USA vs. Türkiye Prediction, Lineups, World Cup Picks – Thursday, June 25

The United States and Türkiye will meet in a Group D finale on Thursday, June 25, at 10 p.m. ET. SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles Stadium is welcoming its second USMNT match of the 2026 World Cup after playing host to the Americans’ 4-1 clobbering of Paraguay to start the World Cup.

This is one of only a few entirely inconsequential matches to close out the World Cup group stage, as USA and Türkiye’s knockout stage qualification fate is already set. However, USA will be looking to win all three of its World Cup group stage games for the first time in its history.

Even with the USA expected to rotate their starting lineup heavily, USMNT is favored to win outright over Türkiye, with a 1.75x return via PrizePicks Team Picks. 

Due to this match’s lack of consequence, USA vs. Türkiye is a weird World Cup match for the stars and stripes. Nevertheless, we’ll break down our USA vs. Türkiye prediction for tonight’s Group D finale below, including an over/under pick and player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your USA vs. Türkiye prediction and World Cup picks on PrizePicks now!

{{worldcup_usa_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

USA vs. Türkiye World Cup 2026 Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Thursday, June 25

How to watch USA vs. Türkiye: FOX, Telemundo, and Peacock

Kickoff Time: 10 p.m. ET

Venue: SoFi Stadium (Los Angeles Stadium), Inglewood, Calif.

Group: Group D

Tonight’s USA vs. Türkiye game can be considered one of the World Cup’s “friendly” matchups.

USA clinched first place in Group D after last Friday’s 2-0 win over Australia, putting them at 2-0-0. Türkiye is having one of the worst bids of all 48 nations, failing to score in two straight losses despite 3.5 expected goals (xG); they’re already eliminated from knockout stage contention.

The USA is already preparing to face a third-place team in the Round of 32 on July 1 — almost guaranteed to be Bosnia and Herzegovina. The 0-0-2 Türks, who bear a 1-0-2 all-time record vs. USA, are playing solely for pride, and probably hoping to finally strike a goal.

It’s still a World Cup kickoff featuring a host nation, and something tells us that the pitch won’t be a friendly place. Türkiye is desperate to change its trajectory, which means performing well enough to rank somewhere above they’re current No. 48 in our World Cup Power Rankings.

The United States national team is keen on keeping its momentum going. The Yanks have six goals credited to five different players, putting on a clinic of hard-won dribbling space and thrilling teamwork on the attack. 

While the USA’s lopsided wins have held the squad back in compiling analytical stats, it’s noteworthy that the American lineup ranks above Argentina and Germany in total offers to receive.

The USMNT lineup dilemma could lead to defeat if manager Mauricio Pochettino isn’t careful. Pochettino has four yellow-carded players on the squad whom he almost certainly won’t risk a suspension to play in a meaningless match: striker Folarin Balogun, midfielders Tyler Adams and Antonee Robinson, and defender Chris Richards.

Look for USA to rotate the lineup heavily, but still aim to keep their momentum as they head into the Round of 32, while Tur

Make your USA World Cup game predictions on PrizePicks

{{worldcup_usa_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

USA vs. Türkiye: Favorite to Win, Spread, Total Goals for World Cup

Here are the full payouts for the USA vs. Türkiye World Cup match on PrizePicks, including the favorite to win, spread, and over/under on total goals (2.5).

• Winner Payout: USA - 1.75x | Tie – 3.84x | - 3.44x
• Spread: USA -1.5 (2.94x)
• Total Goals: 2.5 (Over - 1.61x | Under - 2.22x)
• Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.61x | No 2.22x

Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect more likely outcomes. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.

Make your USA vs. Türkiye prediction on spread or goals on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

USA vs. Türkiye Over/Under Total Goals Prediction for World Cup 2026

USA will perform with its hottest striker on the bench, as Balogun is on a yellow card. Balogun has been an integral part of this 2026 World Cup bid, and his brace in the opening bout set the USMNT on clear water against Paraguay. 

Don’t forget about the USMNT’s returning hero, though. Word has it Christian Pulisic is cleared to return from his calf injury suffered on Matchday 1, and Pochettino is considering Pulisic for a cameo role.

Meanwhile, the Turks could punish a second-choice back line with the attacks of midfielders like Kenan Yildiz.

Yildiz’s customary outside position will force him to dribble across before challenging USA center backs Mark McKenzie and Auston Trusty, who may not be as “Trusty” with teammates like Richards sitting out. 

However, both are seasoned pros, and they gained USMNT experience on 2025’s backup-laden lineups.

USA vs. Türkiye could bore its Los Angeles audience and the unassuming USA viewers at home, but there may be hope in the second half. Pulisic’s expectation is to sub into the Group D finale at some point in the second half, on what’s forecast to be a night of perfect weather.

Whether he scores or not, the Stars & Stripes will get a lift from Pulisic’s presence. The USA’s backups could also pierce Türkiye’s back line, which has put up dismal numbers in two games, ranking 44th of 48 teams with just 5.0 interceptions per match.

The over is the publicly-favored side on the  2.5 total goals projection on PrizePicks for USA vs. Türkiye. 

Türkiye’s mediocre 71 turnovers created and its poor number of 271 pressures applied in two full games, are evidence of an ailing squad. 

USA striker Ricardo Pepi could combine with Pulisic on a late goal to push the total tally over. Beside that, Türkiye will surely be motivated to net a goal before their tournament is over, even if it is too little, too late.

Lock in your USA vs. Türkiye prediction for the 2026 World Cup now!

{{worldcup_sweeps_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

USA vs. Türkiye Lineups for World Cup 2026 – Thursday, June 25

Check out the projected USA vs. Türkiye lineups for tonight's FIFA World Cup group stage match. Projected lineups are not official, and are based on historical data. 

The current predicted USA vs. Türkiye lineups are as follows.

USA’s Lineup vs. Türkiye Tonight

There are ton of question marks around the USMNT starting XI, though Pochettino has confirmed that all players on a card will not play today, as it would risk them missing the Round of 32 due to accumulation.

Winger Christian Pulisic is probable with a calf injury and will be available, but may not see the pitch in what is ultimately a meaningless game for the USA.

Projected Formation: 5-3-2

• Goalkeeper: Matt Freese 
• Defense: Max Arfsten, Auston Trusty, Mark McKenzie, Miles Robinson, Joe Scally
• Midfield: Brenden Aaronson, Weston McKennie, Sebastian Berhalter
• Forward: Ricardo Pepi, Timothy Weah

Türkiye’s Lineup vs. USA Tonight

Projected Formation: 4-2-3-1

• Goalkeeper: Ugurcan Cakir
• Defense: Ferdi Kadioglu, Abdulkerim Bardakci, Merih Demiral, Mert Muldur
• Defensive Midfield: Hakan Calhanoglu, Ismail Yuksek
• Wing and Attacking Midfield: Kenan Yildiz, Arda Guler, Yunus Akgun
• Striker: Kerem Akturkoglu 

World Cup Picks Tonight: USA vs. Türkiye Player Picks, Stats – Thursday, June 25

Tonight’s World Cup picks in USA vs. Türkiye for PrizePicks are headlined by USA forward Ricardo Pepi, GK Matt Freese, and Türkiye’s attacking midfielder Kenan Yildiz. 

USA F Ricardo Pepi vs. Türkiye

Ricardo Pepi Projections via PrizePicks: 0.5 Goals (Demon), 0.5 Fouls Drawn (Goblin), 0.5 Assists (Demon)

• The USA’s starting front line is projected to be a combination of Ricardo Pepi and Tim Weah, with the striker Folarin Balogun one of four players sitting out due to yellow cards.
• Pepi’s ethic of teamwork has overshadowed his striking through two short apps in North America 2026, with merely 1 shot attempt to go with a livelier 15 passes and 46 total offers to receive.
• Pepi assisted on two USMNT goals in 2026’s warm-up friendlies.
• Pepi has drawn 3 fouls in 92 minutes of action thus far.
• The 23-year-old was not called on to do much vs. Australia, but should have more freedom here as much of the squad rotates.

Combine USA + Ricardo Pepi World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks

USA GK Matt Freese vs Türkiye – 2.5 Goalie Saves

• Freese is projected to start tonight, but he can’t count on as many elite defenders on the USA’s low block. That factor could help Türkiye find shots, upping Freese’s save count.
• The NYCFC keeper has 2 saves on just 3 opposing shots-on-target going into Matchday 3.
• The USMNT’s form left Freese with little work against Paraguay and Australia, resulting in just 32 total actions inside and outside the box. 
• For perspective, Qatar’s Mahmoud Abunada finished the 2026 World Cup with 227 total actions.
• Freese is 10-2-5 as a starter for the USMNT, per Fbref. 

Combine USA to win + Matt Freese saves for bigger payouts on PrizePicks

{{worldcup_usa_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Türkiye MF Kenan Yildiz vs. USA – 37.5 Passes Attempted / 2 Shots

• Arsenal is said to be interested in the 21-year-old Yildiz, who has already compiled 23 international starts with the Crescent-Stars, scoring 5 goals in 30 appearances.
• Yildiz bagged a brace vs. Bulgaria in North America 2026 qualifying.
• He has been a loose cannon at the 2026 World Cup, missing the target on 11 of his 12 shot attempts through Matchday 2.
• Yildiz is averaging 49 pass attempts per game in Group D action.

Combine Türkiye + Kenan Yildiz World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks

Make Your USA vs. Türkiye World Cup Prediction on PrizePicks

The United States Men’s National Team kicks off its Group D finale in SoCal tonight, protecting an unbeaten record at the 2026 World Cup in a clash with the Crescent-Stars of Türkiye. 

While it’s overall an inconsequential match for both sides, Türkiye will be seeking its first goal in this World Cup, while USA is looking to win all three group stage matches for the first time in its history, despite a heavily-rotated squad from Pochettino.

Don’t wait until lock at 10 p.m. ET. Make your USA vs. Türkiye prediction on PrizePicks now, and earn real money if you’re right, on every World Cup game.

Pick USA or players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on World Cup match winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

Stay locked in on Playbook for daily World Cup 2026 predictions, picks, news, and analysis, including every USA match.