The Los Angeles Dodgers face the New York Yankees in the second game of their three-game series at 8:08 p.m. ET on Saturday, July 18. The Yankees come in as slight home favorites, and a victory would return a 1.85x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks.
Los Angeles edged out New York 2-1 on Friday night, improving to an MLB-best 62-36 record. New York’s Gerrit Cole took a 1-run lead into the seventh inning, but after convincing manager Aaron Boone to leave him in the game following a leadoff walk, he surrendered a 2-run homer to Max Muncy that proved to be the difference.
Despite the loss, the Bronx Bombers (54-43) are just 2.5 games out of first place in the American League East and continue to hold the top AL Wild Card spot. However, the team has gone just 18-20 since the start of June, coinciding with the absence of injured star OF Aaron Judge (rib).
Below, we'll break down our Dodgers vs. Yankees prediction and picks for Saturday’s MLB matchup, including the run line, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Dodgers vs. Yankees Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Saturday, July 18
In Saturday’s matchup, right-hander Emmet Sheehan will take the mound for the Dodgers, while the Yankees will roll out lefty Ryan Weathers.
Sheehan comes in with an unsightly 4.81 ERA across 17 starts, and home runs have been a significant issue, as he’s coughed up 1.69 HR/9 off a 46.4% fly ball rate. That being said, he’s also put up a solid 3.88 xERA, 26.6% strikeout rate, and 7.4% walk rate, suggesting he may be a bit unlucky.
As for Weathers, he enters with a 4.39 xERA, 26.9% strikeout rate, and 6.6% walk rate over his 18 starts. The southpaw has also struggled with dingers this season (1.47 HR/9), and that’s nothing new given he’s allowed 1.57 HR/9 across 378.2 career innings.
At the end of the day, these two hurlers profile similarly, as both pair above-average strikeout and walk rates with a tendency to surrender the long ball. This shapes up as a fairly even pitching matchup.
Over the full season, these have been two of the league's top offenses. However, with Judge sidelined since the beginning of June, the Yankees' active roster has produced a lackluster 93 wRC+, according to FanGraphs. By comparison, the Dodgers' active roster has posted a 111 wRC+ over that same span.
Dodgers vs. Yankees Winner Payout, Over/Under – Saturday, July 18
The Yankees enter Saturday’s game as a home favorite against the Dodgers, returning a 1.85x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Dodgers vs. Yankees game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: New York Yankees -1.5 (2.7x payout)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (1.75x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Dodgers 1.88x | Yankees 1.85x
Make your Dodgers vs. Yankees prediction on the winner or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Dodgers vs. Yankees Prediction on Over/Under – 7/18/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Dodgers vs. Yankees prediction on the over/under for Saturday, July 18.
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- As noted earlier, both starting pitchers have given up their share of home runs this season. Yankee Stadium has MLB’s third-highest home run park factor, per Baseball Savant.
- Sheehan’s struggles with the long ball stem from a 35.0% ground ball rate (15th percentile) and a 9.7% barrel rate (19th percentile).
- Weathers is also allowing a lot of load contact behind a 10.1% barrel rate (15th percentile) and a 41.5% hard-hit rate (29th percentile).
- Although New York hasn’t performed as well at the plate lately, their roster still owns a 109 wRC+ and .186 ISO vs. righties sans Judge.
- The Dodgers boast a 119 wRC+ and .189 ISO against left-handers this season.
Dodgers vs. Yankees Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 7/18/26
Here are the top Dodgers vs. Yankees picks to target on Saturday, July 18. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Cody Bellinger and Ryan Weathers.
Yankees OF Cody Bellinger vs. Dodgers: 5 Hitter Fantasy Score
- Nine of the 15 home runs Sheehan has given up have come against left-handed batters (1.80 HR/9).
- Bellinger has been one of New York’s better hitters, producing a .351 xwOBA (77th percentile) behind a 15.2% strikeout rate (81st percentile) and a 12.5% walk rate (85th percentile).
- While Bellinger was going through a slump earlier this summer, he’s recorded at least 1 hit in eight of his last 10 games, including five in a row.
- The lefty slugger should be batting cleanup with a right-hander on the mound, potentially putting him in a prime spot to knock in runs.
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Yankees SP Ryan Weathers vs. Dodgers: 5.5 Strikeouts
- Among active rosters, the Dodgers own the league’s sixth-lowest strikeout rate against lefties (19.8%). They also have the seventh-best walk rate (10.1%) in the split.
- Los Angeles leads the league across the board in xwOBA (.346), xSLG (.442), and xBA (.265).
- Since the start of June, Weathers has produced a 23.3% K-rate over his last seven starts.
- The lefty has failed to reach 5+ innings in three of his last six starts.
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The New York Yankees lost a nail-biter to the Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday. Will they bounce back and get their revenge in a potentially even matchup on Saturday night?
Don’t wait until first pitch — make your Dodgers vs. Yankees picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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