Netherlands vs. Japan Prediction, Picks, Lineups for World Cup 2026

One of the standout opening group stage matches of the 2026 World Cup is the Netherlands against Japan on Sunday, June 14, at 4:00 p.m. ET on FOX (English) and Telemundo/Peacock (Spanish). This much-anticipated match will be played at AT&T Stadium in Dallas, Texas.

Ahead of Sunday’s contest, the Netherlands are the favorite with a 1.96x payout, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Both the Netherlands and Japan are hoping to get their Group F campaign off to a good start. Sweden and Tunisia are also in Group F and will clash for Sunday's nightcap at 10:00 p.m. ET.

Below, we’ll break down our Netherlands vs. Japan prediction and picks for Sunday’s World Cup 2026 match, including the spread, total goals, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Netherlands vs. Japan prediction and World Cup picks on PrizePicks now!

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Netherlands vs. Japan World Cup 2026 Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Sunday, June 14

How to watch Netherlands vs. Japan: FS1 (English) / Telemundo/Peacock (Spanish)

Kickoff Time: 4:00 p.m. ET

Venue: AT&T Stadium in Dallas, Texas

Group: Group F

Entering the 2026 World Cup, the Netherlands are one of the nations that believe they can make a deep run and contend for the WC trophy. The Oranje have finished fifth or better in each of the last three World Cups they’ve qualified for, and they’re in a fantastic position to at least advance to the knockout stage.

Even with an injury to DF Jurrien Timber hindering his ability to play in this year’s tournament, the Netherlands’ back line is a stout unit, led by DF Virgil van Dijk. Despite the Oranje’s primary attackers (F Memphis Depay, F Cody Gakpo, and F Donyell Malen) not being in the best of form from their domestic seasons, they managed 27 goals during World Cup qualification.

According to PrizePicks Team Picks, Ronald Koeman’s side has the lowest payout to win Group F (1.66x) and the seventh-lowest payout to win the World Cup (11.11x).

Although the Netherlands are viewed as a dominant squad in this group, Japan should not be overlooked. Japan plays an aggressive style of football under manager Hajime Moriyasu, and they have the firepower to compete despite the absence of F Kaoru Mitoma and the recent national team retirement of MF Wataru Endo.

The Samurai Blue accumulated 54 goals while conceding only 3 goals in qualification. Totaling that many goals is mighty impressive, but facing the Oranje is another level of competition for Japan.

Before Sunday’s kickoff, our power rankings have the Netherlands sitting at sixth and Japan at 21st.

Netherlands vs. Japan: Favorite to Win, Spread, Total Goals – Sunday, June 14

The Netherlands enters Sunday’s game as the favorites, returning a 1.96x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks. Meanwhile, Japan will look to press and generate chances off of any Oranje mistakes.

Here are the full payouts for the Netherlands vs. Japan match on PrizePicks.

Winner Payout: Netherlands – 1.96x | Tie – 3.33x | Japan – 3.44x

Spread: Netherlands -1.5 (3.44x Payout) 

Total Goals: 2.5 (Over – 1.88x)

Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.72x | No 2.04x

Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.

Make your Netherlands vs. Japan prediction on the spread or goals on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

Netherlands vs. Japan Prediction on Winner for World Cup 2026 

Here are the key stats and trends for the Netherlands vs. Japan before making your World Cup 2026 predictions on PrizePicks.

• Despite believing Japan can be competitive in this match, the Netherlands has a massive height advantage, improving their scoring chances on set pieces. The tallest defender for Japan stands at 6’2”.
• The tallest defender for Japan stands at 6'2." Meanwhile, the Netherlands have van Dijk (6’6”), van de Ven (6’4”), Gakpo (6’4”), and F Wout Weghorst (6'6") as lethal aerial threats.
• The Oranje are unbeaten against Japan in their three all-time meetings, including two wins.
• While Japan was impressive in qualifying, the Netherlands was one of eight teams to go unbeaten in UEFA World Cup qualifying with a 6-2-0 record. They also outscored their opponents 27-4.
• The Netherlands were tied for the second-most clean sheets (5) while logging the sixth-fewest xG conceded (4.2) in a competitive UEFA WC qualifying, per FotMob.
• Being sans Mitoma and Endo won’t be as noticeable in some matchups for Japan, but their absences can be felt in a tough game against a team like the Netherlands.
• The last time the Netherlands suffered a loss in the group stage during the World Cup came in 1994. The Oranje have played in five World Cups since then.

Lock in your Netherlands vs. Japan prediction for the 2026 World Cup now!

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Netherlands vs. Japan Lineups for World Cup 2026 – Sunday, June 14

Here are the projected Netherlands vs. Japan lineups for Sunday's World Cup group stage match. Lineups are not official and are based on historical data.

Netherlands Lineup vs. Japan Today

Projected Formation: 4-2-3-1

• Goalkeeper: Bart Verbruggen
• Defense: Micky van de Ven, Virgil van Dijk, Jan Paul van Hecke, Denzel Dumfries
• Midfield: Ryan Gravenberch, Frenkie de Jong, Tijjani Reinders
• Forwards: Cody Gakpo, Memphis Depay, Donyell Malen

Japan Lineup vs. Netherlands Today

Projected Formation: 3-4-3

• Goalkeeper: Zion Suzuki
• Defense: Shogo Taniguchi, Tsuyoshi Watanabe, Hiroki Ito
• Midfield: Keito Nakamura, Kaishu Sano, Ao Tanaka, Ritsu Doan
• Forwards: Daichi Kamada, Ayase Ueda, Takefusa Kubo

Netherlands vs. Japan Picks, Player Stats for World Cup: 6/14/26

Here are the top Netherlands vs. Japan player picks to target on PrizePicks for Sunday, June 14. Today’s World Cup 2026 picks are headlined by Virgil van Dijk and Ayase Ueda.

Netherlands DF Virgil van Dijk vs. Japan 

Virgil van Dijk Projections via PrizePicks: 76.5 Passes Attempted, 0.5 Shots on Target (Demon), 11.5 Fantasy Score

• Virgil van Dijk is understandably trusted plenty on the ball in the Netherlands’ back line, as he made 79 or more passes in six of his eight starts in World Cup qualifying.
• Throughout the Premier League campaign for Liverpool, van Dijk produced a solid 73.5 passes per match.
• As mentioned above, van Dijk has a major height advantage in this match, giving him opportunities to put the ball on target off corners and other set pieces.
• During WC qualifying, van Dijk tallied multiple shots in five of his eight starts.

Combine Netherlands + Virgil van Dijk World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks

Japan F Ayase Ueda vs. Netherlands 

Ayase Ueda Projections via PrizePicks: 1.5 Shots (Goblin), 0.5 Shots on Target (Goblin), 0.5 Goals (Demon)

• Ayase Ueda is the biggest goal-scoring threat for Japan, and he’s coming off an impressive Eredivisie campaign with Feyenoord, where he scored 26 goals in 40 matches across all competitions.
• Although this is a different level of competition, Ueda averaged the eighth-most shots per 90 (3.6) in the Eredivisie.
• Not having Timber available could lead to a slight adjustment period for the Netherlands’ defense alongside van Dijk.
• During WC qualifying, Ueda led Japan in goals scored (8).

Combine Japan + Ayase Ueda World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks

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Make Your Netherlands vs. Japan Prediction on PrizePicks

The Netherlands have their sights set on making it through the group stage and competing with the other top nations for the 2026 World Cup trophy. Will Japan make things interesting as an underdog on Sunday?

Don’t wait until lock. Make your Netherlands vs. Japan picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right on every World Cup game.

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