Jaguars vs. Ravens Prediction, Pick Against the Spread for Thursday Night Football

The Thursday Night Football matchup in Week 9 will pit the Jacksonville Jaguars against the Baltimore Ravens on Prime Video at 8:15 p.m. ET. The Jaguars enter the game as 9.5-point road favorites on PrizePicks.

Jacksonville is on a decent stretch of winning four of its last five games, most recently blowing out the Indianapolis Colts 42-7 in Week 8. With a 5-2 record, the Jaguars have a 3-game lead over the Houston Texans for first place in the AFC South.

As for the Ravens, they're heading in the wrong direction with QB Lamar Jackson missing time with a thumb injury. Although Baltimore has acquired QB Jacoby Brissett with backup QB Tyler Huntley out for the season, the Ravens turn to third-string QB Joe Fagnano on Thursday in hopes of snapping a 3-game losing streak.

Below, we’ll break down our Jaguars vs. Ravens prediction and pick against the spread from PrizePicks for Thursday Night Football in NFL Week 9. 

Make your Jaguars vs. Ravens prediction on PrizePicks for MNF!

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Jaguars vs. Ravens Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for Thursday Night Football Week 9

The Jaguars enter Thursday’s game as 9.5-point home favorites against the Ravens, returning a 1.17x payout on PrizePicks if they win outright.

Here are the full payouts for the Jaguars vs. Ravens game on Thursday Night Football, via PrizePicks. 

PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Make your Jaguars vs. Ravens prediction on the spread on PrizePicks.

Entering Week 9, the Jaguars have cemented themselves as one of the most balanced teams in the NFL. In terms of DVOA, Jacksonville is the most well-rounded team, being the only club to rank top five in both offensive (17.3%) and defensive (-15.2%) DVOA, per FTN.

This certainly looks like the most consistent version of QB Trevor Lawrence we’ve seen since he was drafted in 2021. Per RBSDM, he's produced the sixth-most adjusted EPA/play (0.26), the ninth-highest success rate (51.0%), and the ninth-highest completion percentage over expected (+3.9%) among 35 qualified QBs.

On top of Jacksonville having the fourth-fewest giveaways (5), it has the sixth-most takeaways (12). Liam Coen’s squad has been taking care of the rock and giving an efficient offense more possessions consistently.

The Ravens had the makings of a contender early before Jackson sustained an ankle injury. Sadly, on his first play back from a 3-game absence in Week 8, he suffered a thumb injury that will force him to miss even more time.

With Jackson making an early exit against the Buffalo Bills in Week 8, the Ravens lost 36-10, and things are looking bleak with Fagnano starting. For a Baltimore team that may lean on RB Derrick Henry amid its injuries, Jacksonville’s defense is one of the worst matchups they could ask for.

The Jaguars boast the best rushing defense in DVOA (-33.4%) this season.

Jaguars vs. Ravens Prediction on Spread for Thursday Night Football Week 9

Here are the key stats and trends behind our Jaguars vs. Ravens pick against the spread for Thursday Night Football on November 5.

• Jacksonville has gone 24 straight games without allowing a 75-yard rusher, and Henry is posting the sixth-fewest yards per attempt (4.0) among the 19 RBs with 100 or more attempts.
• During the Ravens’ current losing streak, they are 30th in EPA/play (-0.06) and success rate (37.9%) on the offensive side of the ball.
• Baltimore’s defense is also 21st in EPA/play (0.10) and 28th in success rate allowed (49.7%) during that span.
• The Jaguars have been favored by 8.5 points or more in three games; they're 2-1 against the spread (ATS) in those contests.
• That includes last week’s 42-7 win over the Colts and a 34-10 victory over the Cleveland Browns in Week 1.
• The Ravens have the third-worst record ATS record (2-6) in 2026.

Lock in your Jaguars vs. Ravens picks on PrizePicks before kickoff!

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Make Jaguars vs. Ravens Picks on PrizePicks

The Jaguars have the makeup of a contending team entering Week 9, and they’ll face a Jackson-less Ravens squad on Thursday Night Football. Even with Baltimore still having pieces on both sides of the ball, it’s tough to envision a competitive environment at M&T Bank Stadium.

Don't wait until kickoff — make your Jaguars vs. Ravens picks on PrizePicks now for Week 9 and earn real money if you're right.

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