On Monday, Ben Shelton vs. Tallon Griekspoor will open the night session at Arthur Ashe Stadium. We haven’t seen an American man win a Grand Slam singles title since Andy Roddick in 2003, but Shelton could be a contender in what’s looking like a wide-open field.
Below, we’ll break down our Ben Shelton vs. Tallon Griekspoor prediction, including recent form, match analysis, and a PrizePicks pick. The match is slated to start at approximately 7 p.m. ET on ESPN.
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Ben Shelton vs. Tallon Griekspoor Prediction, Favorite for the US Open First Round
Below are the payouts for who will win Monday’s Shelton vs. Griekspoor match, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
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Ben Shelton vs. Tallon Griekspoor US Open Prediction – Monday, August 31
Match Winner Payouts: Shelton 1.09x | Griekspoor 5.88x
Tournament Round: First Round
2026 Record Entering the US Open: Shelton 33-13 | Griekspoor 12-17
Head-to-Head Record: First Career Meeting
Scheduled Time: 7 p.m. ET
How to Watch: ESPN
Ben Shelton’s 2026 season has been an odd mix of highs and lows, as he’s won four titles — including his second Masters 1000 in Canada — but has also suffered early exits at many tournaments, including both the French Open and Wimbledon.
Still, there have been enough positives to give him confidence to make a deep run here in New York, particularly as a former US Open semifinalist in 2023. The upset of Novak Djokovic on Sunday night will only further open up a draw that was already missing Jannik Sinner as well.
The American will face Tallon Griekspoor, who's battled injuries and struggled with consistency throughout the season.
Following poor results in both the clay and grass swings, Griekspoor came alive at the Canadian Open earlier this month, reaching the round of 16 and defeating 2026 French Open champion Alexander Zverev along the way.
However, the momentum quickly evaporated, as Griekspoor would withdraw from the Cincinnati Open with an abdominal injury ahead of the US Open, once again putting his form into question.
Additionally, Griekspoor is a player who owns a sub-.500 career record on hard courts, and he’s been bounced in the first round of the US Open in three of the past four seasons.
Now at perhaps less than 100%, he’ll be taking on an American on home soil who won one of the tour’s biggest non-major tournaments just a couple of weeks ago.
Per Tennis Abstract’s Elo ratings, Shelton wins this match 76.9% of the time.
Make your Shelton vs. Griekspoor US Open prediction on PrizePicks now!
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Ben Shelton vs. Tallon Griekspoor Pick for the US Open on Monday
In his run to the Canadian Open title, Shelton won all six matches in straight sets. This included victories over Joao Fonseca, Jakub Mensik, Learner Tien, and Brandon Nakashima — all players currently ranked inside the top 30.
Per Tennis Data Innovations, the American owns the tour's fifth-best serve quality over the last 52 weeks. He may be able to pick up plenty of free points off his lethal serve against Griekspoor.
On hard courts this season, Shelton has won 71.0% of his service points while posting a 12.4% ace rate. That’s bad news for Griekspoor, who has won just 30.5% of his return points and allowed opponents to produce a sky-high 17.1% ace rate against him on the surface.
Over his career, Griekspoor is 8-33 vs. top-10 opponents.
Shelton vs. Griekspoor Pick – 3.5 Total Sets
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As a past US Open semifinalist, Ben Shelton is hoping to make a run at the title in New York this year. Will Tallon Griekspoor give him any problems on Monday night?
Don’t wait until Monday’s matches start — make your US Open predictions on PrizePicks now.
Pick your players, predict More or Less on their stats like games won or aces, or make match winner predictions with Team Picks, available in 36 states!
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