Tigers vs. Yankees Prediction, MLB Picks for Wednesday, July 1

Tigers vs. Yankees is set for first pitch at 1:35 p.m. ET on Wednesday, July 1, with the Yankees favored and returning a 1.66x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win.

The Yankees enter on a six-game losing streak that has seen them drop to second place in the American League East. They'll now try to break out of their funk with SP Will Warren (7-3, 3.75 ERA) on the mound. The Tigers will start Troy Melton (4-1, 2.39 ERA) as they try to sweep the three-game series.

Below, we’ll break down our Tigers vs. Yankees prediction and picks for Wednesday’s MLB game, including game winner, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

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Tigers vs. Yankees Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Wednesday, July 1

Not only have the Yankees lost six straight games, but they're 2-9 across their last 11 games. The main culprit for their struggles is their lineup. During that 11-game span, they averaged just 2.6 runs. Even in their two wins, they didn't score more than 4 runs in either game.

The Tigers don’t have a great hitting team, but their pitching staff has the potential to keep the Yankees’ lineup in a funk. Per FanGraphs, they possess the fifth-best xERA (3.75) and seventh-best WHIP (1.23) in baseball.

Tigers vs. Yankees Winner Payout, Over/Under – Wednesday, July 1

The Yankees enter Wednesday’s game as a home favorite against the Tigers, returning a 1.66x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks

Here are the full payouts for the Tigers vs. Yankees game on PrizePicks Team Picks — where you can make real money predictions on every MLB game!

• Spread: New York Yankees -1.5 (2.27x payout)
• Over/Under: 9.5 runs (1.88x payout Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Tigers 2.12x | Yankees 1.66x

Make your Tigers vs. Yankees prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.

Tigers vs. Yankees Prediction on Winner – 7/1/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Tigers vs. Yankees prediction on the winner for Wednesday, July 1.

• Over the first two games of this series, the Yankees have a total of just 7 hits. Their defense hasn’t been any better, committing 3 total errors.
• New York has recorded 4 or fewer hits in each of its last 5 games. The team is now batting .237, the seventh-lowest mark in baseball.
• During their recent scuffle, the Yankees have seen their strikeout rate increase to 23.6%, the sixth-highest in the majors.
• Yankees OF Trent Grisham (hamstring) and 3B Ryan McMahon (illness) will provide reinforcements soon, but they won’t help for this game as both players aren’t expected to be activated from the injured list until Friday.
• Melton has ceded 2 or fewer runs in five of his six starts. Across 83.1 career innings, he has a 3.51 xERA.

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Tigers vs. Yankees Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 7/1/26

Here are top Tigers vs. Yankees picks to target on Wednesday, July 1. Today's MLB picks for PrizePicks include Tigers OF Riley Greene and Tigers SP Troy Melton.

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Tigers OF Riley Greene vs. Yankees: 5 Hitter Fantasy Score

• After sitting out the first game of this series, Greene returned to hit 2 home runs in Tuesday’s 9-3 victory.
• Over his last nine games, the star outfielder is 10-for-34 (.294) with a .385 OBP and 3 home runs.
• After recording a 30.7% strikeout rate and 7.0% walk rate last season, Greene has shown an improved eye at the plate with a 26.9% K-rate and 12.3% BB-rate this season.
• This matchup against Warren works in the 25-year-old’s favor because he has a 140 wRC+ vs. right-handed pitchers this year.

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Tigers SP Troy Melton vs. Yankees: 4.5 Strikeouts

• Melton enters having posted at least 5 strikeouts in four straight starts.
• Although the young righty only has a 17.2% strikeout rate with the Tigers in 2026, he missed many bats in the minors. Across Double-A and Triple-A last year, he recorded a combined 32.4% strikeout rate.
• Tigers SP Casey Mize struck out 10 Yankees in the first game of this series, then SP Tarik Skubal followed that up with 9 strikeouts on Tuesday.
• Six of the last seven starting pitchers to face the Yankees have posted at least 7 strikeouts.

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The Yankees might have a difficult time ending their losing streak Wednesday, considering the slump their lineup is in. Melton will look to exploit their struggles and post his fifth straight game with at least 5 strikeouts. On the offensive side of things, Greene aims to make the most of a favorable matchup against a right-handed pitcher in Warren.

Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your Tigers vs. Yankees picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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