France vs. Morocco are slated to do battle in the first 2026 World Cup quarterfinal match on Thursday, July 9, at 4 p.m. ET on FOX at Gillette Stadium (Boston Stadium) in Foxborough, Mass.
Tournament-favorite France enter this match as the clear favorite, with a 1.23x payout to advance to the semifinals to face either Spain or Belgium next in the bracket, via PrizePicks.
France outlasted Paraguay in the Round of 16, courtesy of a 70th-minute penalty kick from Kylian Mbappé. Meanwhile, Morocco used a three-goal second half to cruise past Canada in the Round of 16.
Below, we’ll break down our France vs. Morocco prediction and picks for Thursday afternoon’s World Cup 2026 Quarterfinals match, including a pick on total goals and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your France vs. Morocco prediction in the World Cup Quarterfinals on PrizePicks now!
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France vs. Morocco World Cup 2026 Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Thursday, July 9
How to watch France vs. Morocco: FOX (English) | Telemundo (Spanish)
Kickoff Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Gillette Stadium (Boston Stadium), Boston, Mass.
Round: Quarterfinals
France has been a giant throughout World Cup history, winning the tournament twice, and will look to clinch a spot in the World Cup semifinals for the third consecutive tournament.
Les Bleus are coming off arguably their toughest test throughout the 2026 World Cup, as Paraguay flustered the French side at times in a 1-0 decision. Les Bleus dominated possession throughout the match, controlling the ball 76% of the time and registering five shots on goal.
Shifting focus to the World Cup Quarterfinals, DM Aurélien Tchouaméni’s status is up in the air ahead of Thursday’s clash as he continues to deal with a groin injury. Tchouaméni missed France’s Round of 16 matchup against Paraguay, and Manu Koné started in his place.
Head coach Didier Deschamps stated on Wednesday that Aurélien Tchouaméni had been feeling “better,” per ESPN.
Meanwhile, Morocco had its best performance in history at the 2022 World Cup, securing a fourth-place finish.
The Lions of the Atlas came away with a convincing 3-0 win against Canada in the Round of 16. CM Azzedine Ounahi scored a pair of second-half goals to lead the way for Morocco, who took advantage of its limited opportunities in the box.
Morocco will be without ST Ismael Saibari against France after Saibari was forced to leave the match against Canada in the 22nd minute due to a hamstring injury. Head coach Mohamed Ouahbi confirmed that everyone will be available for Morocco in the Quarterfinals, except for Saibari.
France-Morocco: Favorite to Advance, Spread, Total Goals – Thursday, July 9
France enters Tuesday’s match as the clear favorite vs. the last remaining African side, returning a 1.23x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks. Meanwhile, Morocco will aim to reach the Semifinals for the second consecutive World Cup against the tournament favorites.
Here are the full payouts for the France vs. Morocco match on PrizePicks.
- Winner Payout: Morocco – 3.84x | France – 1.23x
- Spread: France -1.5 (2.63x Payout)
- Total Goals: 2.5 (Over – 1.92x)
- Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.85x | No 1.88x
Team Picks markets are settled after full-time (90 minutes + stoppage). Extra time and penalties are not included.
Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.
Make your France vs. Morocco prediction on goals on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!
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France vs. Morocco Prediction for World Cup Quarterfinals on Total Goals
Here are the key stats and trends for France vs. Morocco in the World Cup before making your World Cup 2026 predictions on PrizePicks. Below, we’ll break down the France vs. Morocco total goal projection, set at 2.5.
- France is tied for first among World Cup teams with 2.8 goals per match, while Morocco comes in tied for sixth with 2.0 goals in its five matches.
- According to FotMob, Les Bleus have averaged 60.5% possession, which ranks sixth among World Cup teams. However, Morocco are right behind them with an average possession of 60.4% (8th).
- Both teams have outperformed their expected goals (xG) throughout the 2026 World Cup. France ranks third with 10.7 xG, but has topped that metric by 3.3 goals. Meanwhile, Morocco has tallied 8.3 xG (tied for 10th) and has slightly surpassed it with 10 goals in the tournament.
- France has registered a World Cup-leading 7.8 shots on target per match and converted 15.9% of those shots. On the other hand, Morocco ranks ninth with 5.0 shots on target per match and converts 15.6% of those attempts.
- There have been at least 3 goals scored in two of Morocco’s last three matches. Meanwhile, there have been at least 3 goals in four of France’s five matches during the 2026 World Cup.
Lock in your France vs. Morocco prediction for the 2026 World Cup now!
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France vs. Morocco Lineups for World Cup 2026 – Thursday, July 9
Here are the projected France vs. Morocco lineups for today's Quarterfinal World Cup match. Lineups are not official and are based on historical data.
France Lineup vs. Morocco Today
Projected Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Goalkeeper: Mike Maignan
- Defense: Jules Koundé, Dayot Upamecano, William Saliba, Lucas Digne
- Defensive Midfield: Manu Koné, Adrien Rabiot
- Attacking Midfield: Michael Olise
- Wingers: Bradley Barcola, Ousmane Dembélé
- Striker: Kylian Mbappé
Morocco Lineup vs. France Today
Projected Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Goalkeeper: Yassine Bounou
- Defense: Noussair Mazraoui, Chadi Riad, Issa Diop, Achraf Hakimi
- Midfield: Neil El Aynaoui, Ayyoub Bouaddi
- Forwards: Bilal El Khannouss, Azzedine Ounahi, Brahim Diaz
- Striker: Soufiane Rahimi
France vs. Morocco Picks, Stats for World Cup: 07/9/26
Here are the top France vs. Morocco player picks to target on Thursday, July 9, in the World Cup Quarterfinal. Today’s World Cup 2026 picks are headlined by Kylian Mbappé and Achraf Hakimi.
France ST Kylian Mbappé Pick vs. Morocco
Kylian Mbappé Projections via PrizePicks: 0.5 Goals, 1.5 Shots on Target (Goblin), & 3.5 Shots (Goblin)
- Mbappé has scored at least 1 goal in four of France’s five matches during the 2026 World Cup.
- Mbappé has scored 11 World Cup knockout stage goals in his career — and he broke the all-time record for goals in the knockout stage vs. Sweden.
- The Real Madrid striker has registered at least 2 shots on target in each of his five World Cup matches.
- The Les Bleus standout has tallied at least 4 shots in each of his five matches.
- Mbappé trails only Argentina’s Lionel Messi (8 goals) in the Golden Boot race.
Combine France + Kylian Mbappé World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks
Morocco RB Achraf Hakimi Pick vs. France
Achraf Hakimi Projections via PrizePicks: 54.5 Passes Attempted, 14.5 Fantasy Score, & 1.5 Shots (Demon)
- Hakimi has recorded at least 55 attempted passes in each of his last four World Cup matches, per Opta Analyst.
- Hakimi is averaging 57.5 completed passes per 90 minutes — in the 95th percentile of all World Cup players, per Fotmob.
- The Paris Saint-Germain CB has tallied at least 2 shots in four of his five matches during the 2026 World Cup.
- Hakimi has registered an assist in two games during the World Cup, including assisting Azzedine Ounahi’s 50th-minute goal against Canada in the Round of 16.
Combine Morocco + Achraf Hakimi World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks
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Make Your France vs. Morocco Prediction on PrizePicks
France and Morocco have had no problem putting the ball into the back of the net throughout the 2026 World Cup thus far. With a spot in the World Cup Semifinals on the line, more goals could be on the menu in Thursday’s Quarterfinal showdown.
Don’t wait until lock in this World Cup match today. Make your France vs. Morocco picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right on every game.
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