Sunday’s action at the US Open will conclude with Anna Kalinskaya taking on Emma Navarro on Arthur Ashe Stadium.
This should be a close matchup between a pair of players ranked inside the top 30. Kalinskaya is a two-time major quarterfinalist, but this is already her furthest career run at the US Open. While Navarro is a former US Open semifinalist, this is her first time advancing past the third round of a major in 2026.
Below, we’ll break down our Anna Kalinskaya vs. Emma Navarro prediction, including recent form, match analysis, and a PrizePicks pick. The match is slated to start at approximately 8:40 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Make your US Open predictions on PrizePicks for Sunday’s match now!
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Anna Kalinskaya vs. Emma Navarro Prediction, Favorite for the US Open Round of 16
Below are the payouts for who will win Sunday’s Kalinskaya vs. Navarro match, via PrizePicks.
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Anna Kalinskaya vs. Emma Navarro Prediction for US Open – Sunday, September 6
Match Winner Payouts: Kalinskaya 1.81x | Navarro 1.92x
Tournament Round: Round of 16
2026 Record Entering the US Open: Kalinskaya 24-17 | Navarro 21-19
Head-to-Head Record: Kalinskaya leads 2-0
Scheduled Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
How to Watch: ESPN
Emma Navarro’s modest 2026 record is a little misleading due to a health issue contributing to a 5-11 start to the year, but even with that in mind, she came into the US Open in questionable form following early exits in Washington, Toronto, and Cincinnati.
Well, she seems to have found a new level at just the right time after upsetting Wimbledon finalist Karolina Muchova 6-3, 7-5 in the third round.
Despite the American’s up-and-down year, she’s actually now 3-1 against top-10 opponents in 2026.
Anna Kalinskaya is fresh off a big win herself, defeating world No. 9 Elina Svitolina 6-3, 2-6, 6-3. Similar to Navarro, Kalinskaya was also in the midst of a quiet summer on hard courts, where she went 4-3 across the same three events, so her run to the round of 16 is also somewhat surprising.
Given that both players entered the tournament with mixed results and are coming off statement wins, the margins could be thin in this matchup. Further, the two have similar career tour-level win rates on hard courts, too, with Kalinskaya winning 55.1% of her matches and Navarro 56.1%.
The Russian leads the head-to-head 2-0, including a win over Navarro earlier this season in Doha. However, that match came during Navarro’s health-related slump, while their previous meeting came all the way back in 2022.
If there’s one reason Navarro could have an edge, it’s that Kalinskaya has struggled with double faults throughout this event. She’s already racked up 28 double faults, which includes committing 14 in her match against Svitolina.
If Kalinskaya continues to give away free points, that could give the American the advantage she needs to win a closely contested matchup.
Make your Kalinskaya vs. Navarro US Open prediction on PrizePicks now!
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Anna Kalinskaya vs. Emma Navarro for the US Open on Sunday
Kalinskaya Pick – 11.5 Fantasy Score
Note: In PrizePicks tennis fantasy scoring, players earn 10 points to start (match played), games won/lost are +1/-1, sets won/lost at +3/-3, aces are 0.5, while double faults count for -0.5.
Despite winning her last two matches, Kalinskaya has scored just 12 and 8 fantasy points.
Over the course of the tournament, the Russian has logged just 9 aces compared to her 28 double faults.
In Navarro's straight-sets win over Muchova, she won a whopping 52% of her return points.
Kalinskaya needed three sets to defeat Navarro in Doha, winning that match 7-5, 2-6, 2-6. Prior to this run to the round of 16, Kalinskaya had a middling 8-7 record in the main draw of the US Open.
Pick Navarro to win + Kalinskaya fantasy score on PrizePicks for higher payouts!
Make Your US Open Predictions Today on PrizePicks
Anna Kalinskaya and Emma Navarro should give us a good match in Sunday's nightcap. Who will advance to the next round?
Don’t wait until Sunday’s matches start — make your US Open predictions on PrizePicks now.
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