Tunisia vs. Netherlands Prediction, Picks, Lineups for World Cup 2026

The Netherlands will close out their group-play schedule at the 2026 World Cup against Tunisia on Thursday, June 25, at 7:00 p.m. ET on FS1 (English) and Telemundo/Peacock (Spanish). This match will be played at Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City Stadium) in Kansas City, Missouri.

Ahead of Thursday’s game, the Netherlands are a heavy favorite, returning a 1.08x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they earn a win. While Tunisia has already been eliminated from the tournament, the Netherlands are still hoping to win Group F.

Below, we’ll break down our Tunisia vs. Netherlands prediction and picks for Thursday’s World Cup 2026 match, including the spread, total goals, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Tunisia vs. Netherlands prediction and World Cup picks on PrizePicks now!

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Tunisia vs. Netherlands World Cup 2026 Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Thursday, June 25

How to watch Tunisia vs. Netherlands: FS1 (English) / Telemundo and Peacock (Spanish)

Kickoff Time: 7:00 p.m. ET

Venue: Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City Stadium) in Kansas City, Missouri

Group: Group F

Following a 2-2 draw against Japan to begin the World Cup, the Netherlands cruised to a 5-1 victory over Sweden in their second game. With a win or a draw over Tunisia, the Oranje could become one of the next teams to qualify for the knockout stage.

That being said, a convincing win would all but ensure the Netherlands wins Group F, so the Oranje could make an aggressive push early in this game. It was 2 goals from F Brian Brobbey within the first 17 minutes of the match against Sweden that led to the Netherlands running away with the win.

According to PrizePicks Team Picks, the Netherlands has a 1.23x payout to win Group F and the sixth-lowest payout (10x) to win the World Cup.

As for Tunisia, they’re not playing for anything but pride at this point. After getting trounced 5-1 by Sweden and 4-0 by Japan in their first two matches, Tunisia has no chance of advancing to the Round of 32.

For a team like Tunisia, it was an honor to just be in this tournament again, as they’ve failed to make it out of the group stage in all seven of their World Cup appearances. At the same time, Tunisia could play spoiler against the Netherlands and at least come away with a point before making the trek home.

Just to show the discrepancy between these teams, our updated power rankings have the Netherlands at sixth and Tunisia at 48th.

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Favorite to Win, Spread, Total Goals – Thursday, June 25

The Netherlands enters Thursday’s game as the favorites, returning a 1.08x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks. Meanwhile, Tunisia will need to hold strong on defense to create any opportunities on the attack.

Here are the full payouts for the Tunisia vs. Netherlands match on PrizePicks.

• Winner Payout: Netherlands – 1.08x | Tie – 8.33x | Tunisia – 16.66x
• Spread: Netherlands -2.5 (1.85x Payout) 
• Total Goals: 3.5 (Over – 2x)
• Both Teams to Score: Yes 2.56x | No 1.47x

Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.

Make your Tunisia vs. Netherlands prediction on spread or goals on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

Tunisia vs. Netherlands Prediction on Spread for World Cup 2026 

Here are the key stats and trends for Tunisia vs. the Netherlands before making your World Cup 2026 predictions on PrizePicks.

• The Netherlands still needs to win Group F, and they have the depth to deploy a relentless attack against Tunisia, even if they attempt to limit minutes for key contributors.
• The Oranje took down Sweden by 4 goals, and Tunisia features a much worse defense.
• Tunisia has tallied the most goals conceded per match (4.5) and second-fewest saves per match (1.0), per FotMob.
• Plus, Tunisia has produced the second-fewest goals per match (0.5), the fewest xG (0.3), and the second-fewest shots on target per match (1.0).
• Meanwhile, the Netherlands has generated the second-most goals per match (3.5) and seventh-most shots on target per match (6.5).
• Moreover, the Netherlands can dominate the ball in this match, with the Oranje ranking 16th in average possession (55.4%). Tunisia is 32nd (44.6%).

Lock in your Tunisia vs. Netherlands prediction for the 2026 World Cup now!

Tunisia vs. Netherlands Lineups for World Cup 2026 – Thursday, June 25

Here are the projected Tunisia vs. Netherlands lineups for Thursday's World Cup group stage match. Lineups are not official and are based on historical data.

Tunisia Lineup vs. Netherlands Today

Projected Formation: 4-3-3

• Goalkeeper: Aymen Dahmen
• Defense: Ali Abdi, Montassar Talbi, Dylan Bronn, Yan Valery
• Midfield: Rani Khedira, Ellyes Skhiri, Hannibal Mejbri
• Forwards: Elias Achouri, Elias Saad, Sebastian Tounekti

Netherlands Lineup vs. Tunisia Today

Projected Formation: 4-2-3-1

• Goalkeeper: Bart Verbruggen
• Defense: Micky van de Ven, Cody Gakpo, Jan Paul van Hecke, Denzel Dumfries
• Midfield: Ryan Gravenberch, Frenkie de Jong, Tijjani Reinders
• Forwards: Cody Gakpo, Brian Brobbey, Crysencio Summerville

Tunisia vs. Netherlands Picks, Player Stats for World Cup: 6/25/26

Here are the top Tunisia vs. Netherlands player picks to target on Thursday, June 25. Today’s World Cup 2026 picks are headlined by Cody Gakpo and Virgil van Dijk.

Netherlands F Cody Gakpo vs. Tunisia 

Cody Gakpo Projections via PrizePicks: 3.5 Shots, 2 Shots Assisted, 1.5 Shots on Target (Demon), 18.5 Fantasy Score

• After being limited to 2 shots against Japan, Gakpo accrued 5 shots in the lopsided win over Sweden.
• Gakpo is pacing the Netherlands in shots per 90 minutes (3.6) and shots on target per 90 (2.6).
• Additionally, Gakpo is tied for the second-most chances created (2) in the World Cup for the Netherlands.
• Ahead of a favorable matchup, Gakpo is coming off a 2-goal and 1-assist performance.

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Netherlands DF Virgil van Dijk vs. Tunisia 

Virgil van Dijk Projections via PrizePicks: 94.5 Passes Attempted, 5 Clearances, 0.5 Shots on Target (Demon), 11.5 Fantasy Score

• The Netherlands should control the possession battle in this game, and van Dijk is trusted plenty in the back line.
• Against Japan in the opening match of the World Cup, van Dijk totaled 103 passes.
• Although Tunisia isn’t an extremely lethal squad, van Dijk has posted 8 clearances in each of his first two starts in this tournament.
• Regardless of the matchup, van Dijk always seems to be an aerial threat on set pieces.

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Make Your Tunisia vs. Netherlands Prediction for World Cup on PrizePicks

The Netherlands have an opportunity to win Group F with a dominant victory over Tunisia on Thursday. Can Tunisia put up any fight despite already being eliminated from the World Cup?

Don’t wait until lock. Make your Tunisia vs. Netherlands picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right on every World Cup game.

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