Here in Week 12, it’s a huge SEC matchup as No. 10 Texas (7-2) travels to Athens to take on No. 5 Georgia (8-1) at 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
The Longhorns are on a hot streak, winning four straight, propelling them to No. 10 and a spot in the College Football Playoff. This will be Texas’ third chance to beat a top-ten SEC opponent after defeating No. 6 Oklahoma (23-6) and No. 9 Vanderbilt (34-31).
Georgia is knocking on the door of the SEC Championship, as it sits in third place. The Bulldogs are even hotter after winning five straight, including a top-five win against Ole Miss.
Below, we’ll give you our Texas vs. Georgia prediction and Saturday CFB Picks for PrizePicks, including Arch Manning stat projections to target.
Texas vs. Georgia Prediction, Saturday CFB Picks
Here’s a closer look at our Texas vs. Georgia prediction and breakdown for Saturday night’s SEC matchup. Use PrizePicks to make picks on player projections for CFB Week 12.
Texas Longhorns Preview vs. Georgia
It’s been a wild season for the Longhorns. They started as the preseason No. 1 in the AP Poll but immediately lost to Ohio State, 14-7. Their biggest drop in the rankings came after losing to unranked Florida, 29-21, dropping from No. 9 to unranked. A win over No. 6 Oklahoma boosted them back into the top 25, and they’ve been in the top 10 since the first week of October.
Manning being an early Heisman Trophy candidate brought him a lot of attention. It didn’t start well with the Week 1 loss, when he threw for 170 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT. The former No. 1 recruit has rebounded recently, throwing for 12 TDs, 3 INTs, and averaging 257.3 yards over the last six games.
Texas is succeeding because it's protecting the ball. During its current four-game winning streak, the Longhorns have only had one giveaway.
Georgia Bulldogs Preview vs. Texas
Is Georgia a dynasty? Their opponent might think so; Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian points out during a press conference this week that the Bulldogs have appeared in four straight SEC championship games.
Georgia made QB Gunner Stockton its starter after Miami signed former Bulldogs QB Carson Beck. Stockton is thriving, ranking third in the country in quarterback rating (89.4).
Defensively, Georgia is once again one of the better programs, ranking 28th in points allowed per game (21.5), 21st in opponent average scoring margin (12.6), and 22nd in yards per game (325.5).
Texas vs. Georgia Picks for PrizePicks
Here are the Texas vs. Georgia picks to target in PrizePicks' real-money college football game, including QBs Arch Manning and Gunner Stockton.
Texas QB Arch Manning Projection: 240.5 Passing Yards
- Arch Manning has thrown for over 320 yards in back-to-back games.
- From Weeks 9-10, Manning was fifth in passing yards with 674 and second with 6 passing TDs.
- Georgia is 12th in the SEC in passing yards allowed per game to conference opponents (253.2) and ninth in completion percentage allowed (62.8).
- Texas is 18th in the country in average yards after catch (4.4).
- Georgia’s 3.8 yards allowed after the catch ranks 90th.
Georgia RB Nate Frazier Projection: 57.5 Rushing Yards
- Nate Frazier has rushed for fewer than 57 yards in three of his last five games.
- Frazier has rushed for over 60 yards against three of seven SEC opponents (Tennessee, Mississippi State, and Ole Miss). Each of those teams is in the bottom five of the SEC in average rushing yards allowed.
- The sophomore is less productive at home, averaging 4.8 yards per carry, compared to 6.0 on the road.
- Texas is second in defensive EPA per rush (-0.214, per CFB Graphs).
- UT is one of three programs in the country to allow worse than 80 rushing yards per game.
- The Longhorns have allowed just two SEC RBs to rush for over 60 yards.
Georgia QB Gunner Stockton Projection: 224.5 Passing Yards
- Gunner Stockton has more than 224 passing yards in two of his last three games.
- Stockton’s 67.5% completion rate is the second-best in the SEC against conference opponents.
- Texas is 13th in the SEC in passing yards allowed against conference foes (254.0).
- The Longhorns rank 88th in the FBS in opponent dropback success rate (39.9%, via CFB Graphs).
- Georgia’s 4.8 average yards post-catch ranks fifth in the FBS.
- Texas is allowing 3.8 yards after the catch, ranking 96th.
Make #10 Texas vs. #5 Georgia Predictions on PrizePicks
College Football Playoff spots are on the line in this marquee matchup. Texas and Georgia each come in with extended winning streaks, so with both teams playing well, it could turn into a stellar game.
Tonight's SEC bout is a perfect spot to make CFB picks on PrizePicks. Just pick your players, predict More or Less on their weekly stat projections, and cash in if your picks are correct.
Check out the Playbook throughout the remainder of the CFB season for more analysis.
