The Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies game is set for first pitch at 8:40 p.m. ET on Friday, July 17 at Coors Field, with the Rockies entering as favorites and returning a 1.81x payout to win, via PrizePicks.
Both the Reds (43-52) and Rockies (39-59) sit in last place in their respective divisions following the All-Star Break. Cincinnati started 20-11 through the first month but owns a 23-41 mark since May 1 and has sunk to the bottom of the National League Central.
Colorado finished with the worst record in baseball last season at 43-119, but the Rockies have made significant improvements to come within four victories of their 2025 win total already. Still, there's more work to do.
Below, we'll break down our Reds vs. Rockies prediction and picks for Friday's MLB game, including the winner, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Reds vs. Rockies Prediction, Winner, Over/Under – Friday, July 17
The Reds captured a pair of games in the Bronx over the Yankees in late June but spiraled to a 6-13 record heading into the break. Manager Terry Francona’s squad lost five of six series, including all three on their recent homestand to the Orioles, Phillies, and Cubs.
Colorado showed signs of life in late June with home series victories over Pittsburgh and Boston. Following a home series win against San Francisco, the Rockies stumbled to a 2-5 mark in a pair of road series defeats to the Dodgers and Giants.
The Rockies’ pitching staff certainly isn’t helping, allowing league highs in xBA (.274) and xSLG (.458). Offensively, Colorado sits fifth in wOBA (.327), but its xwOBA slides to 26th alongside Arizona at .309, according to FanGraphs.
Cincinnati and Colorado each rank in the bottom eight in wRC+, with the Rockies at 92 and the Reds at 90. When facing right-handed starting pitchers, that number drops to 84 for Cincinnati.
The Reds won two of three meetings with the Rockies at Great American Ballpark in late April and are 7-2 against Colorado since the start of 2025.
Reds vs. Rockies Winner, Over/Under – Friday, July 17
The Rockies enter Friday’s game as slight home favorites against the Reds, returning a 1.81x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Reds vs. Rockies game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: Colorado Rockies -1.5 (2.5x payout)
- Over/Under: 11.5 (1.75x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Reds 1.92x | Rockies 1.81x
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Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Reds vs. Rockies Prediction on Winner – Friday, July 17
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Reds vs. Rockies prediction on winner for Friday, July 17.
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- Reds P Brady Singer has compiled 5 or more strikeouts in seven consecutive starts.
- Cincinnati’s offense has struck out 525 times against opposing starters, the second-most in the league.
- Rockies P Gabriel Hughes struck out 7 batters in his first MLB start against the Dodgers on July 8 in 6 innings.
- The Rockies are tied for the fourth-lowest xwOBA at .309 according to Baseball Savant. This is actually an improvement from its xwOBA of .294 last season.
- In the last 21 series openers, the Reds have produced a dreadful 5-16 mark.
- The Rockies are 6-2 in their past eight home series openers, scoring at least 7 runs five times.
- Both pitching staffs rank in the bottom five of barrel rate allowed, with Colorado sitting at 9.0% and Cincinnati at 9.1%.
Reds vs. Rockies Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: Friday, July 17
Here are top Reds vs. Rockies picks to target on Friday, July 17. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include DH Eugenio Suarez and C Hunter Goodman.
Reds DH Eugenio Suarez vs. Rockies Projection: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI
- Suarez sits in the 10th percentile or worse in xwOBA (.248) and xSLG (.287) against right-handed pitching.
- In half of the last 16 games, Suarez has eclipsed this projection, including the final two outings against the Cubs.
- Out of Suarez’s 11 home runs, only 2 have come on the road.
- Suarez owns a .199 xBA against four-seam fastballs, which is Hughes’ most frequent pitch (57.8%).
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Rockies C Hunter Goodman vs. Reds Projection: 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBI
- Goodman has been held below this projection in six consecutive games. With that said, he has an average of 3.75 HRR in his last four home outings.
- Since hitting 3 home runs at Minnesota on June 27, Goodman has knocked out 2 homers in the last 13 games.
- Goodman owns an incredible xBA of .386, xSLG of .591, and xwOBA of .463 against sinkers. Singer’s most frequent pitch is the sinker (47.9%), allowing an xSLG of .467 and xBA of .279.
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Cincinnati and Colorado can only go up in the second half, as the two National League squads clash in Denver. Who will come out on top in this battle of last-place teams at Coors Field?
Don’t wait until lock — make your Reds vs. Rockies picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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