Paraguay vs. Australia Prediction, Picks, Lineups for World Cup Tonight

Paraguay vs. Australia will face-off in their World Cup Group D finale on Thursday, June 25, at 10 p.m. ET, with a spot in the knockout stage guaranteed for the winner.

While USA vs. Türkiye at the same time has no consequence on future rounds, this match is quite the opposite, with the Paraguay-Australia winner clinching second place in Group D and qualifying for the Round of 32 knockout stage.

Paraguay vs. Australia will kickoff at 10 p.m. ET from Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif. Paraguay enters as the slight favorite with a 2.63x payout to win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, although the draw is the most likely implied outcome. 

The winner in this match will play the Group G runner-up on July 3 in Arlington, Texas. The loser will wait and see where they fall among the third-place teams, but if they qualify, will be matched up with a group winner. Both teams have 3 points in their pocket, but a draw would clinch Australia as the runner-up based on goal differential.

Below, we’ll break down our Paraguay vs. Australia prediction and picks for Thursday’s World Cup 2026 match, including the spread, total goals, and the top player picks for PrizePicks.

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Paraguay vs. Australia World Cup 2026 Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Thursday, June 25

How to watch Paraguay vs. Australia: FS1 (English), Telemundo/Universo (Spanish)

Kickoff Time: 10 p.m. ET

Venue: Levi’s Stadium (Bay Area Stadium) in Santa Clara, California

Group: Group D

Both Paraguay and Australia have three points (a win over Türkiye), making this Group D finale very simple: the winner automatically advances to the Round of 32 as the Group D runner-up. A draw means both teams will likely qualify, with Australia automatically advancing on goal differential.

The runner-up in Group D will get a relatively soft matchup in the Round of 32, facing the Group G runner-up; our latest World Cup power rankings have all four Group G teams outside of the top 20.

Australia's attack runs through Aiden O'Neill. FIFA’s post-match reports identify him as Australia's attacking hub, accounting for 16% of the team's attacking involvement, the highest share on the roster.

Despite winning 2-0 over Türkiye, the Socceroos had only 28.4% possession and were outshot 30-9 in that game, taking advantage of the few chances they had. Those stats came back around vs. the USA, but the 38.1% possession control and only 5 total shots wasn’t enough against a well-balanced USA team that got up 2-0 early.

Paraguay’s offense has been a mess through two matches. It has been forced into 50 turnovers per match, the highest figure in the field.  

The Guaraníes beat Türkiye 1-0, despite having possession for only 21.5% of the match and taking 7 shots, with 0 corners and 0 big chances created. Adding to the issues, forward Miguel Almirón is suspended after receiving a red card vs. Türkiye, which leaves Julio Enciso as the clear focus to unlock the attack for Paraguay. 

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Paraguay vs. Australia: Favorite, Spread, Total Goals for World Cup – Thursday, June 25

Paraguay enters Thursday's Group D runner-up match as the favorite to win vs, Australia, returning a 2.63x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks. Meanwhile, Australia will look to take advantage of a disappointing Paraguay offense

Here are the full payouts for the Paraguay vs. Australia match on PrizePicks Team Picks, including on winner, total goals, and spread.

• Winner Payout: Paraguay – 2.63x | Tie – 2.17x | Australia – 3.57x
• Spread: Paraguay -1.5 (6.25x Payout) 
• Total Goals: 1.5 (Over – 1.61x)
• Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.75x | No 2x

Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.

Make your Paraguay vs. Australia prediction on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

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Paraguay vs. Australia Prediction on Winner in World Cup Group D 

Here are the key team stats and trends to know for Paraguay vs. Australia World Cup Group D match before making your World Cup 2026 predictions on PrizePicks. Let’s break down our prediction on the match winner, who will become the Group D runner-up.

• This is the sixth all-time meeting between the two national soccer teams, with Australia winning two and the other three ending in draws.  
• Australia won both games of the 2026 FIFA Series the country hosted, over Cameroon and Curaçao; however, the Socceroos went 0-1-1 in their friendlies, drawing Switzerland and losing 1-0 to Mexico. 
• In their six 2026 matches, the Socceroos have allowed five total goals, two of which were to the United States last week. 
• Paraguay has the tournament's lowest pass-completion rate (64%). 
• No remaining team has had more trouble keeping possession as Paraguay; their 28.1% possession rate is 48th in the World Cup — although protecting a 1-0 lead with 10-men vs. Türkiye certainly contributed to that lopsided figure.
• Paraguay ranks 46th in the World Cup with 0.9 expected goals (xG), per Fotmob.
• In Paraguay’s last 8 matches (6 friendlies, 2 World Cup matches), they have allowed 11 goals, going 4-0-4 in that span.
• Paraguay conceded four goals to the USA, while Australia conceded just two vs. the Americans, albeit without Christian Pulisic controlling the attack.

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Paraguay vs. Australia Lineups for World Cup 2026 – Thursday, June 25

Here are the projected Paraguay vs. Australia lineups for Thursday’s World Cup Group D match. Lineups are not official and are based on historical data and consensus projections.

Paraguay Lineup vs. Australia Today

It’s unknown who will replace Miguel Almirón as an attacking midfielder, but Mauricio looks to be the favorite. He scored Paraguay’s lone goal vs. USA, but did not play vs. Turkiye.

Projected Formation: 4-4-2

• Goalkeeper: Orlando Gill
• Defense: Junior Alonso, Omar Alderete, Gustavo Gómez, Juan Jose Caceres
• Midfield: Matias Galarza, Diego Gómez, Andres Cubas, Mauricio
• Forwards: Isidro Pitta, Julio Enciso

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Australia Lineup vs. Paraguay Today

Projected Formation: 5-4-1

• Goalkeeper: Patrick Beach
• Defense: Jordan Bos, Cameron Burgess, Harry Souttar, Alessandro Circati, Jason Geria
• Midfield: Nestory Irankunda, Paul Okon-Engstler, Aiden O'Neill, Conor Metcalfe
• Forwards: Mohamed Touré

Pick Australia to win vs.. Paraguay on PrizePicks Team Picks

Paraguay vs. Australia World Cup Picks, Player Stats for World Cup: 6/25/26

Here are the top Paraguay vs. Australia World Cup picks to target tonight on PrizePicks for Thursday, June 25. Today’s World Cup 2026 picks are headlined by Nestory Irankunda and Julio Enciso.

Australia LW Nestory Irankunda vs. Paraguay

Nestory Irankunda Projections via PrizePicks: 2.5 Shots (Demon), 0.5 Goals (Demon), 0.5 Assists (Demon)

• Australia LW Nestory Irankunda scored 1 goal on 2 shots (2 on goal) vs. Türkiye in the team’s opening match. 
• In the friendlies ahead of the World Cup, Irankunda scored 2 goals in a 5-1 win over Curaçao. He also had a goal in the team’s final qualifying match vs. Palestine.  
• According to Footy Stats, Irankunda averaged 3.01 shots taken per 90 minutes for Watford in 2025-26, which ranked in the 98th percentile.
• Irankunda has been subbed off early in both of Australia’s World Cup games — first in the 61st minute, then at halftime vs. USA.

Combine Australia + Nestory Irankunda World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks

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Paraguay MF Julio Enciso vs. Australia

Julio Enciso Projections via PrizePicks: 22.5 Passes Attempted, 1.5 Shots (Goblin), 12.5 Fantasy Score

• Julio Enciso tallied 1 assist, 1 shot, 2 crosses, and 4 chances created in the 1-0 win against Türkiye. 
• He also assisted on the lone goal vs. the United States. 
• While he did not score during the World Cup friendlies, Enciso did have 3 goals and an assist during Paraguay’s CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying. 
• More offensive duties may be put on Enciso’s shoulders with Almirón sidelined with a red card.
• Enciso has averaged 22.5 pass attempts in the World Cup matches; however, Paraguay was dominated vs. the USA and played a man down for the second half, with little to no ball control on the offensive.
• According to Footy Stats, Enciso averaged 2.90 shots per 90 minutes for Strasbourg in 2025-26, which ranked in the 93rd percentile.

Combine Paraguay + Julio Enciso picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks

Make Your Paraguay vs. Australia World Cup Prediction on PrizePicks

Who will join the USA in advancing from Group D into the knockout stage? Australia will need to rebound from its loss to the USA to secure the runner-up spot. Meanwhile, Paraguay needs to improve their offensive woes without Miguel Almirón to advance to the Round of 32.

Don’t wait until this game kicks off at 10 p.m. ET on FS1. Make your Paraguay vs. Australia picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right on tonight's World Cup games.

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