Week 3 of the 2026 NFL season wraps up with a big-time NFC matchup as the Philadelphia Eagles travel to Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears on Monday Night Football at 8:15 p.m. ET on ABC and ESPN.
Philadelphia enters the matchup as a 3.5-point road favorite, with the total sitting at 41.5 points on PrizePicks.
The two teams enter Monday night heading in opposite directions. Philadelphia is 2-0 after barely surviving the Washington Commanders and Tennessee Titans, while Chicago is 1-1 after a dominant 59-37 victory over Carolina was followed by a disappointing 9-3 loss to the Minnesota Vikings.
Can the Eagles remain unbeaten, or will Chicago's explosive offense find a way to overcome the loss of QB Caleb Williams and pick up a big win in front of their home crowd?
Below, we'll break down our Eagles vs. Bears prediction and picks for Monday Night Football, including the spread, over/under, and player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your Eagles vs. Bears picks on PrizePicks now!
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Eagles vs. Bears Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for Monday Night Football – September 28
The Eagles enter Monday night undefeated, but their 2-0 record hasn't come without some question marks. Philadelphia opened the season with that narrow 24-22 victory over Washington before overcoming a fourth-quarter deficit to beat Tennessee 24-20 in Week 2.
QB Jalen Hurts has been a major reason for the Eagles' early success, completing 40 of 62 passes for 467 yards and 5 TDs. He's also added 62 yards on the ground on just 12 carries.
He was particularly impressive against Tennessee, going 26-of-37 for 264 yards and 2 touchdowns while leading Philadelphia on a nine-play, 65-yard drive in the final two minutes.
The Eagles' passing game has shown a lot more chemistry without WR A.J. Brown. WR DeVonta Smith erupted for 10 catches, 117 yards and a TD against Tennessee, while WR Dontayvion Wicks added 5 catches for 74 yards.
The weather certainly played a factor, but the Bears scored only 3 points against Minnesota last week and were held to a season-low 297 total yards. Chicago's offense produced just a 35% success rate, per RBSDM, while Minnesota held the Bears to -0.14 EPA per play.
Nothing is more important in this game than the Bears' QB situation. QB Caleb Williams suffered his hamstring injury on a fourth-quarter scramble and didn't practice during the week before being ruled out.
Backup QB Tyson Bagent has cleared concussion protocol but practiced only once this week, leaving Chicago to start veteran journeyman QB Case Keenum instead.
With Williams, Chicago generated 0.115 EPA per play, eighth-best in the league. Without him, perhaps they will have to rely more on RB D'Andre Swift, who's also been one of the team's biggest weapons by rushing for 169 yards and 3 TDs on 34 carries.
Eagles vs. Bears Spread, Over/Under – Monday, September 28
Philadelphia enters Monday night's game as a 3.5-point road favorite against the Bears, via PrizePicks, and returns a 1.44x payout with a victory on MNF.
Here are the full payouts for Eagles vs. Bears on PrizePicks.
Make your Eagles vs. Bears prediction on the spread or over/under on PrizePicks.
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Eagles vs. Bears Prediction on Spread for Monday Night Football – 9/28/26
Here are the key stats and predictions behind our Eagles vs. Bears prediction on the spread for Monday night.
- This year’s Eagles have been much more efficient throwing the football than running it. The Eagles generated +0.17 EPA on passing plays against Tennessee but -0.13 EPA on rushing plays.
- The Bears' defense also ranks 21st in defensive EPA/play (+0.042). Its pass defense has allowed +0.162 EPA per dropback, while its rush defense has allowed -0.131 EPA per carry.
- Part of what has made the Chicago offense so good is its effectiveness on third down, converting 51.7% of its opportunities, the fourth-best rate in the NFL.
- I now have serious concerns about how Chicago will hold up on money downs while replacing one of the league's great improviser with the statue-esque Keenum.
- Philly was average against the run last year (14th in EPA/rush). Chicago could hang around by keeping the ball on the ground, but without Williams, Philly can devote extra resources to stopping their next-best offensive weapon in Swift.
- This game will be officiated by Shawn Hochuli. Hurts is 6-1 all time against the spread (ATS) with Hochuli officiating, covering by an average of 6.9 PPG.
Lock in your Eagles vs. Bears prediction on PrizePicks.
Eagles vs. Bears Picks, Player Stats for MNF on PrizePicks: 9/28/26
Here are the top Eagles vs. Bears picks to target on Monday, September 28, including Jalen Hurts and D'Andre Swift on PrizePicks.
Eagles QB Jalen Hurts vs. Bears: 219.5 Pass Yards
- Hurts has looked like a much better pocket passer this season, averaging 233.5 passing yards per game.
- His advanced passing numbers are particularly encouraging. He's produced 517 air yards on 62 attempts, averaging 8.3 air yards per attempt, while allowing his receivers to generate 5.5 yards after the catch per completion.
- The Bears' defense allowed over 360 passing yards to Panthers QB Bryce Young and 140 yards to Vikings signal-caller Carson Wentz in a game with whipping wind and rain.
- The Eagles’ offensive line has done an impressive job of giving Hurts time to throw. He's faced 21 blitzes but has been pressured on only 24.3% of his dropbacks.
Add Jalen Hurts + Eagles to win to your PrizePicks lineup now.
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Bears RB D'Andre Swift vs. Eagles: 61.5 Rush Yards
- Swift has been awesome, averaging exactly 5.0 yards per carry while forcing 7 missed tackles and producing 3.35 yards after contact per attempt, per Pro Football Focus.
- Swift has notched 17 carries per game, meaning he needs to maintain his current 5.0 YPC on roughly just 13 carries to clear this projection.
- Philadelphia's defense has been vulnerable to explosive runs and yards after contact, which makes Swift's efficiency appealing. Philly's allowed the ninth-highest explosive-run rate, the fifth-most yards after contact per attempt, and posted the fifth-highest missed tackle rate.
- Swift and Kyle Monangai rushed for a combined 255 yards against the Eagles just last season.
Add D'Andre Swift + Bears to cover the spread to your PrizePicks lineup now.
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Monday night's matchup will answer a manyuestions about what these Eagles are. Can they go into Chicago and take down a talented Bears team missing their general, or might Chicago establish the run and defend home field while Williams gets healthy?
Don't wait until kickoff — make your Eagles vs. Bears picks on PrizePicks Team Picks. There is a wide variety of player stat projections on the NFL board, so you can make predictions on yards, touchdowns, and more.
With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available on PrizePicks.
Keep it here with the Playbook for continued NFL picks, predictions, futures, and more as we jump into Week 3 of the 2026 NFL season.
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