All 30 MLB teams are in action on Tuesday, August 11, which means that there will be a ton of offensive firepower on the diamond. The slate begins with the Miami Marlins hosting the Pittsburgh Pirates at 6:40 p.m. ET and concludes with the Kansas City Royals taking on the Los Angeles Dodgers at 10:10 p.m. ET.
PrizePicks offers daily home run projections for all your MLB picks, and many hitters have already been targeted by users as some of the most popular home run picks throughout Tuesday’s schedule.
Below, we’ll break down the most-picked MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, including each player’s matchup, recent production, and what makes them a popular home run pick.
Make your MLB home run picks for Tuesday, August 11 on PrizePicks now.
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Top Home Run Picks Today – Tuesday, August 11
Slugging a home run is one of the more difficult achievements that a player can complete. As a result, it can be challenging to forecast which players can go yard on a given day.
Several factors can contribute to a certain player hitting a home run on a specific day. How hard has a player been hitting the ball recently, and has the opposing starter been serving up several fly balls? Could weather be a determining factor?
Home run projections are labeled as Demons on PrizePicks, which comes with a higher payout. You can only choose “More” on home run projections, which are set at 0.5.
Here’s a look at the most popular home run picks for today on PrizePicks as of writing.
- Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber
- Rockies C Hunter Goodman
- Yankees 1B Ben Rice
- Tigers C Dillon Dingler
- Dodgers DH Shohei Ohtani
- Rangers DH Joc Pederson
- Rays 3B Junior Caminero
- Cubs CF Pete Crow-Armstrong
Below, we’ll break down three matchups for today, including the opposing starting pitcher with advanced stats from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant, capped by a weather report via RotoGrinders.
Tigers C Dillon Dingler
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers – 6:40 p.m. ET
Guardians Starting Pitcher: Tanner Bibee (24 GS, 4-11, 4.23 xFIP, 39.6% hard-hit, 41.2 FB%)
MLB Weather Report: 79 degrees, 45% chance of rain, 4 mph winds to SSW
- Dingler has crushed a home run in three of his last six games.
- The Tigers’ star catcher has blasted 22 of his 26 home runs against right-handed pitching.
- Dingler has been extremely impressive in several offensive categories, posting a .513 xSLG (96th percentile), .285 xBA (93rd percentile), and an 11.4% barrel rate (72nd percentile).
- The 2026 All-Star has recorded career highs in both fly ball rate (43.1%) and home-run-to-fly-ball ratio (19.0%).
- Bibee has surrendered the sixth-most home runs (23) among MLB pitchers this season and is coming off an outing in which he served up three long balls to the New York Mets.
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Rangers DH Joc Pederson
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels – 9:38 p.m. ET
Angels Starting Pitcher: Ryan Johnson (10 GS, 2-6, 4.18 xFIP, 36.4% hard-hit, 47.6 FB%)
MLB Weather Report: 78 degrees, clear skies, 8 mph winds to SSW
- Pederson has mashed a team-high 21 home runs, including recently homering against the Baltimore Orioles on Friday.
- The two-time All-Star has really managed to tear the cover off the ball at times, recording a 49.8% hard-hit rate (90th percentile) and a 92.0 mph average exit velocity (88th percentile).
- Pederson has slugged 20 of his 21 home runs against right-handed pitching while recording a 23.6% HR/FB ratio (second highest of his career).
- Johnson has surrendered a 16.7% HR/FB clip to go along with a 2.31 HR/9 in 2026.
- The Angels’ right-hander has ceded at least 1 home run in seven consecutive starts.
Add Joc Pederson to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Rockies C Hunter Goodman
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks – 9:40 p.m. ET
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher: Mitch Bratt (6 GS, 1-1, 5.59 xFIP, 36.6% hard-hit, 50.6 FB%)
MLB Weather Report: Played in a dome
- Goodman has belted a career-high 34 home runs this season, including one against the St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday.
- The Rockies’ backstop has actually had more success against left-handed pitching, where he’s hitting .278 with 8 home runs.
- Goodman has recorded a career-high 45.5% fly ball rate, also tallying a 29.1% HR/FB rate.
- Bratt has yielded 4 home runs across his last five starts and owns a 1.30 HR/9 this season.
- The Diamondbacks’ starter has also surrendered a 50.6% fly ball rate, his highest at any level throughout his career.
Add Hunter Goodman to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Dingler has been swinging an extremely hot bat over the last week and will look to keep that hot streak going against the Guardians. In addition, Pederson and Goodman may also aim to go yard on Tuesday.
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