The Minnesota Twins and Milwaukee Brewers will wrap up a three-game series on Sunday, August 9, at 2:10 p.m. ET. Ahead of the series finale on Sunday, the Brewers are heavily favored at home with a 1.35x payout to secure a victory on PrizePicks Team Picks.
Minnesota and Milwaukee have split the first two games of the series, but SP Jacob Misiriowski is set to start for the Brewers on Sunday. Misiorowski is the overwhelming favorite to win the NL Cy Young, owning the lowest payout to earn the award (1.14x) on PrizePicks Team Picks.
Below, we'll break down our Twins vs. Brewers prediction and picks for Sunday’s MLB contest, including the run line, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Twins vs. Brewers Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Sunday, August 9
For the final game of the series, Twins SP Connor Prielipp (4.10 xFIP across 77.2 IP) and Brewers SP Jacob Misiorowski (1.95 xFIP across 127.0 IP) will face each other on the bump.
Amid injuries to Minnesota’s other starters, Prielipp is set to make his 16th start on Sunday, ranking in the 59th percentile in xBA (.231) and 62nd percentile in strikeout rate (24.1%), per Baseball Savant. Prielipp has yet to have a start this season in which he’s given up 0 ERs.
There aren’t enough adjectives in the dictionary to describe just how dominant Misiorowski has been this season. The hard-throwing righty is in the 99th percentile or better in xERA (1.91), xBA (.164), whiff rate (38.3%), and strikeout rate (40.6%) across his first 21 starts.
With Misiorowski rolling and Milwaukee having a strong 73-44 record, the Brewers have the lowest payout to win the NL Central (1.33x) on PrizePicks Team Picks.
In the last 30 days, the Twins have the 10th-worst wRC+ (88), 9th-worst wOBA (.297), and 10th-worst ISO (.144), per FanGraphs. As for the Brewers, they have the 10th-best wRC+ (105), 10th-best wOBA (.325), and 15th-best ISO (.156) in the same 30-day span.
Twins vs. Brewers Winner Payout, Over/Under – Sunday, August 9
The Brewers enter Sunday’s game as a massive home favorite against the Twins, returning a 1.35x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Twins vs. Brewers game on PrizePicks.
Make your Twins vs. Brewers prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 36 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Twins vs. Brewers Prediction on Over/Under – 8/9/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Twins vs. Brewers prediction on the total runs for Sunday, August 9.
- Against right-handed pitchers in the last month, the Twins have the sixth-worst wRC+ (81), fifth-worst wOBA (.288), and fifth-worst ISO (.138).
- When facing left-handed pitching, the Brewers have the 10th-worst wRC+ (92), 9th-worst wOBA (.305), and 3rd-worst ISO (.123).
- Prielipp has performed slightly better than his 4.75 ERA by posting a 4.04 xERA.
- Misiorowski has coughed up more than 2 ER in just 1 of his last 15 starts.
- Moreover, Misiorowski has tallied a 1.62 xFIP, 0.73 WHIP, and 43.3% strikeout rate at home, compared to a 2.37 xFIP, 0.74 WHIP, and 37.3% strikeout rate on the road.
- The Twins are 4-6 to the over in their last 10 games, while the Brewers have gone 2-8 to the over in the same span.
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Twins vs. Brewers Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 8/9/26
Here are the top Twins vs. Brewers picks to target on Sunday, August 9. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Jacob Misiorowski and Trevor Larnach.
Brewers SP Jacob Misiorowski vs. Twins: 8.5 Strikeouts
- Despite the Twins having the eighth-lowest strikeout rate (21.0%) against right-handed pitching, Misiorowski is not your typical pitcher.
- Misiorowski has racked up 10 or more Ks in four of his last five starts.
- Plus, Misiorowski has a 38.3% whiff rate, and Minnesota has the 10th-highest swinging strike rate (11.3%).
- Over his 12 home starts this season, Misiorowski has logged at least 9 Ks in 8 contests.
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Twins LF Trevor Larnach vs. Brewers: 4.5 Hitter Fantasy Score
- Larnach is always in danger of being replaced by a pinch hitter if the opposing team deploys a left-handed reliever.
- Additionally, Larnach has failed to record a hit in 7 of his last 10 appearances.
- Misiorowski is registering a 1.47 xFIP, 0.57 WHIP, and 47.7% strikeout rate against lefties, compared to a 2.56 xFIP, 0.94 WHIP, and 31.9% strikeout rate against righties.
- Across his first 21 starts, Misiorowski has permitted 3 or fewer hits in 12 appearances.
Add Trevor Larnach to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Make Twins vs. Brewers Picks on PrizePicks
Misiorowski gives the Brewers a massive pitching advantage against nearly anyone in the league, and Milwaukee is massively favored over Minnesota on Sunday. With the left-handed starter Prielipp getting the nod for the Twins, runs could be tough to come by on Sunday.
Don’t wait until the first pitch happens — make your Twins vs. Brewers picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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