Reds vs. Brewers Prediction, MLB Picks for Thursday, July 2

Reds vs. Brewers is set for first pitch at 2:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, July 2, with the Brewers returning a 1.47x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they secure a win.

As far as starting pitching matchups go, it doesn’t get much better than this one. Getting the nod for the Brewers is SP Jacob Misiorowski (9-3, 1.45 ERA), who is one of the front runners to win the NL Cy Young Award. The Reds will counter with their own young emerging star in SP Chase Burns (9-1, 2.36 ERA).

Below, we’ll break down our Reds vs. Brewers prediction and picks for Thursday’s MLB game, including game winner, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

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Reds vs. Brewers Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Thursday, July 2

The Brewers have won the first three games of this series, holding the Reds to 3 or fewer runs in each matchup. Cincinnati’s lineup has struggled for much of the season, scoring the ninth-fewest runs in baseball. Meanwhile, the Brewers have scored the fifth-most.

While both teams will deploy excellent starting pitchers, the Brewers have the edge in the bullpen. Their relievers have a 3.60 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP, while the Reds’ bullpen has a 4.88 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP. Cincinnati’s pen has been taken deep 49 times, compared to the Brewers’ relievers giving up 33 long balls.

Reds vs. Brewers Winner Payout, Over/Under – Thursday, July 2

The Brewers enter Thursday’s game as a home favorite against the Reds, returning a 1.47x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Reds vs. Brewers game on PrizePicks Team Picks — where you can make real money predictions on every MLB game!

• Spread: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (2.12x payout)
• Over/Under: 6.5 runs (1.78x payout Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Reds 2.56x | Brewers 1.47x

Make your Reds vs. Brewers prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.

Reds vs. Brewers Prediction on Winner – 7/2/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Reds vs. Brewers prediction on the winner for Thursday, July 2.

• The Brewers are 28-17 at home in 2026, with the Reds owning a dismal 20-23 road record.
• Milwaukee’s +127 run differential is the second-best mark in the majors. Cincinnati has a -58 run differential.
• As good as Burns has been, he hasn't pitched more than 6 innings in a start since May 3. That’s a concern, especially given how poorly the Reds’ bullpen has performed.
• Misiorowski has provided the Brewers with more length, logging at least 7 innings in four of his last six outings.
• The Brewers’ star hurler has given up 1 or no runs in nine of his last 10 starts. The last time he gave up more than a run at home was April 25, when the Pirates got to him for 3 runs over 6 innings.

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Reds vs. Brewers Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 7/2/26

Here are top Reds vs. Brewers picks to target on Thursday, July 2. Today's MLB picks for PrizePicks include Brewers SP Jacob Misiorowski and Reds OF Noelvi Marte.

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Brewers SP Jacob Misiorowski vs. Reds: 3.5 Hits Allowed

• Misiorowski has ceded just 49 hits over 99 innings. Opponents are batting .143 against him, resulting in his sparkling 0.77 WHIP.
• The 24-year-old misses a ton of bats, generating a 38.8% strikeout rate. At home, that increases to a tremendous 41.3% mark.
• The Reds already have problems making contact, posting the highest strikeout rate (24.9%) in baseball, according to FanGraphs.
• Cincinnati is batting .228 with a .691 OPS when facing right-handed pitchers. That’s far worse than their .242 average and .758 OPS against lefties.

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Reds OF Noelvi Marte vs. Brewers: 3.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

• Although Marte has 2 home runs over his last nine games, he is 4-for-29 (.138) at the plate with a 28.1% strikeout rate during that span.
• The young outfielder is only batting .200 with a 72 wRC+ this season. For his career, he is a .247 hitter with an 85 wRC+.
• Marte hasn't made much loud contact, recording a 6.8% barrel rate and a 31.5% hard-hit rate this year.
• In 33 games, the once-heralded prospect has recorded multiple hits only twice.

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Make Reds vs. Brewers Picks on PrizePicks

We have a battle of aces Thursday with Misiorowski facing Burns. The Reds could have a difficult time picking up hits against the Brewers’ star — especially Marte, who is already slumping at the plate.

Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your Reds vs. Brewers picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

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