#2 Utah vs. #23 Arizona Prediction, Spread, NCAAF Picks – Saturday, November 14

November 14, 2026

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CFB
AP Photo/Kyusung Gong
Utah Utes QB Devon Dampier during a college football game vs. Texas Tech.

We get a huge Big 12 matchup as #2 Utah travels to take on #23 Arizona, with kickoff at 10:30 p.m. ET on FOX. According to PrizePicks, Utah is a 1.5-point road favorite.

This is a key matchup in the race for a spot in the Big 12 Championship Game. Undefeated Utah has a clear path to the conference title tile, but Arizona is one of five teams in the conference with two losses. The Wildcats need to win this game to still have a chance to get the conference championship.

Arizona and Utah are two of the conference's better offenses, so we could see an offensive showcase in a crucial matchup. Per ESPN, the Utes have an 89.9% chance to make the College Football Playoff, with the Wildcats checking in at 8.4%.

Let’s dive into our #2 Utah vs. #23 Arizona prediction and picks, including the over/under, spread, and key player projections for PrizePicks.

Make your Utah vs. Arizona picks on PrizePicks now! 

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#2 Utah vs. #23 Arizona Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, November 14

Utah enters Saturday as a 1.5-point road favorite over Arizona, returning a 1.81x payout with a win.

Here are the full payouts for Utah vs. Arizona on PrizePicks, including winner payouts, the spread, and over/under.

Win Spread Over/Under
UTAH Utes 1.81x -1.5 | 1.92x o55.5 | 1.85x
ARIZ Wildcats 1.92x +1.5 | 1.81x u55.5 | 1.88x
Make your Utah vs. Arizona prediction on the spread on PrizePicks!

Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.


Utah is one of two FBS teams still undefeated and controls its path to both the Big 12 championship and a potential first-round bye in the College Football Playoff.

The Utes have been one of the Big 12's better rushing teams, ranking second in the conference in yards per carry (5.4) and third in TDs (13). They had a scare last week when RB Wayshawn Parker was injured and left a game against BYU, although insider Pete Thamel reports that Parker will play in this game. 

If Parker isn’t 100% healthy, Utah still has QB Devon Dampier, who ran for 89 yards and 2 rushing TDs with Parker hurt last game.

Dampier has always been a great runner, but his passing game has improved significantly. This year, he boasts career highs in completion rate (68.0%), yards per attempt (8.1), and passer rating (156.7).

Utah may need to maintain offensive balance, avoid third-and-long situations, and let Dampier’s legs play a role if it wants to keep its undefeated streak alive.

Arizona still aspires to reach the College Football Playoff, but it'd need a lot of help. Winning the Big 12 title would likely be the only opportunity, as losses to then-#15 BYU and then-#13 Texas Tech leave the Wildcats 0-2 against ranked opponents without a tiebreaker advantage.

The Wildcats' biggest advantage is that this game is in Tucson. Arizona's been nearly impossible to beat at home, winning seven straight games and 11 of its last 12.

It also helps that Arizona has QB Noah Fifita behind center, and he's probably the greatest QB ever to wear a Wildcats uniform, serving as the program’s all-time leader in passing yards (11,977) and passing TDs (94).

Fifita has carried this offense with his arm, and Arizona ranks in the 83rd percentile for passing play rate (53.7%) while the field general leads the Big 12 in completions (224). 

If Arizona turns this into a game where each QB relies on his arm, the advantage goes to Fifita. Dampier's improved as a passer, but if Arizona forces him to drop back consistently, the Wildcats could quiet the Utes’ offense.


Utah vs. Arizona Prediction on Over/Under – 11/14/26

Here are the key stats and predictions behind our Utah vs. Arizona prediction on the over/under for Saturday, November 14.

All stats are via CFB Stats, PFF, Fourth and Short, and Game on Paper unless otherwise noted.

  • Utah and Arizona are among the Big 12's better offenses, tied for fourth in PPG in conference play (32.8).
  • Both teams do well at generating yards, with Utah sitting fourth in the conference in yards per play (6.5) and Arizona fifth (6.4).
  • The offenses are also strong on third down, with Utah slotting in at second in the Big 12 in conversion rate (49.3%) and Arizona being third (45.7%).
  • Utah allows the seventh-highest explosiveness rate in the country (1.49). Arizona sits 63rd in explosiveness (1.27).
  • Even if Arizona can’t get into the end zone, it could add plenty of points thanks to the second-highest field goal hit rate in the conference (83.3%).  

Utah vs. Arizona Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 11/14/26

Here are the best Utah vs. Arizona picks to consider on Saturday, November 14. Saturday’s top Utah vs. Arizona picks to target on PrizePicks include QBs Devin Dampier and Noah Fifita.

Utah QB Devin Dampier vs. Arizona: 283.5 Pass + Rush Yards

  • Dampier has surpassed 300 combined passing and rushing yards in three of his last five games.
  • The standout Utes QB is an excellent runner, ranking 19th in the nation among QBs in rushing yards (535).
  • The Wildcats sit 10th in the conference for rushing yards allowed per game (159.0).
  • Arizona has struggled to pick off opposing signal-callers, recording just 1 INT in conference play, the fewest in the Big 12.
Add Devin Dampier + Utah to win your PrizePicks lineup now.

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Arizona QB Noah Fifita vs. Utah: 273.5 Pass Yards

  • Fifita is second in conference play in passing YPG (315.5). Utah’s defense is 11th in the conference in passing YPG ceded (268.5).
  • The Wildcats star leads the Big 12 in completion rate (71.5%). Last week, he faced TCU, which ranks third in completion rate allowed (56.0%). He finished that game with a 64.8% completion clip, 315 passing yards, and 2 TDs in a 29-28 win.
  • Fifita may have a clean pocket throughout the game, as Utah has the second-fewest sacks in Big 12 play (8).
  • On completions of 20 or more yards, Fifita ranks fifth in the nation in yards per attempt (19.5), sixth in completion rate (52.5%), and ninth in passing yards (781). Utah resides in the 28th percentile for completions of 20+ yards allowed (30).
Add Noah Fifita + Arizona to cover the spread your PrizePicks lineup now.

Make Utah vs. Arizona Picks on PrizePicks

This could be an important matchup for the CFP rankings. On one side, Utah is trying to stay undefeated. On the other, Arizona could play spoiler, but a win would give it a chance for a spot in the Big 12 Championship Game and a resume-boosting victory.

Don’t wait until kickoff — make your Utah vs. Arizona picks on PrizePicks now.

Just pick your players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in on your predictions if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders — now available in 36 states!

Keep it here with the Playbook for continued college football picks, predictions, futures, and more as we continue the 2026 season.

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John is a graduate from Quinnipiac University with a Master's Degree in Sports Journalism. With almost 15 years working in radio, TV and blogs, it includes stops at ESPN, NBC Sports, and Audacy. Along with being an avid sports fan, he is into fitness and cooking.