Two SEC rivals square off on Thursday with a berth in the CFP semifinals at stake. The Sugar Bowl between Ole Miss and Georgia kicks off at 8:00 p.m. ET on ESPN from Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA.
Ole Miss (12-1) set a school record for wins, beating everyone but Georgia. Now-former head coach Lane Kiffin left for LSU and has since been replaced by Pete Golding for the CFP. The Rebels won their first-round playoff game, 41-10, over Tulane. Georgia (12-1), meanwhile, earned a first-round bye by beating Alabama 28-7 to capture their 16th SEC title.
Below, we'll break down our Ole Miss-Georgia prediction and Sugar Bowl picks, including the top player picks on PrizePicks' real-money CFB game. With PrizePicks Team Picks, you can also make your picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states.
Ole Miss vs. Georgia Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The Rebels and Bulldogs meet for the second time this season, with Georgia prevailing 43-35 in Athens on Oct. 18. The two teams have clashed 48 previous times; Georgia holds a 34-13-1 advantage. The two sides have split the last four meetings after Georgia won 10 in a row from 1997-2012.
Ole Miss vs. Georgia Over/Under, Spread
Georgia enters the CFP quarterfinals as 6.5-point favorites here, returning a 1.38x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
Ole Miss is the underdog with a 2.85x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Georgia -6.5
- Over/Under: 56.5
- Game Winner Payout: Rebels 1.38x | Bulldogs 2.85x
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Ole Miss vs. Georgia Prediction on Spread
Georgia is a 6.5-point favorite, the second-lowest spread of the four CFP quarterfinal games, trailing the Orange Bowl (Oregon favored by 2.5 over Texas Tech).
- Georgia covered the first matchup between the two teams, winning by 8 when the spread was 7.
- Ole Miss has covered in eight of 13 games this season. The Rebels covered in four of their first five games but haven't covered in four of the last eight. They did cover a 17.5-point spread against Tulane.
- Ole Miss is an underdog for the third time this season, failing to cover vs. Georgia but winning outright as a 5.5-point underdog to Oklahoma.
- The Rebels have the second-best offense in the nation, averaging 498.0 yards per game with the 10th-best scoring offense at 37.5 PPG.
- Georgia has failed to cover in seven of their 13 games but have covered in six of nine after starting the season 0-4 ATS.
- While Georgia has been favored each week, this is their sixth game being less than a 7-point favorite. Of the previous five, the Bulldogs have covered in three, including the SEC Championship vs. Alabama.
- On offense, Georgia enters 43rd and 31st in the nation in yards (406.9) and points (31.9) per game. On the defensive side, they're ninth at 15.9 PPG and 11th in total defense at 284.5 YPG.
Ole Miss vs. Georgia Sugar Bowl Picks for PrizePicks
Here are three Ole Miss vs. Georgia player picks for the College Football Playoff quarterfinals for PrizePicks' real-money CFB game, including Ole Miss QB Trinidad Chambliss and Georgia QB Gunner Stockton and RB Nate Frazier.
Ole Miss QB Trinidad Chambliss Projection vs. Georgia: 199.5 Pass Yards
- Ole Miss QB Trinidad Chambliss has passed for 250+ yards 10 of his 11 starts, including seven games of 300+ yards.
- Chambliss is a dual-threat QB, gaining 40+ yards on the ground in six starts.
- The Ole Miss star has a passer rating of 158.77, 15th in the nation and second in the SEC.
- Chambliss threw for 263 yards and 1 TD and ran for 42 yards and 2 TDs in the first matchup with Georgia earlier this season.
Georgia RB Nate Frazier Projection vs. Ole Miss: 60.5 Rush Yards
- Georgia RB Nate Frazier has rushed for 50+ yards in five straight games, averaging 93.4 yards per game over that span.
- Frazier logged 72 yards on 17 carries in the first meeting between the teams and added 2 receptions with a TD.
- The Georgia halfback has 861 yards on the year, eighth-most in the SEC.
- Frazier’s 6 rushing TDs are tied with Chauncey Bowens for second-most on the team, behind only QB Gunner Stockton.
Georgia QB Gunner Stockton Projection vs. Ole Miss: 224.5 passing yards
- Georgia QB Gunner Stockton, who took over for Miami QB Carson Beck after last season, has hit 230+ yards in only three of his 13 games.
- Stockton’s 70.7 completion percentage is eighth in the nation and second in the SEC.
- The Georgia QB is also a threat on the ground, rushing for 25+ yards in nine games and having 8 rushing TDs.
- Stockton tossed 4 TD passes in the first meeting with Ole Miss back in October.
Make #6 Ole Miss vs. #3 Georgia Picks on PrizePicks
Will Ole Miss get revenge for its only loss this season and advance to the CFP semifinals, or will Georgia rebound from last year’s CFP quarterfinal loss and make the final four? With PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks, you can add excitement to the action.
Just pick your players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in on your predictions if you're right. Or, make your picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 30 states.
Stay locked in on Playbook all the way through the College Football Playoff for more CFB predictions, picks, and news.
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