Spain takes on Argentina in today’s 2026 World Cup Final set to kick off at 3 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. Lamine Yamal is in the lineup for Spain, just past his 19th birthday and looking to spark Spain’s offense to its second-ever World Cup title.
Spain enters as the favorite to win the match, with a 1.61x payout to win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
The 19-year-old star has only one goal this World Cup, but has been a big part of leading a Spain offense that has held 63.8% possession over its seven games, the second-highest rate of all 48 teams.
Below, we’ll break down our World Cup pick on Lamine Yamal’s chances to score a goal, featuring Argentina vs. Spain picks and projections found on PrizePicks.
Combine Spain + Yamal World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks
{{worldcup_sweeps_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Will Lamine Yamal Score a Goal vs. Argentina in the World Cup Final?
The World Cup Final fixture features one of the greatest soccer players of all-time in Argentina's Lionel Messi and one of the youngest up-and-coming stars in Spain’s 19-year-old Lamine Yamal.
While Spain is known for its defense that has held seven opponents to one goal, the offense has done its part behind Yamal, Mikel Oyarzabal, and Dani Olmo.
According to FotMob, Spain’s 13.3 expected goals (xG) are fourth in the field behind France, England, and Sunday’s opponent, Argentina. La Roja has scored 13 goals, for a 1.9 goals per match average, which ranks 13th among the 48 teams.
Lamal is third on the team in expected goals (1.5) through the World Cup, and tied for the lead in shots on target per 90 minutes. He's also second on the team in shots per 90, with 4.2.
Argentina has not played the cleanest defense, allowing 7 goals over 7 matches, with at least 1 goal allowed in all four knockout matches and in five straight matches overall.
Find our full Spain vs. Argentina prediction and lineups HERE
Lamine Yamal Pick, World Cup Stats to Target vs. Argentina
Lamine Yamal has been quiet on the scoresheet of late, with just 1 goal in the tournament, with 0 assists. But is that bound to change on the world's biggest stage?
Let's look at Yamal’s list of projections vs. Argentina, per PrizePicks Player Picks. Demon projections payout higher than standard, but are also longer to hit the More.
- 0.5 Goals (Demon)
- 4.5 Shots (Demon)
- 30.5 Pass Attempts
- 4.5 Shots on Goal (Demon)
- 3.5 Crosses
- 6 Attempted Dribbles
- 16.5 Fantasy Score
- 1.5 Tackles (Demon)
- 0.5 Assists (Demon)
- 0.5 Goal + Assist (Demon)
Now that we’ve laid out the wide variety of options for Lamine Yamal in the World Cup performance today, which projections stand out among the bunch?
Yamal to Score a Goal? 0.5 Goals (Demon)
- After being held scoreless on two shots in the first World Cup game vs. Cape Verde, Yamal announced his presence with a goal on five shots vs. South Africa, helping Spain to a 4-0 win.
- Between the UEFA European Championship, World Cup qualifying, UEFA Nations League, and this World Cup, Yamal has played 23 games for Spain, scoring 5 total goals.
- The Spanish youngster's FotMob rating is 7.43, 63rd among all World Cup players.
- According to Footy Stats, Yamal averaged 0.63 goals per 90 minutes for Barcelona in 2025-26, ranking in the 97th percentile of La Liga.
- Yamal is averaging 4.18 shots per 90 minutes in the World Cup; that's far less than his 6.51 per 90 in Qualifying.
- Despite putting 10 shots on goal, Yamal has only total 1.51 xG in the World Cup, per FotMob.
Lamine Yamal – 4.5 Shots
- Yamal has been one of the top attackers for Spain, leading his team with 3.3 shots per match.
- The 19-year-old’s 4.2 shots per 90 minutes rank 12th among all players in the World Cup.
- Yamal has 15 shots in the four knockout matches, good for 3.75 per match. That’s an improvement from the 8 total shots he took in the three group-stage matches.
- According to Footy Stats, Yamal averaged 4.51 shots per 90 minutes for Barcelona in 2025-26, ranking in the 99th percentile.
Combine Spain + Yamal World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks
{{worldcup_sweeps_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Make Spain vs. Argentina World Cup Final Picks on PrizePicks
Can the 19-year-old Yamal lead Spain to its second World Cup title in the past 16 years? If he's able to score his second goal while also helping the Spanish defense stop Lionel Messi, Spain will be well on its way to hoisting the trophy.
Don’t wait until lock. Make your Spain and Lamine Yamal picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right on every World Cup game.
Pick World Cup players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on World Cup match winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
Stay locked in on Playbook for daily World Cup 2026 predictions, picks, news, and analysis.
Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state.Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.
