Top MLB Home Run Picks Today on PrizePicks – Monday, June 8

June 8, 2026

MLB
AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez

On Monday, MLB has an eight-game slate with several intriguing matchups. Houston Astros DH Yordan Alvarez is one of several hitters who are worth keeping an eye on throughout Monday’s schedule.

PrizePicks offers daily home run projections for all your MLB picks, and many hitters have already been targeted by users as some of the most popular home run picks throughout Monday’s action.

Below, we’ll break down the most-picked MLB home run predictions on PrizePicks for Monday, including each player’s matchup, recent production, and what makes them a popular home run pick.

Make your MLB home run picks for Monday, June 8, on PrizePicks now.

{{mlb_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Top Home Run Picks Today – Monday, June 8

Belting a home run is one of the toughest accomplishments that a player can achieve on the diamond. As a result, it can be quite difficult to predict which player could launch a home run on a given day.

Several factors can contribute to a home run being hit each day. How hard has a player been hitting the ball lately? Has the opposing starter been surrendering several fly balls? Could weather conditions be a factor? 

Home run projections are labeled as Demons on PrizePicks, which comes with a higher payout. You can only choose “More” on home run projections, which are set at 0.5.

Here’s a look at the most popular home run picks for today on PrizePicks as of writing.

  1. Astros DH Yordan Alvarez
  2. Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber
  3. Mariners OF Julio Rodriguez
  4. Yankees 1B Ben Rice
  5. Giants DH Casey Schmitt
  6. Brewers 1B Jake Bauers
  7. Angels OF Mike Trout
  8. Nationals OF James Wood
  9. Athletics C Shea Langeliers
  10. Blue Jays 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Below, we’ll break down three matchups for today, including the opposing starting pitcher with advanced stats from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant, capped by a weather report via RotoGrinders.


Astros DH Yordan Alvarez 

Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels – 9:38 p.m. ET

Angels Starting Pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez (4 GS, 2-2, 5.05 xFIP, 50.0% hard-hit, 43.1% FB%)

MLB Weather Report: 72 degrees, clear skies, and winds 6 mph to left field

  • Alvarez has slugged 22 home runs in 2026, which is second behind Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber (23) for the league lead.
  • The Astros’ star has belted 14 of his 22 home runs against right-handed pitching this season.
  • Alvarez carries a 24.2% home run-to-fly ball rate (HR/FB) in 2026, with 2 home runs over his last six contests.
  • The Astros’ designated hitter has tallied a career-high 47.9% fly ball rate this season, while Rodriguez has surrendered a career-worst 43.1% fly ball rate.
  • Alvarez has also registered a .737 xSLG (100th percentile), an 18.6% barrel rate (99th), and a 54.2% hard-hit rate (97th).
  • Rodriguez has given up 4 home runs while also surrendering a 2.00 HR/9 and a career-worst 16.0% HR/FB rate this season. He has served up at least 1 home run in each of his last three outings.
Add Yordan Alvarez to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Giants DH Casey Schmitt

Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants – 9:45 p.m. ET

Nationals Starting Pitcher: Miles Mikolas (6 GS, 1-5, 4.49 xFIP, 42.0% hard-hit, 37.0% FB%)

MLB Weather Report: 60 degrees, clear skies, and winds 11 mph to center field.

  • Schmitt has belted 15 home runs this season, which leads the Giants.
  • The Giants’ slugger has blasted 12 of his 15 home runs against right-handed pitchers in 2026.
  • Schmitt sports a 15.8% HR/FB this season with 3 home runs coming over his last four games.
  • The Giants’ designated hitter has recorded a career-best 51.4% fly ball rate this season, while Mikolas has surrendered a 37.0% fly ball rate on the year.
  • Schmitt has also compiled a .508 xSLG (89th percentile), a 13.6% barrel rate (84th), and a .277 xBA (79th).
  • Mikolas has given up 14 home runs while also surrendering a career-high 2.24 HR/9 and a career-worst 19.7% HR/FB rate this season. He has also served up 5 home runs across his last four outings.
Add Casey Schmitt to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

{{mlb_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Brewers 1B Jake Bauers

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics – 10:05 p.m. ET

Athletics Starting Pitcher: Jeffrey Springs (13 GS, 3-6, 4.29 xFIP, 36.3% hard-hit, 44.3% FB%)

MLB Weather Report: 80 degrees, clear skies, and winds 11 mph to right field

  • Bauers has slugged 11 home runs in 2026, which leads the Brewers in that category.
  • The Brewers’ first baseman has a career-high 22.0% HR/FB this season with 2 home runs over his last five contests.
  • Bauers holds a 35.0% fly ball rate in 2026, while Springs has permitted a 44.3% fly ball rate on the season.
  • Bauers has also put together a 54.5% hard-hit rate (97th percentile), a 92.4 mph average exit velocity (92nd), and a 13.4% barrel rate (82nd).
  • Springs has surrendered 14 home runs while also yielding a 1.80 HR/9 and a 15.1% HR/FB rate in 2026. He has also served up 6 home runs across his last three outings.
Add Jake Bauers to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make MLB Home Run Picks on PrizePicks

Yordan Alvarez, Casey Schmitt, and Jake Bauers all boast phenomenal pitching matchups on Monday evening. Who could end up launching a big fly for home run predictions on PrizePicks?

Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your home run picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

Stay locked in on Playbook for daily MLB predictions, picks, and news every day all the way through the 2026 MLB season.

Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state.Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

Chris Bengel is a veteran sports writer with two decades of experience covering the NBA, NHL, and NFL for CBS Sports and 247Sports. He attended Rowan University where he earned a degree in journalism and is a tortured Philadelphia sports fan residing in Harrisburg, PA.