We were already set to see a first-time French Open champion on the women’s side. Now, with tournament favorite Aryna Sabalenka being upset in the quarterfinals, we’re now also guaranteed a first-time major winner.
In the opening women’s semifinal, Marta Kostyuk will face Mirra Andreeva. This is Kostyuk’s first Grand Slam semifinal, and it’s just the second for Andreeva.
Below, we’ll break down our Marta Kostyuk vs. Mirra Andreeva prediction, recent form, and a French Open pick for the women’s singles semifinal, including a PrizePicks pick.
The match is slated to start at approximately 9:00 a.m. ET. This year’s French Open is being broadcast on TNT, truTV, and HBO Max.
Make your French Open predictions on PrizePicks for Thursday’s Women’s Semifinals now!
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Marta Kostyuk vs. Mirra Andreeva Prediction, Favorite for French Open Semifinals
Below are the payouts for who will win Thursday’s Kostyuk vs. Andreeva French Open match, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Marta Kostyuk: 1.69x ($100 pays $169)
Mirra Andreeva: 2.08x
On PrizePicks Team Picks, a lower payout multiplier signals a higher implied probability of that result based on user picks.
Payouts are live at the time of writing and are subject to change. Tennis winner markets are available in 35 states.
Marta Kostyuk vs. Mirra Andreeva Prediction for the French Open Semifinal — Thursday, June 4
Match Winner Payouts: Kostyuk 1.69x | Andreeva 2.08x
Tournament Round: Women’s Singles Semifinals
2026 Record Entering the French Open: Kostyuk 17-4 | Andreeva 29-9
Head-to-Head Record: Kostyuk Leads 2-0
Scheduled Time: Not before 9:00 a.m. ET
How to Watch: TNT/HBO Max
No one has been hotter this clay season than Marta Kostyuk. After knocking out Elina Svitolina in the quarterfinals — a player who was on a 10-match win streak herself – Kostyuk has now won 16 straight clay matches.
Along the way, she’s won titles in Rouen and Madrid, and she’s now two victories away from the biggest prize on the red dirt.
That should give her plenty of confidence versus Mirra Andreeva, a player she’s already beaten twice in straight sets this season. One of those victories came during this torrid stretch on clay, as Kostyuk defeated Andreeva in the Madrid final.
Andreeva shouldn’t be written off, though. The world No. 8 has had a stellar clay campaign herself, entering this match with a 20-3 clay record (including a title at Linz) in 2026. Andreeva also has a stellar 77.9% career win percentage on this surface, and this is the third straight French Open she’s reached the quarterfinals or better.
According to Tennis Abstract’s Elo ratings, Andreeva gets the slight nod with a 55.0% win probability.
Make your Kostyuk vs. Andreeva prediction on PrizePicks now!
Marta Kostyuk vs. Mirra Andreeva Pick for the French Open
Kostyuk vs. Andreeva — 21.5 Total Match Games
Over her stellar clay win streak, Kostyuk has really made life difficult for her opponents during their service games. She’s won 54% of her return points across this span, and she’s maintained a 51% clip at this French Open.
For context, the top 50 women have averaged around 45% in this metric this year.
Andreeva has won 46% of her return points on clay this season, but she’s upped that to 53% in Paris.
She completely dominated in this area against an in-form Sorana Cirstea in the quarterfinals by winning an absurd 65% of her receiving points.
With both players putting up so much pressure when their opponents are on serve, we could see some really gritty, tense games, and no lead will necessarily be safe. A deciding set may be required to determine a winner.
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Make Your French Open Predictions on PrizePicks
The stage is set for a fresh face to become the women’s singles French Open champion. Andreeva and Kostyuk are the two highest seeds left in the draw, so it’s possible the winner of this semifinal will ultimately be the one who lifts the trophy at the finish line.
Don’t wait until lock — make your French Open predictions on PrizePicks now.
Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats like games won or aces, or make match winner predictions with Team Picks, available in 35 states!
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