Sweden and Tunisia meet for the first time on matchday one of the 2026 World Cup. The Group F clash is the fifth and final match of a packed Sunday slate on June 14. Kickoff is set for 10:00 p.m. ET at the Estadio BBVA in Monterrey on FS1 and Telemundo.
Headed into Sunday's nightcap, Sweden is tabbed as a favorite with a 1.81x payout to win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Below, we’ll break down our Sweden vs. Tunisia prediction and picks for Sunday night’s World Cup 2026 match, including the spread, total goals, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your Sweden vs. Tunisia prediction and World Cup picks on PrizePicks now!
{{worldcup_generic_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Sweden vs. Tunisia World Cup 2026 Prediction, Spread, Total Goals – Sunday, June 14
How to watch Sweden vs. Tunisia: FS1 (English) / Telemundo/Peacock
Kickoff Time: 10 p.m. ET
Venue: Estadio BBVA, Monterrey, México
Group: Group F
These two sides meet on neutral ground, with Sweden given the slight edge heading in. However, we already saw an upset this morning when Australia (4.54x payout) defeated Türkiye (1.63x payout). Could we see another for Sunday's final match?
Sweden has the star power up front to threaten a Tunisian defense that has looked shaky heading into the tournament. Graham Potter's strike partnership of Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyökeres complements each other well, combining pace, strength, and technical quality in the final third. Tunisia's poor pre-tournament form makes Sweden's status as the favorite on Sunday evening understandable.
Claim the Viktor Gyökeres Discount promo for the Sweden vs. Tunisia matchup HERE
Potter has noticeably improved Sweden's attack in his short time in charge. The Swedes have created three or more big chances in three of their last four matches, a strong improvement on the 1.6 big chances per game they averaged during UEFA qualifiers.
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Favorite to Win, Spread, Total Goals – Sunday, June 14
Sweden enters Sunday’s game as favorites, returning a 1.81x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks. Tunisia, meanwhile, will look to put a difficult run of pre-tournament friendlies behind them and pull off an upset against a vulnerable Swedish side.
Here are the full payouts for the Sweden vs. Tunisia match on PrizePicks.
Winner Payout: Sweden – 1.81x | Tie – 3.22x | Tunisia – 4x
Spread: Sweden -1.5 (3.44x Payout)
Total Goals: 2.5 (Over – 2.12x)
Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.88x | No 1.85x
Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.
Make your Sweden vs. Tunisia prediction on spread or goals on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!
Sweden vs. Tunisia Prediction on Total Goals for World Cup 2026
Here are the key stats and trends for Sweden vs. Tunisia before making your World Cup 2026 predictions on PrizePicks.
- Sweden has failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 straight matches dating back to June of last year. Blågult conceded a group-high 12 goals in six matches during UEFA World Cup qualifiers.
- Tunisia scored just 1 al at the 2022 World Cup, coming in the country's most memorable result — a 1-0 upset of France on Matchday 3.
- The Eagles of Carthage averaged 1.8 goals per game during last year's AFCON campaign but also conceded 1.5 per game.
- Each of Sweden's last four matches heading into the tournament has featured 4 or more total goals.
- Tunisia failed to score in any of their last three pre-tournament friendlies, conceding 6 goals in that span.
Lock in your Sweden vs. Tunisia prediction for the 2026 World Cup now!
{{worldcup_sweeps_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Sweden vs. Tunisia Lineups for World Cup 2026 – Sunday, June 14
Here are the projected Sweden vs. Tunisia lineups for today's World Cup Group F match. Lineups are not official and are based on historical data.
Sweden Lineup vs. Tunisia Today
Projected Formation: 3-4-1-2
- Goalkeeper: Kristoffer Nordfelt
- Defense: Isak Hien, Victor Lindelöf, Gustaf Lagerbielke
- Midfield: Alexander Bernhardsson, Jesper Karlström, Yasin Ayari, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Benjamin Nygren
- Forwards: Alexander Isak, Viktor Gyökeres
Tunisia Lineup vs. Sweden Today
Projected Formation: 4-3-3
- Goalkeeper: Abdelmouhib Chamakh
- Defense: Ali Abdi, Montassar Talbi, Omar Rekik, Yan Valery
- Midfield: Rani Khédira, Hannibal Mejbri, Ellyes Skhiri
- Forwards: Ismaël Gharbi, Firas Chaouat, Elias Achouri
Sweden vs. Tunisia Picks, Player Stats for World Cup: 6/14/26
Here are the top Sweden vs. Tunisia player picks to target on PrizePicks for Sunday, June 14. Today’s World Cup 2026 picks are headlined by Alexander Isak, Ellyes Skhiri, and Abdelmouhib Chamakh.
Sweden F Alexander Isak Pick vs. Tunisia
Alexander Isak Projections via PrizePicks: 3 Shots, 0.5 Goal + Assist, 1.5 Shots on Target (Demon)
Despite an injury-riddled club season, Isak looks well-positioned for a strong showing at his first World Cup.
- Isak averaged just 1.4 shots per game in his last five starts for Liverpool across all competitions and had 3 shots in limited minutes across Sweden's final two pre-tournament friendlies.
- The Liverpool striker will look to add to his 16 career international goals, having found the net just once in six appearances for his country this past year.
- Isak averaged 1.2 shots on target per game in limited minutes during World Cup qualifying. Tunisia allowed 16 shots on target across their last two matches combined.
Combine Sweden + Alexander Isak World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks
Tunisia MF Ellyes Skhiri vs. Sweden
Ellyes Skhiri Projections via PrizePicks: 41.5 Passes Attempted, 1.5 Fouls (Demon), 1.5 Shots (Demon)
- Tunisia's captain failed to reach 40 passes in either of the team's final two pre-tournament friendlies. Skhiri averaged about 29 passes per game in the Bundesliga last season, and that was without starting in every match.
- Skhiri has not committed more than 1 foul in a match for Tunisia since November 2025, going 1 or fewer in eight straight international appearances.
- The 31-year-old ranked among Tunisia's leaders in shots per game during AFCON with 0.8 per contest but has failed to register a shot in the country's last four matches.
Combine Tunisia + Ellyes Skhiri World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks
Tunisia GK Abdelmouhib Chamakh vs. Sweden
Abdelmouhib Chamakh Projections via PrizePicks: 3 Goalie Saves, 23.5 Passes Attempted
Tunisia manager Sabri Lamouchi has yet to officially name his starting goalkeeper, with Chamakh the expected starter for the World Cup opener. Backup keeper Aymen Dahmen carries similar projections on PrizePicks should he get the nod.
- Chamakh made a combined 8 saves across his last two matches and will face a Swedish side that has registered 41 total shots over its last four games.
- The 24-year-old has appeared in just three friendlies for Tunisia, making 14 saves across those matches.
- Chamakh attempted 30 or more passes in two of his three starts as Tunisia's keeper.
Combine Tunisia + Abdelmouhib Chamakh World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks
{{worldcup_generic_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Make Your Sweden vs. Tunisia Prediction on PrizePicks
After missing the 2022 World Cup, Sweden looks to open this summer's tournament with a strong result against Tunisia. Meanwhile, the African side will hope to win their first World Cup opener since making their debut in the competition back in 1978. Will Tunisia pull off the upset to cap Sunday's World Cup 2026 action?
Don’t wait until lock. Make your Sweden vs. Tunisia picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right on every World Cup game.
Pick World Cup players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on World Cup match winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
Stay locked in on Playbook for daily World Cup 2026 predictions, picks, news, and analysis.
Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state.Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.
