The San Francisco Giants (18-25) and Los Angeles Dodgers (25-18) conclude a four-game series on Thursday, May 14 at 10:10 p.m. ET. Los Angeles snapped a four-game losing streak with a 4-0 shutout victory on Wednesday, as SP Shohei Ohtani delivered 8 Ks across 7 innings.
Manager Dave Roberts revealed that Ohtani would be out of the lineup for the series finale on Thursday after pitching on Wednesday, which could be a precaution the team takes more this season.
Before the final game of the set gets underway, the Dodgers are home favorites with a 1.53x payout if they defeat the Giants, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Below, we'll break down our Giants vs. Dodgers prediction and picks for Thursday’s MLB contest, including the run line, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Giants vs. Dodgers Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Thursday, May 14
To close out this West Coast series, it'll be the Giants’ Landen Roupp (3.11 xFIP across 8 starts and 43.2 IP in 2026) and the Dodgers’ Emmet Sheehan (2.92 xFIP across 7 starts and 35.2 IP) facing each other on the bump.
Roupp has been a major bright spot for the Giants in the early going, ranking in the 91st percentile in xERA (2.54) and 88th percentile in xBA (.198), via Baseball Savant. Back on April 21st against the Dodgers, Roupp posted 7 Ks and coughed up 1 ER, though that outing came at pitcher-friendly Oracle Park.
It’s been a sluggish start for San Francisco’s bats, as the team is producing the third-worst wRC+ (86), second-worst wOBA (.292), and fifth-worst ISO (.123) in the league to begin the 2026 MLB season, per FanGraphs.
Although Sheehan has shown progress in recent starts compared to how he began the year, he’s still in the 45th percentile in xERA (4.14) and 35th percentile in xBA (.254). Pitching at home against a below-average Giants lineup could be exactly what Sheehan needs to build momentum.
Up to this point, the Dodgers’ star-studded lineup is carrying the second-best wRC+ (119), second-best wOBA (.344), and third-best ISO (.170).
Giants vs. Dodgers Winner Payout, Over/Under – Thursday, May 14
The Dodgers enter Thursday’s game as home favorites, returning a 1.53x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Giants vs. Dodgers game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (2.08x payout)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (1.96x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Giants 2.38x | Dodgers 1.53x
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Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Giants vs. Dodgers Prediction on Over/Under – 5/14/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Giants vs. Dodgers prediction on the run total for Thursday, May 14.
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- While Roupp has given up 3+ ER in three of his eight starts, he's surrendered 1 or fewer ER in his other five outings.
- Roupp does a fantastic job limiting loud contact, ranking in the 98th percentile in barrel rate (0.0%), 98th percentile in hard-hit rate (23.8%), and 90th percentile in groundball rate (55.2%).
- Although Sheehan has permitted 3 or more ER in four of his seven starts, he’s been improving his strikeout upside with 7 Ks in three consecutive contests.
- Sheehan is in the 94th percentile in chase rate (36.9%), 87th percentile in whiff rate (31.3%), 84th percentile in strikeout rate (28.3%), and 80th percentile in walk rate (6.6%).
- Against right-handed pitching, the Giants have the fourth-worst wRC+ (87), second-worst wOBA (.293), and fifth-worst ISO (.131).
- Plus, San Francisco has the fifth-highest swing rate on pitches outside the strike zone (35.6%), which could lead to Sheehan generating more swings and misses.
- This is the seventh meeting between the Dodgers and Giants this season. In the previous six matchups, five of them had fewer than 9 total runs scored.
Giants vs. Dodgers Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 5/14/26
Here are the top Giants vs. Dodgers picks to target for Thursday, May 14. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include SPs Emmet Sheehan and Landen Roupp.
Dodgers SP Emmet Sheehan vs. Giants Projection: 17.5 Pitching Outs
- Across his first seven starts in 2026, Sheehan has pitched into the sixth inning just twice.
- Just last season, Sheehan also recorded 18+ outs in only four of his 12 starts.
- With Ohtani tossing seven shutout innings on Wednesday, the Dodgers have plenty of options out of the bullpen, which could lead to Sheehan getting pulled quicker than usual.
- Over the last seven days, the Giants’ bats have shown some signs of life, registering the fifth-best wRC+ (114), seventh-best wOBA (.334), and ninth-best ISO (.153).
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Giants SP Landen Roupp vs. Dodgers Projection: 4.5 Hits Allowed
- Roupp has allowed 5+ hits in only three of his first eight starts.
- Additionally, Roupp’s mixture of a 98th percentile hard-hit rate (23.8%) and 90th percentile ground ball rate (55.2%) has led to him tallying a career-best .269 BABIP.
- There’s also a chance Roupp’s 30th-percentile walk rate (10.7%) could lead to the Dodgers having fewer opportunities to generate hits to get on the base paths.
- In the last week, Los Angeles’ lineup has the eighth-worst wRC+ (77), seventh-worst wOBA (.281), and third-worst BABIP (.210).
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The Dodgers have avoided the sweep in this four-game series, but they can even things up at 2-2 with another win on Thursday. With Roupp and Sheehan on the mound, might we see a low-scoring affair to conclude this series between NL West foes?
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