The Big Game is finally here as the Seahawks and Patriots cap off the 2025-26 NFL season in Super Bowl 60.
The Seahawks vs. Patriots over/under is set at 45.5 points on PrizePicks Team Picks in Super Bowl LX, set to kick off at 6:30 p.m. ET on NBC.
The Patriots, 4-13 a year ago, are playing in their record 12th Super Bowl and looking for Vince Lombardi trophy No. 7 — something no other team has done. The Seahawks are back in the Super Bowl for the first time since losing to Tom Brady and the Pats in Super Bowl 49.
Below, we'll break down our Seahawks and Patriots over/under prediction for Super Bowl LX for PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 34 states.
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Seahawks vs. Patriots Over/Under, Spread, Payouts for Super Bowl LX
The Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots match up in the Super Bowl for the second time, after the Patriots won Super Bowl 49, 28-24. That game went over the pre-game total of 47.
The Seahawks and Patriots have played 20 previous times in their history, with Seattle holding an 11-9 advantage.
Seahawks vs. Patriots Over/Under, Spread for Super Bowl Sunday
The Seahawks vs. Patriots over/under opened at 46.5 on PrizePicks Team Picks after the NFL Conference Championships. Since then, the over/under has dropped one point to 45.5.
The Seahawks are Super Bowl favorites, holding steady as 4.5-point favorites on PrizePicks with a 1.81x payout to cover. The Patriots are underdogs with a 2.77x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Spread: Seattle Seahawks -4.5
Total: 45.5
Game Winner Payout: Patriots 2.77x | Seahawks 1.4x
Seahawks vs. Patriots Over/Under Prediction for Super Bowl LX
The Patriots won two home postseason games before going on the road and winning in Denver, 10-7, while Seattle defended its home turf with big wins over NFC West rivals San Francisco and the Rams.
Seattle and New England rank No. 1 and No. 2 in opponent points allowed per game this season, setting up what could be a defensive battle in Sunday's Super Bowl.
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The numbers we dive into below signal a lower-scoring environment in the Super Bowl. Both teams rank top-five in scoring defense, and the Patriots’ offense has slowed significantly in the postseason, averaging just 18 points per game after scoring nearly 29 per game in the regular season.
Super Bowl Over/Under Trends
- In 58 previous Super Bowls in which there was an over/under, 29 of the games have gone over, 28 under, with one push.
- After four-straight Super Bowls went under the total from 2018-21, the last three Super Bowls have featured two overs and a push.
- The under has hit in six of the last 10 Super Bowls.
- When the Super Bowl total is set in the 40s, the under has hit about 77.8% of the time over the past decade.
Seattle Seahawks Preview vs. Patriots
- For the Seahawks, nine of 17 regular-season games went over and both postseason games went over the projected total.
- Seattle’s two postseason games totaled 47 and 58, both over the listed 45.5 for Super Bowl 60
- The Seahawks finished the regular season first in the league in scoring defense (17.2 PPG), sixth in total defense (285.9 YPG), third in rushing (91.9), and second in pass yards per play (5.5).
- The Seahawks were the top-ranked defense in the NFL, per DVOA.
- On the offensive side, Seattle finished third in scoring (28.4 PPG), eighth in total offense (351.4), eighth in passing (228.1), 10th in rushing (123.3), and 10th in DVOA.
New England Patriots Preview vs. Seahawks
- 11 of the Patriots' 17 regular-season games went over the projected total. In the postseason, two of the three went under.
- The Patriots' postseason games have totaled 19, 44, and 17 points — all three of which are below the listed 45.5 of Super Bowl 60.
- With totals at 45.5 or higher this season, the Patriots have gone over in five of eight instances.
- New England ended the regular season second in scoring (28.8), third in total offense (279.4 yards per game), fourth in passing (250.4), and sixth in rushing (128.9). The Pats finished third in DVOA offense.
- In the postseason, those offense averages have dropped to 18 points per game, 278.3 total yards, 130.7 rushing yards, and 147.7 passing yards.
- On the defensive side, the Patriots are fourth in scoring defense (18.8 PPG) and eighth in total defense (295.2) this season.
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Make Seahawks vs. Patriots Predictions on PrizePicks
The Patriots and Seahawks in Super Bowl 60 kicks off Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET on NBC, and there are clear paths for this game going either over or under the total.
However, season-long signals from the top two scoring defenses and recent Super Bowl history give credence to a Super Bowl won by stand-up defense.
For Super Bowl place to get real money action with your NFL predictions than on PrizePicks.
Make your picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 34 states! Make your Super Bowl LX picks and earn money if you're right.
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