Week 1 of the NFL preseason marches on with a three-game slate on Friday, August 14, headlined by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. the New York Jets kicking off at 7:00 p.m. ET on NFL Network.
The Miami Dolphins are another AFC East team in action, facing the Washington Commanders at 7:00 p.m. ET. Plus, former Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa makes his Atlanta Falcons debut vs. the Denver Broncos in a 7:00 p.m. ET kickoff.
Let’s zoom in on today’s NFL preseason schedule, circling a pair of games for NFL preseason predictions and picks. We’ll begin with the Broncos vs. Falcons, followed by the Dolphins vs. Commanders—featuring projections from PrizePicks.
Make your NFL Preseason predictions and picks on PrizePicks!
{{nfl_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Broncos vs. Falcons Prediction on Over/Under for NFL Preseason – Friday, August 14
Tonight’s Broncos-Falcons clash could be more intriguing than most preseason games, as each head coach has stressed the importance of preseason snaps ahead of the matchup.
Broncos head coach Sean Payton said Denver will play starters for about 15 snaps, while Falcons head coach Kevin Stefanski stated he will likely feature starters for about 10 plays and plans on rolling out starters in NFL Preseason Week 1 and Week 3.
With that said, each team’s plan to play starters likely explains why the Broncos vs. Falcons have the highest over/under among three preseason games on Friday. Here’s a full look at payouts for tonight’s game via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.
Tua Tagovailoa will start tonight and could be pulling ahead in the Falcons’ QB competition. Atlanta QB Michael Penix continues to battle a knee injury and will be out tonight, contributing to Tagovailoa’s 1.11x payout to start for the Falcons in Week 1 of the regular season.
Penix’s absence hurts the Falcons’ depth, which is key for putting up points during the preseason. Atlanta QB Cooper Rush is expected to take snaps behind Tua, and he logged -19.1 expected points added (EPA) last season, finishing 78th in the category via PlayerProfiler.
Keep in mind the Broncos gave up only 18.5 points per game (fourth-fewest) during the 2025 regular season, and the unit has quality depth—including 2025 first-round pick, CB Jahdae Barron.
Lock in your Broncos vs. Falcons prediction on PrizePicks before tonight’s NFL preseason game.
Broncos vs. Falcons Picks, Player Stats for NFL Preseason on PrizePicks: 8/14/26
Here are the top Broncos vs. Falcons picks to target on Friday, August 14. Today’s NFL preseason picks for PrizePicks include WR Zachariah Branch and QB Tua Tagovailoa.
Falcons WR Zachariah Branch vs. Broncos: 23.5 Receiving Yards
- Rookie WR Zachariah Branch has turned heads during training camp, winning some reps against former All-Pro CB AJ Terrell.
- Backed by a blazing 4.35-second 40-yard dash, all it could take is one play for Branch to surpass tonight’s receiving yard projection.
- In fact, he posted 10.3 yards per catch over three collegiate season.
- Pro Football Focus gave Branch an impressive 7.8 yards after the catch per reception during the 2025 season with Georgia.
Add Zachariah Branch to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Falcons QB Tua Tagovailoa vs. Broncos: 21.5 Passing Yards
- Tua Tagovailoa has a low passing yard projection, with Stefanski citing 10 plays as a potential workload. That’s two series at most.
- Furthermore, the Broncos will roll out starters on defense, and Denver held teams to 4.5 yards per play (the fewest) and -92.09 expected points added (sixth-fewest) last season, per Sumer Sports.
- Adding to the tough matchup, the Broncos boasted the highest sack rate in 2025 (10.43%), while ESPN ranked Atlanta 14th in pass block win rate.
- Running the rock can often be the best answer to an elite pass rush, and Falcons RB Bijan Robinson—who recently signed a historic three-year, $75 million extension—is expected to take snaps on Friday.
Add Tua Tagovailoa to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
{{nfl_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Dolphins vs. Commanders Prediction on Winner for NFL Preseason – Friday, August 14
Commanders QB Jayden Daniels has recently made headlines, as a report emerged that he felt “disrespected” by LSU allowing QB DJ Pickett to wear the No. 5 jersey.
Play on the field can often silence critics, but that won’t come tonight with Daniels likely sitting out. That means Commanders QB Marcus Mariota should get the start, but that’s putting Washington in the underdog role with a 2.43x payout to win vs. the Dolphins.
Check out the full payouts for the Dolphins vs. Commanders, including winner payouts, the spread, and the over/under, per PrizePicks Team Picks.
The Dolphins are preparing to roll out one of the worst regular season rosters in recent memory. PrizePicks Team Picks currently gives Miami a 1.61x payout to reach only 4+ wins and a 2.38x payout to total 5+ wins.
However, Miami may have an advantage tonight, and it better enjoy it before 2026’s struggles likely arrive during the regular season.
On Monday, head coach Jeff Hafley said regarding NFL Preseason Week 1, “Everyone who is on our team right now should be ready to play. That’s how I see it, truthfully.” That certainly implies the starters will be active for some snaps, including QB Malik Willis.
Meanwhile, the Commanders are expected to rest several starters, though Friday night may give the first look at Washington’s No. 7 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, LB Sonny Styles.
Frankly, the Dolphins could have the clear edge with starters likely playing in some capacity.
Lock in your Dolphins vs. Commanders prediction on PrizePicks before tonight’s NFL preseason game.
Dolphins vs. Commanders Picks, Player Stats for NFL Preseason on PrizePicks: 8/14/26
Check out some of our top Dolphins vs. Commanders picks to target, featuring QB Quinn Ewers and RB Kaytron Allen.
Dolphins QB Quinn Ewers vs. Commanders: 80.5 Passing Yards
- While QB Malik Willis is expected to start with 33.5 projected passing yards, Quinn Ewers will likely get most of the snaps vs. the Commanders.
- He made four appearances with three starts in his 2025 rookie season, totaling 207.3 passing yards per game and 7.5 yards per passing attempt.
- PlayerProfiler gave Ewers +4.4 expected points added (44th) over four appearances, generating hope for his NFL trajectory.
- Ewers was once touted as a potential first-round draft pick before falling to the seventh round in the 2025 NFL Draft. Willis is expected to start in Week 1 of the regular season with a 1.03x payout, but Ewers has a chance to leave a lasting impression in the preseason with his 7.14x payout to start in Week 1, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Add Quinn Ewers to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
{{nfl_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Commanders RB Kaytron Allen vs. Dolphins: 30.5 Rushing Yards
- Rookie RB Kaytron Allen has quickly become a sleeper for fantasy football, backed by a strong training camp.
- Commanders RB Bill Croskey-Merritt and RB Rachaad White are likely out on Friday, while RB Jeremy McNichols has a quad injury. That may mean a good workload for Allen on Friday night.
- During the 2025 regular season, the Dolphins ceded 4.8 yards per rushing attempt (third-most) and 0.02 EPA per carry (tied for sixth-most).
- One could argue Allen was underutilized at Penn State, where he shared a backfield with RB Nick Singleton—who totaled 31 rushing yards in his Titans debut on Thursday.
- Pro Football Focus credited Allen with a strong 91.3 run grade while posting 3.77 yards after contact per carry in the 2025 season.
Add Kaytron Allen to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Make NFL Preseason Picks on PrizePicks
Following Thursday’s loaded six-game preseason slate, the NFL is serving up another three preseason contests on Friday night. As usual, rookies are key players to watch during the preseason, and Falcons WR Zachariah Branch and Commanders RB Kaytron Allen could take the cake on Friday.
Don’t wait until lock—make your NFL Preseason picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
Week 1 of the NFL regular season begins on September 9, and the NFL board is already open on PrizePicks Team Picks. That includes NFL predictions for the Super Bowl winner, divisional winners, win totals, and more on PrizePicks Team Picks—available in 36 states!
Stay locked in on Playbook for daily NFL news and preseason predictions and picks as the 2026 regular season approaches.
Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state.Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.
