Top MLB Home Run Picks Today on PrizePicks – Tuesday, September 1

September 1, 2026

MLB
AP Photo/Stephanie Scarbrough
New York Yankees 1B Ben Rice celebrates during an MLB game against the Baltimore Orioles.

There's an absolutely loaded 15-game MLB slate on Tuesday, which ranges from the evening to late at night. The stars will be out as a new week of baseball continues, which could bring plenty of power production from the game's best sluggers.

Here at PrizePicks, we have plenty of home run projections on the board to add to your MLB picks today. Many hitters have already been singled out by users as popular home run picks for the day’s action.

Let’s dive into some of the most-picked MLB home run projections for Tuesday, September 1, including what makes each player a potential target for home run predictions.

Make your MLB home run picks for Tuesday, September 1 on PrizePicks now.  

There are plenty of factors to consider when projecting home runs, including the opposing pitcher, ballpark, weather, bat speed, barrel quality, and swing path.

Which players could be in good positions to hit a home run on Tuesday, September 1? Daily home run projections are listed as Demons on PrizePicks, coming with higher payouts as a result. With that said, home runs can only be selected as “More” than 0.5. 

Let’s take a look at the most popular home run picks today on PrizePicks. Picks are listed at time of writing.

  1. Cubs OF Pete Crow-Armstrong
  2. Dodgers DH Shohei Ohtani
  3. Braves 1B Matt Olson
  4. Yankees 1B Ben Rice
  5. Nationals SS CJ Abrams
  6. Rockies C Hunter Goodman
  7. Tigers 1B Spencer Torkelson
  8. Orioles 1B Pete Alonso
  9. Dodgers 3B Max Muncy
  10. Reds 1B Sal Stewart

Three home run picks stand out as potential targets today, all three going against pitchers that have given up a fair share of home run balls lately. Let’s dive into the list, including MLB weather reports from RotoGrinders.

Unless otherwise noted, data used in this article is from Baseball Savant or FanGraphs.


Mets OF Juan Soto

Game: Mets at Rays – 6:40 p.m. ET

Rays Starting Pitcher: Freddy Peralta (6-11, 4.10 xERA, 4.01 xFIP)

MLB Weather Report: Game played in a dome

  • Juan Soto’s 22 home runs lead the Mets and are top 20 in the National League.  
  • The Mets slugger ranks second among MLB hitters in xwOBA (.423), seventh in SLG (.543), and fifth in wRC+ at 159.
  • Soto hit a homer Sunday vs. Houston, ending an 11-game homer drought. 
  • Rays starter Freddy Peralta has allowed 5 home runs over his last five starts and at least 2 homers in six different games this year.  
Add Juan Soto to your PrizePicks MLB lineup now.

{{mlb_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}


Yankees 1B Ben Rice

Game: Yankees at Angels – 9:38 p.m. ET

Angels Starting Pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez (4-5, 5.46 xERA, 1.26 HR/9)

MLB Weather Report: 82 degrees, clear skies, 9 mph winds

  • Ben Rice’s 35 home runs are nearly double anyone else's on the Yankees and are the seventh-most in the majors. 
  • Rice is in the 95th percentile in xSLG (.510) and barrel rate (14.9%), while sitting in the 90th percentile in exit velocity (92.2 mph).  
  • The Dartmouth product is in the top 20 in nearly every major hitting category, including 11th in ISO (.273).
  • Angels starter Grayson Rodriguez has a 6.30 ERA, which is sixth-worst among all pitchers with at least 60 innings pitched.  
Add Juan Soto to your PrizePicks MLB lineup now.

Orioles 1B Pete Alonso

Game: Orioles at Rockies – 8:40 p.m. ET

Rockies Starting Pitcher: Gabriel Hughes (0-6, 4.67 xFIP, 3.61 xERA)

MLB Weather Report: 79 degrees, clear skies, 6 mph winds

  • Pete Alonso’s 32 home runs lead the Orioles and are the eighth-most in the majors.  
  • The Orioles slugger ranks in the 98th percentile among MLB hitters in xSLG (.546) and the 99th percentile for exit velo (94.2) and hard-hit percentage (57.1%).  
  • Alonso’s 9 home runs since August 9 are second-most, only trailing Cubs CF Pete Crow-Armstrong. 
  • Rockies starter Gabriel Hughes has allowed a long ball in five straight games, surrendering 26 ER in 23.1 IP over this time.   
Add Juan Soto to your PrizePicks MLB lineup now.

Make MLB Home Run Picks on PrizePicks

A full slate of 15 MLB games is on tap today as the calendar turns to September. Can Pete Alonso carry over his hot August into the new month, or will New York sluggers Juan Soto and Ben Rice add to their totals?

Don’t wait until first pitch on Tuesday — make your MLB home run picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 36 states.

Stay locked in on Playbook for daily MLB predictions, picks, and news throughout the 2026 MLB season.

Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state.Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

David Bearman spent 18 years with ESPN in their Stats & Information Department and overseeing their betting content. From 2023-25, he served as Chief Content Officer of Pro Football Network, overseeing all content, including coverage of Super Bowls 58 and 59. He is also the Founder of Betting with Bearman, a 3x a week betting newsletter and weekly podcast on Bleav Podcast Network.