Rays vs. Yankees Prediction, MLB Picks for Sunday, May 24

The Tampa Bay Rays (34-15) and New York Yankees (30-22) will conclude a three-game series on Sunday, May 24, at 1:35 p.m. ET. The second game of the set was postponed due to inclement weather on Saturday, so that contest will take place on another day.

Before Sunday’s American League East showdown gets underway, the Yankees are home favorites with a 1.72x payout if they defeat the Rays, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Below, we'll break down our Rays vs. Yankees prediction and picks for Sunday’s MLB contest, including the run line, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Rays vs. Yankees prediction on PrizePicks for today’s game.

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Rays vs. Yankees Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Sunday, May 24

To wrap up this series, it will be the Rays’ Drew Rasmussen (3.18 xFIP across 9 starts and 48 IP in 2026) and the Yankees’ Ryan Weathers (2.74 xFIP across 9 starts and 50.1 IP) toeing the rubber.

While Rasmussen doesn’t have the flashy strikeout metrics, he’s in the 69th percentile in xERA (3.40), 96th percentile in walk rate (4.6%), and 77th percentile in groundball rate (49.6%), via Baseball Savant. 

The Rays have been one of the hottest teams in May, tallying an impressive 16-3 record this month. Across the last 14 days, Tampa Bay’s bats sport the best wRC+ (127), best wOBA (.357), and ninth-best ISO (.162), per FanGraphs.

As the Rays have earned the second-best record in the entire league, they possess the second-highest payout (5.55x) to win the American League pennant, via PrizePicks Team Picks. Only the Yankees have a higher payout (3.22x).

Weathers is well on his way to setting a career-best mark in innings pitched, though his 45th percentile xERA (4.12) and 38th percentile in xBA (.251) are potential concerns moving forward.

New York’s lineup has gone a bit cold recently, posting the 15th-worst wRC+ (94), 13th-worst wOBA (.305), and eighth-highest strikeout rate (25.3%) in the last 14 days.

Despite that being the case, a prediction of “Yes” on the Yankees to win the World Series carries a 6.25x payout, via PrizePicks Team Picks. The Los Angeles Dodgers are the only team above New York with a 3.57x payout on “Yes."

Rays vs. Yankees Winner Payout, Over/Under – Sunday, May 24

The Yankees enter Sunday’s game as home favorites, returning a 1.72x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Rays vs. Yankees game on PrizePicks.

• Spread: New York Yankees -1.5 (2.5x payout)
• Over/Under: 7.5 (2x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Rays 2.04x | Yankees 1.72x

Make your Rays vs. Yankees prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Rays vs. Yankees Prediction on Winner – 5/24/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Rays vs. Yankees prediction on the winner for Sunday, May 24.

Lock in your Rays vs. Yankees prediction on PrizePicks now.

• The Rays have the pitching advantage with Rasmussen on the mound, as he’s recorded a win in four of his last five starts. Tampa Bay has also gone 6-1 outright in his last seven outings.
• On May 12 against the Yankees, the Rays won 5-4 with Rasmussen on the bump.
• While the Yankees are certainly capable of getting hot at the plate, Rasmussen limits loud contact with his 82nd percentile hard-hit rate (32.4%).
• Tampa Bay has the third-best win rate (63.6%) when playing as road underdogs, earning a 7-4 record in that split. Furthermore, the Rays have the sixth-best win rate as the visiting team (60.0%) in 2026.
• Besides Weathers’ other potential concerning metrics mentioned above, he’s in the 14th percentile in barrel rate (11.6%) and 26th percentile in hard-hit rate (43.1%).
• Despite Weathers also boasting a 91st percentile strikeout rate (29.9%), the Rays have the second-lowest strikeout rate (17.4%) against southpaws.
• Weathers is logging a 1.19 WHIP, .306 BABIP, and 1.83 HR/9 at home this year compared to a 1.00 WHIP, .270 BABIP, and 0.56 HR/9 on the road.

Rays vs. Yankees Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks: 5/24/26

Here are the top Rays vs. Yankees picks to target on PrizePicks for Sunday, May 24. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Junior Caminero and Paul Goldschmidt.

Rays 3B Junior Caminero vs. Yankees: 5.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

• Junior Caminero is currently on a six-game hitting streak, and he’s totaled 3 multi-hit outings, 2 HRs, 8 RBI, 2 doubles, and 6 runs in that span.
• Against left-handed pitching, Caminero has a stellar 154 wRC+, .396 wOBA, .208 ISO, and just an 8.5% strikeout rate.
• Although his home splits are better, Caminero still has a solid 126 wRC+, .355 wOBA, and .198 ISO on the road.
• Weathers is permitting a 3.15 xFIP, 1.15 WHIP, and 1.76 HR/9 to righties in 2026. He has a 0.94 xFIP, 1.07 WHIP, and 0.00 HR/9 to lefties.

Add Junior Caminero to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Yankees 1B Paul Goldschmidt vs. Rays: 5.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

• Paul Goldschmidt is more of a platoon bat these days, recording a 225 wRC+, .499 wOBA, and .415 ISO against lefties. When facing righties, he has a 60 wRC+, .256 wOBA, and .122 ISO.
• Goldschmidt has gone hitless in back-to-back games, and both of those contests featured right-handed starters.
• Rasmussen owns a fantastic 3.13 xFIP, 0.45 WHIP, .140 BABIP, and 0.90 HR/9 to right-handed hitters. He has a 3.21 xFIP, 1.39 WHIP, .305 BABIP, and 1.61 HR/9 against left-handed hitters.
• On top of that, Rasmussen has performed better on the road, notching a 3.03 xFIP, 0.97 WHIP, and .209 BABIP in that split. Comparatively, he has a 3.33 xFIP, 1.03 WHIP, and .277 BABIP at home.

Add Paul Goldschmidt to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Rays vs. Yankees Picks on PrizePicks

The Rays have been one of the hottest teams in baseball recently, and they now have the best record in the American League. Will Tampa Bay secure another victory over New York on Sunday, or will the Yankees gain some ground on their divisional foes?

Don’t wait until the first pitch happens — make your Rays vs. Yankees picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

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