Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction, MLB Picks for Tuesday, August 11

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays is set for first pitch at 7:07 p.m. ET on Tuesday, August 11, with the Blue Jays favored and returning a 1.66x payout if they win, via PrizePicks.

The Blue Jays will have a significant advantage in the starting pitching department with SP Dylan Cease (7-5, 2.28 ERA) on the mound. The Red Sox will turn to SP Patrick Sandoval (1-0, 3.38 ERA), who's making only his sixth start of the season.

Below, we’ll break down our Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prediction and picks for Tuesday’s MLB clash, including game winner, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

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Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Tuesday, August 11

The Blue Jays took the first game of this series on Monday with a narrow 2-1 victory. Their offense continued to struggle, which has been one of the main reasons why they have the worst record in the AL East. They've scored the second-fewest runs and posted the lowest OPS (.679) in baseball.

The Red Sox don’t have great overall hitting numbers for the season, but they have been much better down the stretch. Over the last 30 days, they have the fourth-highest OPS (.781) and also scored the most runs in the majors during that span.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Winner Payout, Over/Under – Tuesday, August 11

The Blue Jays enter Tuesday’s game as a home favorite against the Red Sox, returning a 1.66x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays game on PrizePicks Team Picks — where you can make real-money predictions on every MLB game!

Make your Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 36 states!

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction on Winner – 8/11/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prediction on the winner for Tuesday, August 11.

• The Blue Jays are 8-4 over their last 12 games. Their pitching staff led the way, allowing an average of just 3.4 runs per matchup.
• The Red Sox have lost three games in a row, scoring a total of just 7 runs during that span.
• Boston is 27th in baseball in wRC+ against right-handed pitchers (93), per FanGraphs.
• Cease allowed 1 or no runs in five of his last six starts. In each of those outings, he logged at least 6 innings. Over three starts against the Red Sox this year, he gave up a combined 4 runs and posted 24 strikeouts across 19.2 innings.
• After giving up 21 home runs across 168 innings last season, the Blue Jays’ righty has only permitted 7 homers over 126.1 innings this year.

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Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 8/11/26

Here are top Red Sox vs. Blue Jays picks to target on Tuesday, August 11. Today's MLB picks for PrizePicks include C Alejandro Kirk and 2B Nick Sogard.

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Blue Jays C Alejandro Kirk vs. Red Sox: 5.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

• Prior to receiving Monday off for rest, Kirk had turned things around at the plate. Over his last 15 games, he's 18-for-52 (.346) with 2 home runs, 9 RBI, and a .390 OBP.
• During his recent hot streak, the 27-year-old posted a 13.6% strikeout rate and an 8.5% walk rate.
• Although Kirk only has a .264 wOBA and a .076 ISO on the road, he has a .338 wOBA and a .141 ISO at home.
• Sandoval has a 1.67 WHIP over 24 innings. That's usually been an area of concern for him given his career 1.40 WHIP.

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Red Sox 2B Nick Sogard vs. Blue Jays: 5.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

• The Red Sox acquired Curtis Mead from the Nationals to play second base, but he fractured his wrist in his second game with the team. That has created playing time for Sogard, who's appeared in 10 straight games.
• Over those 10 games, the 28-year-old hit just 9-for-39 (.231) with no RBI. He did have 9 walks to go along with his 9 strikeouts.
• Across 252 career plate appearances in the majors, Sogard has yet to hit a home run.
• Cease has a 36.4% strikeout rate and has held opposing hitters to just a .178 batting average in 2026.

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After taking the first game of their series against the Red Sox on Monday, the Blue Jays are in a favorable position to win again with their ace Cease on the mound. He could make for a long night for Sogard, who already doesn’t bring much power to the plate.

For the Blue Jays, Kirk aims to stay hot in a matchup against Sandoval, who has struggled to keep hitters off base for much of his career.

Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your Red Sox vs. Blue Jays picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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