prediction and picks for Wednesday’s MLB contest, including the run line, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Braves vs. Twins Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Wednesday, August 19
For the final game of the series, Braves SP AJ Smith-Shawver (4.37 xFIP across 4.1 IP) and Twins SP Taj Bradley (4.01 xFIP across 135.2 IP) will square off on the mound.
With such a small sample in 2026, it’s worth mentioning that Smith-Shawver produced a 6.27 xERA and .295 xBA in 44.1 IP in 2025, per Baseball Savant. He is making just his second start of the season, and in his first start on July 29, he permitted 4 hits and 2 ER while striking out 4 in 4.1 IP.
Entering his 25th start of the year, Bradley ranks in the 50th percentile in xERA (4.03) and 63rd percentile in xBA (.229). The concerning metrics for Bradley are his 27th percentile walk rate (10.2%), 18th percentile barrel rate (9.6%), and sixth percentile hard-hit rate (45.1%).
While the Braves have the fourth-best ISO (.174) over the last month, they also have the 11th-worst wRC+ (90) and 12th-worst wOBA (.304) during that span, per FanGraphs. As for the Twins, they have logged the 13th-worst wRC+ (95), 13th-worst wOBA (.307), and seventh-worst ISO (.139) in the same timeframe.
Despite their recent struggles at the plate, Atlanta returns the lowest payout to win the NL East (1.19x on PrizePicks Team Picks). Meanwhile, a prediction of “Yes” for Minnesota to make the playoffs carries a 3.7x payout while “No” holds a 1.21x payout.
Braves vs. Twins Winner Payout, Over/Under – Wednesday, August 19
The Braves enter Wednesday’s game as a slight road favorite against the Twins, returning a 1.81x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Braves vs. Twins game on PrizePicks.
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Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Braves vs. Twins Prediction on Winner – 8/19/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Braves vs. Twins prediction on the winner for Wednesday, August 19.
- Bradley has coughed up at least 3 ER in three straight starts.
- Across his three outings in August, Bradley has a 5.81 xFIP, 1.93 WHIP, 13.3% walk rate, and just a 16.0% strikeout rate.
- Against right-handed pitching, the Braves have the 15th-best wRC+ (101), 13th-best wOBA (.320), and ninth-best ISO (.170).
- According to Team Rankings, Atlanta has the ninth-highest win rate (55.0%) when facing a team in the American League.
- At the same time, Minnesota has the third-lowest win rate (36.6%) against NL teams.
- When playing at home, the Twins have the 14th-worst wRC+ (103) and ninth-worst ISO (.151).
- The Braves have been swept in a series just once, which took place on June 24 against the San Diego Padres.
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Braves vs. Twins Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 8/19/26
Here are the top Braves vs. Twins picks to target on Wednesday, August 19. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Matt Olson and Josh Bell.
Braves 1B Matt Olson vs. Twins: 5.5 Hitter Fantasy Score
- Against right-handed pitching, Olson boasts a 144 wRC+, .384 wOBA, and .303 ISO.
- Olson also has a 143 wRC+, .383 wOBA, and .313 ISO on the road compared to a 133 wRC+, .369 wOBA, and .258 ISO at home.
- Since the start of August, Olson has a 166 wRC+, .418 wOBA, and .424 ISO.
- Bradley is posting a 4.07 xFIP, 1.31 WHIP, and 1.58 HR/9 against lefties and marks of 3.91, 1.26, and 0.81 against righties.
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Twins 1B Josh Bell vs. Braves: 4.5 Hitter Fantasy Score
- Bell has a 110 wRC+, .329 wOBA, and .183 ISO against right-handers and a 108 wRC+, .326 wOBA, and .154 ISO vs. southpaws.
- Since the start of August, Bell has a 191 wRC+, .445 wOBA, and .241 ISO.
- Over his last 10 games, Bell has totaled 4 multi-hit performances, 2 HRs, 8 RBI, 1 double, and 6 runs scored.
- After recording a 12.6% barrel rate and 50.8% hard-hit rate in 2025, Smith-Shawver surrendered a 15.4% barrel rate and 53.8% hard-hit rate in 2026.
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The Braves are looking to avoid being swept for just the second time all season on Wednesday against the Twins. Can Atlanta get back in the win column despite Smith-Shawver making only his second start of the year?
Don’t wait until the first pitch happens — make your Braves vs. Twins picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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