Top MLB Home Run Picks Today on PrizePicks – Saturday, May 30

All 30 MLB clubs are occupied on Saturday, as the league has a full 15-game slate ranging from early in the afternoon to late tonight. With the stars out, which ones could end up producing some highlights by way of a home run?

Here at PrizePicks, we have plenty of home run projections on the board to add to your MLB picks today. Many hitters have already been singled out by users as popular home run picks for the day’s action.

Let’s dive into some of the most-picked MLB home run projections for Saturday, May 30, including what makes each player a potential target for home run predictions. 

Make your MLB home run picks for Saturday, May 30 on PrizePicks now.  

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Top Home Run Picks Today – Saturday, May 30

Having the ability to hit a home run is nice, and some believe it just comes down to timing and strength. There’s so much more that goes into an out-of-the-parker, though, that must be accounted for.

First off, who’s on the mound? How fast was their pitch, and what kind of late movement did it have? How fast did the batter swing, and at what angle? Which part of the bat did the ball connect with? What are the dimensions of the outfield? What’s the weather like? All of this — and more — goes into whether a well-struck ball ends up being a homer. 

Daily home run projections are listed as Demons on PrizePicks, coming with higher payouts as a result. With that said, home runs can only be selected as “More” than 0.5. 

Let’s take a look at the most popular home run picks today on PrizePicks. Picks are listed at time of writing.

1. Yankees RF Aaron Judge
2. Astros DH Yordan Alvarez
3. Nationals OF James Wood
4. Mets LF Juan Soto
5. Twins CF Byron Buxton
6. Royals SS Bobby Witt Jr.
7. Angels CF Mike Trout
8. Cardinals RF Jordan Walker
9. Reds SS Elly De La Cruz
10. Mariners CF Julio Rodriguez

Three home run picks stand out as potential targets today. Let’s dive into the list, including a weather report from RotoGrinders.

Unless otherwise noted, data used in this article is from Baseball Savant or FanGraphs.

Nationals OF James Wood

Padres vs. Nationals – 4:05 p.m. ET

Padres Starting Pitcher: Michael King

MLB Weather Report: 72 degrees, clear skies, 13 mph north wind

• Wood is on absolute fire in year No. 3, setting career-high marks for ISO (.273), SLG (.545), and wRC+ (167). 
• The star outfielder has raised his average launch angle from 2.5 degrees as a rookie to 6.3 degrees in 2025 and 9.9 degrees in 2026. That’s come with annual barrel rate increases of 5.7% and 9.1%, respectively. 
• Wood’s hitting the ball in the air more often than ever, improving from a 26.6% fly ball rate last season to a significantly higher 40.8% mark this year.
• The 23-year-old is in the 100th percentile in xSLG (.636), average exit velocity (96.6 mph), hard-hit rate (61.2%), and more. 
• King, today’s starter for San Diego, owns a 9.2% barrel rate that sits in just the 32nd percentile. 

Add James Wood to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Mets LF Juan Soto

Marlins vs. Mets – 4:10 p.m. ET

Marlins Starting Pitcher: Tyler Phillips

MLB Weather Report: 61 degrees, clear skies, 18 mph north wind

• Speaking of personal bests in ISO, that’s precisely what Soto owns (.286) when casting aside the COVID-abbreviated 2020 campaign.
• Soto has gone nuclear in the month of May, slugging .596 with 9 home runs.
• While his fast-swing percentage is down 9.9% year-over-year, Soto’s squared-up swing (+4.4%) and contact (+3.9%) are both increased from 2025.
• The star outfielder resides in the 98th percentile for barrel rate (19.5%) and the 99th percentile in xSLG (.635). 
• Phillips owns a video game-like 0.27 HR/9 in 33.2 innings pitched, but he could be due for some regression in the near future. In fact, his barrel rate and fly ball rate allowed are up 1.1% and 5.2% since last year, respectively. On top of that, his 3.31 xERA is much worse than his actual ERA of 1.07. 

Add Juan Soto to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Twins CF Byron Buxton

Twins vs. Pirates – 4:05 p.m. ET

Pirates Starting Pitcher: Mitch Keller

MLB Weather Report: 72 degrees, clear skies, 10 mph north wind

• Buxton is enjoying one of his best seasons to date, raising his ISO to .309 and clubbing 17 home runs in just 224 plate appearances. For reference, he set a career high with 35 jacks in 452 PAs a year ago.
• Sixteen of Buxton's home runs have come against right-handed pitching this year.
• Launching the ball into the air has helped the veteran CF, as his 58.9% fly ball percentage is easily the highest of his MLB tenure (and 11.5% higher than 2025).
• The 32-year-old’s 19.4% barrel rate occupies the 97th percentile among all hitters this season.
• Keller has yielded a fly ball rate of 35.5% on average since 2023, right in line with his career figure of 34.2%.
• Pittsburgh’s righty hurler is in just the 54th percentile in hard-hit share at 38.1%. 

Add Byron Buxton to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make MLB Home Run Picks on PrizePicks

Saturday’s potential home run candidates make up an absolutely loaded list of sluggers. How many big-leaguers will club one out of the ballpark as the weekend rolls on? 

Don’t wait until first pitch — make your MLB home run picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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