World Cup 2026 Group F features Netherlands, Japan, Sweden, and Tunisia, with group play starting June 14 when Netherlands faces Japan in one of the best early matchups of the group stage.
Netherlands enters as the Group F World Cup 2026 favorite on PrizePicks Team Picks — a prediction market, but Japan and Sweden both have enough quality players to make Group F competitive.
Before and during World Cup 2026, you can make real-money predictions on World Cup Group F, including which team will win or advance to the knockout stage on PrizePicks Team Picks.
Below, we’ll break down each of the Group F teams, including winner predictions, chances to advance, and the best World Cup 2026 Group F picks to consider on PrizePicks.
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World Cup 2026 Group F Teams, Favorites & Payouts
Here are the Group F teams and the payouts for each to win and advance to the knockout stage.
Who is in World Cup Group F?
Netherlands is the popular pick to win Group F, but Japan and Sweden both have real paths to advance, while Tunisia is seen as a longshot by the public.
- Netherlands
- Japan
- Sweden
- Tunisia
The top two teams from every group and the top eight third-place teams across all groups will advance to the World Cup knockout stage.
The payouts below indicate real-money earnings if a prediction is correct on PrizePicks Team Picks; for example, a 2x on a $100 entry would pay out $200 on PrizePicks Team Picks.
The lower the payout multiplier, the more likely the outcome, according to user picks.
Lock in your 2026 World Cup Group F Winner Pick on PrizePicks now
World Cup 2026 Group F Winner Favorites & Payouts
Here are the payouts for each team to win Group F, per PrizePicks Team Picks.
The Netherlands enters as a significant favorite, with Japan and Sweden not far behind. Tunisia is the biggest underdog to win the group based on pre-tournament payouts on PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Netherlands: Yes 1.78x | No 1.96x
- Japan: Yes 3.44x | No 1.28x
- Sweden: Yes 5.26x | No 1.13x
- Tunisia: Yes 10x | No 1.03x
Find more World Cup group predictions from our experts
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World Cup 2026 Group F to Advance to Knockout Stage Payouts
Here are the payouts for each team to advance to the knockout stage in Group F. According to PrizePicks Team Picks, Netherlands, Sweden, and Japan are all expected to advance through FIFA's expanded format, while Tunisia has a relatively low chance.
- Netherlands: Yes 1.04x | No 9.09x
- Japan: Yes 1.25x | No 3.44x
- Sweden: Yes 1.58x | No 2.22x
- Tunisia: Yes 2.38x | No 1.51x
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Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
2026 World Cup Group F Schedule: Game-by-Game
Here are the key matches in Group F that may have an outsized impact on the group winner:
- June 14: Netherlands vs. Japan – Arlington, Texas – 4 p.m. ET
- June 20: Netherlands vs. Sweden – Houston – 1 p.m. ET
- June 25: Japan vs. Sweden – Arlington, Texas – 7 p.m. ET
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2026 World Cup Group F Winner Prediction: Back Netherlands?
Netherlands to win Group F: Yes 1.78x | No 1.96x
Netherlands to Win 2026 World Cup: Yes 16.66x | No 1.02x
The Netherlands will look to build on their quarterfinal appearance in 2022 as they prepare for this year's tournament. Led by captain Virgil van Dijk, the Netherlands are considered a genuine threat to win the country's first World Cup title.
The Dutch breezed through World Cup qualifying, going unbeaten in eight games and winning six. After deep runs in both the Nations League and Euros over the past two years, Ronald Koeman's squad will hope to finally win its first major trophy since 1988.
Despite an outstanding qualifying run, their pre-tournament form has raised some questions among fans about whether Oranje have a genuine shot at going all the way.
The Dutch have won just one of three pre-tournament friendlies, most recently falling 1-0 to Algeria. The Netherlands’ final friendly against Uzbekistan on June 8 will need to show improvement before opening the tournament against Japan, in what could determine the winner of the group.
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Japan – 2026 World Cup Group F Prediction, Preview
To win Group F: Yes 3.44x | No 1.28x
To qualify for Knockout Stage: Yes 1.25x | No 3.44x
Japan shocked the world by topping the Group of Death at the 2022 World Cup. The Samurai Blue upset both Germany and Spain in the group stage before falling to Croatia on penalties in the Round of 16.
Moriyasu's squad will now look to build on that success at the 2026 World Cup. Japan enters in excellent form, having won six straight friendlies heading into the tournament. The Samurai Blue also dominated AFC World Cup qualifiers, losing just one of 16 matches while scoring 54 goals and conceding only three.
Japan will be without its leading qualifier scorer, Takumi Minamino, who tore his ACL late last year. Premier League winger Kaoru Mitoma will also miss the tournament after suffering a hamstring injury with Brighton.
Despite the absences, Japan has the roster to at least advance from Group F, and could again challenge for the top spot in the group, heavily depending on the result in the opening match.
Pick Japan to Win World Cup Group F on PrizePicks now!
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Sweden – World Cup Group F Prediction, Preview
To win Group F: Yes 5.26x | No 1.13x
To qualify for Knockout Stage: Yes 1.58x | No 2.22x
After missing the 2022 World Cup, Sweden has punched their ticket to this summer's tournament. Despite a disappointing qualifying campaign, Sweden squeezed through via the UEFA playoff.
The Swedes will look to replicate their 2018 run, when they reached the quarterfinals. Newly appointed manager Graham Potter will lean heavily on his star-studded front three of Viktor Gyokeres, Alexander Isak, and Anthony Elanga, who have combined for 41 international goals.
While Sweden isn't expected to win the group, they are still given a reasonable chance of advancing to the knockout rounds, according to PrizePicks Team Picks, where they are well over 50% chance to advance.
Sweden fell to Norway in their last friendly and has one more tune-up against Greece before opening the World Cup against Tunisia on June 14.
Pick Sweden to Win World Cup Group F on PrizePicks now!
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Tunisia – World Cup Group F Prediction, Preview
To win Group F: Yes 10x | No 1.03x
To qualify for Knockout Stage: Yes 2.38x | No 1.51x
Tunisia returns to its third consecutive World Cup appearance. The Eagles of Carthage are heavy underdogs to win or advance from Group F. Sabri Lamouchi's side dominated African qualifying, winning nine of ten games without conceding a single goal.
Notably, Lamouchi's 26-man roster does not include the squad's top scorer during qualifying, Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane. Instead, Tunisia will lean heavily on captain and Eintracht Frankfurt midfielder Ellyes Skhiri.
The defensive midfielder led Tunisia to a knockout-round appearance at AFCON earlier this year.
Tunisia will now look to reach the knockout stage of the World Cup for the first time in its history. Lamouchi’s squad has won just two games across the last two tournaments, including a memorable 1-0 upset of France in 2022. They open against Sweden, a side they have never faced before.
Pick Tunisia to Advance out of World Cup Group F on PrizePicks now!
Make World Cup Group Winner Predictions on PrizePicks
Will the Netherlands, Japan, and Sweden all advance as the current payouts on PrizePicks imply? Or can Tunisia shock the world and reach the knockout rounds for the first time?
Group F gets underway with a huge Netherlands vs. Japan matchup that very well could decide the winner of the group.
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