The SEC is in the spotlight for Thursday night's Sugar Bowl as the Georgia Bulldogs battle the Ole Miss Rebels.
Georgia (12-1) hopes to avoid the pitfall of the first five teams in the College Football Playoff that had an opening round bye and lost. Ole Miss (12-1) took care of business in their CFP opener against Tulane in a 41-10 blowout as 16.5-point favorites.
The Rebels entered the fourth quarter leading the Bulldogs, 35-26, back on Oct. 18 in Athens. UGA then outscored Ole Miss 17-0 in the fourth quarter to grab a 43-35 victory and barely cover as 7.5-point favorites. Could things look different this time around?
Let’s look at an Ole Miss vs. Georgia spread prediction for the Sugar Bowl at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, kicking off at 8:00 p.m. ET on ESPN. Use PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to make CFB predictions and earn real money if you're right.
Ole Miss vs. Georgia Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The Rebels have an 8-4-1 record against the spread, while the Bulldogs put together a 6-6-1 mark.
Ole Miss vs. Georgia Over/Under, Spread
The Bulldogs enter this matchup as 6.5-point favorites, returning a 1.38x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Rebels are underdogs with a 2.85x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Georgia Bulldogs -6.5
- Over/Under: 56.5
- Game Winner Payout: Rebels 2.85x | Bulldogs 1.38x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Ole Miss vs. Georgia Prediction on Spread for Sugar Bowl
Here are some stats to get you set for Ole Miss vs. Georgia tonight, including insights on our Sugar Bowl prediction.
- The Rebels averaged 34.5 points in their two opportunities as an underdog. Ole Miss defeated Oklahoma, 34-26, as 5.5-point 'dogs a week after the 8-point setback at Georgia.
- Against eight SEC opponents, the Rebels put up 33.2 PPG and scored less than 30 points just once.
- Georgia wrapped up its third SEC championship in four seasons, defeating Alabama 28-7,
- Four of UGA’s six ATS losses came as a favorite of 15 or more points. As a single-digit favorite, the Bulldogs posted a solid 5-1-1 ATS mark.
- Head coach Kirby Smart’s club was one of the four rested teams in last season’s CFP to lose in the quarterfinals. Georgia fell to Notre Dame, 23-10, as 1-point underdogs in the Sugar Bowl.
- Since 2021, the Bulldogs are 5-0 straight-up and 4-1 ATS as a bowl favorite.
- Ole Miss may need to use the passing game to be successful. The Rebels are 11th in EPA per pass, facing a Georgia defense sitting 71st in the same stat.
- In the first matchup, Rebels QB Trinidad Chambliss threw for 261 yards and a TD while rushing for a pair of scores. He started the second half with a 75-yard TD strike, but the Rebels scored once in the final 29:46.
- Georgia QB Gunner Stockton posted 4 TD passes against Ole Miss and completed a season-high 83.9% of his passes.
- The Rebels’ defense ranks near the bottom of the country in EPA per rush (132nd). The Bulldogs ran for 221 yards against Mississippi and average 186.6 yards per game on the ground.
Make Ole Miss vs. Georgia Picks on PrizePicks
Georgia looks to knock off Ole Miss for the second time, meanwhile the Rebels aim to give the Bulldogs an early exit for the second straight CFP. There’s never been a better time to add to the excitement of every CFB moment than with PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks.
Just pick More or Less on at least two player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks. Or, make your picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 30 states.
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