There is no shortage of MLB games on Saturday, March 28, and one of the notable matchups will feature the Kansas City Royals vs. the Atlanta Braves on FOX at 7:15 p.m. ET.
The Royals and Braves got their seasons started on Friday, with Atlanta earning a 6-0 victory at home.
Below, we’ll break down our Royals vs. Braves prediction and picks for Saturday’s matchup. Make your MLB picks on PrizePicks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Royals vs. Braves Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The second game of the series is expected to feature Royals SP Michael Wacha (4.56 xFIP in 2025) and Braves SP Reynaldo Lopez (3.44 xFIP in 2024; 5.0 IP in 2025) squaring off on the mound.
It was Braves 2B Ozzie Albies who got the party started for Atlanta on Friday, hitting a homer in the first inning. DH Drake Baldwin and OF Michael Harris II also delivered HRs, while star OF Ronald Acuna Jr. surprisingly finished 0-for-5 with 3 strikeouts in the leadoff spot.
The Royals couldn’t get much of anything going at the plate with Braves SP Chris Sale dealing, as Kansas City logged a total of only 5 hits and 8 strikeouts. The Royals were unable to put a run on the scoreboard, yet SS Bobby Witt Jr. still led the way with multiple hits in 4 plate appearances.
Royals vs. Braves Spread, Over/Under
The Royals enter Saturday’s game as road underdogs, returning a 2.27x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Braves are home favorites with a 1.63x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: Braves -1.5 (2.32x payout)
- Over/Under: 8.5 Runs (1.96x payout on over)
- Game Winner Payout: Royals 2.27x | Braves 1.63x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Royals vs. Braves Prediction on Over/Under – 3/28/26
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Royals vs. Braves prediction on the run total for Saturday, March 28, on PrizePicks.
- The Royals averaged 4.32 runs per game on the road, compared to only 3.72 runs per game at home in 2025.
- According to Baseball Savant, Michael Wacha resided in the 38th percentile in xERA (4.19), 22nd percentile in xBA (.257), and 14th percentile in strikeout rate (17.6%) last season.
- Wacha also notched a woeful 4.93 xFIP and just a 14.7% strikeout rate on the road last year, per FanGraphs.
- For context, the veteran pitcher posted a 4.23 xFIP and 20.1% strikeout rate at Kauffman Stadium.
- Reynaldo Lopez hasn’t made a regular-season start since March 28 of the 2025 campaign.
- Due to potential rust for Lopez, the Braves could go to their bullpen sooner than they’d like in his first start of the season.
- Atlanta’s bullpen had the 12th-worst xFIP (4.22) and eighth-worst HR/9 (1.23) among reliever units in 2025.
- Missing Ronald Acuna Jr. to begin last season, the Braves finished the 2025 campaign strong with the 10th-best wRC+ (107), ninth-best wOBA (.324), and 10th-best ISO (.167) for the second half of the season.
Royals vs. Braves Picks for PrizePicks Today: 3/28/26
Here are the top Royals vs. Braves picks to target for Saturday, March 28, on PrizePicks. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks are headlined by Braves 1B Matt Olson and Royals 1B Vinnie Pasquantino.
Braves 1B Matt Olson vs. Royals Projection: 6 Hitter Fantasy Score
- Wacha registered a 4.70 xFIP and 16.9% strikeout rate when facing left-handed hitters in 2025, per FanGraphs.
- Matt Olson accrued at least a 121 wRC+ and .344 wOBA in four of the past five seasons.
- Olson also earned a 144 wRC+, .378 wOBA, and .227 ISO vs. righties last year.
- Those numbers jumped up to a 159 wRC+, .400 wOBA, and .260 ISO when facing a right-handed pitcher at home a season ago.
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Royals 1B Vinnie Pasquantino vs. Braves Projection: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
- Vinnie Pasquantino posted career-best marks in HRs (32), RBIs (113), and ISO (.211) last season.
- As a left-handed hitter, Pasquantino produced a 132 wRC+, .364 wOBA, and .230 ISO vs. righties in 2025.
- Excluding his 5 innings from 2025, Reynaldo Lopez had a 3.86 xFIP, .307 BABIP, and 1.38 WHIP vs. left-handed sluggers in 2024.
- For context, he recorded a 3.01 xFIP, .267 BABIP, and 0.82 WHIP vs. right-handed sluggers in 2024.
Make Royals vs. Braves Picks on PrizePicks
As a potential contender in the AL Central, the Royals likely want to avoid two consecutive losses to begin the season. The Braves, on the other hand, could secure a series win with a victory on Saturday.
You can make your Royals vs. Braves picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued MLB predictions, picks, and news throughout the 2026 season.
