Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, MLB Picks for Sunday Night Baseball – 6/28/26

The New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox headlines Sunday Night Baseball on NBC, beginning at 7:20 p.m. ET on Sunday, June 28, with the Red Sox returning a 1.81x payout if they come out on top, per PrizePicks.

The Red Sox have come away with wins in the first two games of this three-game set against the Yankees. On Saturday, Boston recorded a 4-1 win thanks to solo home runs from OF Masataka Yoshida and 2B Anthony Seigler.

Below, we'll break down our Yankees vs. Red Sox prediction and picks for Sunday Night Baseball, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Yankees vs. Red Sox picks for Sunday Night Baseball on PrizePicks now!

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Sunday, June 28

In Sunday’s game, Red Sox SP Sonny Gray (3.69 xFIP across 76.1 innings) will face off against Yankees SP Carlos Rodon (3.96 xFIP in 41.1 innings) on the mound.

Gray has allowed 1 earned run or fewer in seven of his last 10 starts. According to Baseball Savant, the veteran right-hander has held hitters to a .248 expected batting average (xBA) in 2026.

Meanwhile, since returning from elbow surgery, Rodon has allowed no more than 3 earned runs in each of his eight starts. The Yankees left-hander has tallied a 26.6% strikeout rate, which ranks in the 79th percentile.

The Yankees’ lineup has been one of the more dangerous across the majors, despite OF Aaron Judge currently being sidelined with a rib fracture. According to FanGraphs, New York ranks second in wRC+ (111) in the majors. On the other hand, the Red Sox are 26th with a wRC+ of 91.

However, the Red Sox have managed to outscore the Yankees 10-2 in the first two games of this weekend’s series. Will that continue on Sunday Night Baseball?

Yankees vs. Red Sox Winner Payout, Over/Under – Sunday, June 28

The Red Sox enter Sunday Night Baseball as a home favorite against the Yankees, returning a 1.81x payout if they win outright via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Yankees vs. Red Sox game on PrizePicks.

• Spread: Boston Red Sox -1.5 (2.7x payout)
• Over/Under: 7.5 (1.75x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Yankees 1.92x | Red Sox 1.81x

Make your Yankees vs. Red Sox prediction on the winner or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction on Over/Under for Sunday Night Baseball – 6/28/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Yankees vs. Red Sox prediction on the over/under for Sunday, June 28.

• The under is 8-1-1 in the last 10 meetings between the Yankees and Red Sox.
• Rodon has held opposing batters to a .224 xBA, while limiting hitters to just a 5.8% barrel rate in 2026, which ranks in the 74th percentile.
• The Red Sox rank 29th in runs scored (323) and have averaged 4.29 runs per contest over their last seven games.
• Gray has yielded just 9 earned runs across his last five starts and produced a 78.2% groundball rate (78th percentile) this season.
• The under is 7-3 in the Red Sox’s last 10 games, while the under is 8-2 in the Yankees’ last 10 contests.

Lock in your Yankees vs. Red Sox prediction on PrizePicks now.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 6/28/26

Here are the top Yankees vs. Red Sox picks to target on Sunday, June 28. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Sonny Gray and Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Yankees 2B Jazz Chisholm Jr. vs. Red Sox: 5 Hitter Fantasy Score

• Chisholm is hitting .187 (14-for-75) with 6 home runs and 13 RBIs in June.
• Additionally, he has registered a .210 xBA this season, which ranks in the eighth percentile.
• The Yankees’ second baseman has racked up a .227/.329/.420 slash line against right-handed pitching.
• Chisholm has tallied just a 39.4% hard-hit rate in 2026, which ranks in the 42nd percentile.

Add Jazz Chisholm Jr. to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Red Sox SP Sonny Gray vs. Yankees: 6 Strikeouts

• Gray has registered at least 7 strikeouts in four of his last seven starts.
• The Yankees have recorded a 23.2% strikeout rate in 2026, the seventh-highest in the majors.
• Boston's starting pitcher has recorded a 33.6% chase rate this season, ranking in the 79th percentile.
• Gray has racked up at least 7 strikeouts in three of his last four starts against the Yankees.

Add Sonny Gray to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Yankees vs. Red Sox Picks for Sunday Night Baseball on PrizePicks

The Yankees and Red Sox are among the best rivalries in all of sports and have produced many closely contested matchups over the years. Based on a strong pitching matchup between Sonny Gray and Carlos Rodon, it’s possible that runs could be at a premium in Sunday Night Baseball's primetime affair.

Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your Yankees vs. Red Sox picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

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