Dodgers vs. Mets Prediction, MLB Picks for Saturday, July 25

The Los Angeles Dodgers (66-38) vs. the New York Mets (43-61) is set for 7:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, July 25, live on FOX. According to PrizePicks Team Picks, the Dodgers are favored with a 1.56x payout to win.

Los Angeles controlled Game 1 with a 4-2 win. In Friday’s victory, SP Roki Sasaki went 7 innings and allowed 1 earned run, while 1B Freddie Freeman had 3 hits and scored 2 runs. The Dodgers can clinch the series and will start their ace tonight. The Mets will counter with their top starter and attempt to snap their two-game losing streak.

Below, we'll break down our Dodgers vs. Mets prediction and picks for Saturday’s MLB matchup, including the run line, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Dodgers vs. Mets prediction on PrizePicks now!

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Dodgers vs. Mets Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Saturday, July 25

The Dodgers will start SP Yoshinobu Yamamoto (3.34 xFIP in 119.2 IP, 18 starts). Yamamoto continues to build an elite resume since coming from Japan. After ending the 2025 campaign by winning the World Series MVP, he’s carried that momentum into the 2026 season.

He’s been among the league’s top pitchers over the last few weeks. Since May 18, Yamamoto ranks fourth among starting pitchers with a 2.57 xERA and second in allowing a 30.9% hard-hit rate.

According to Spotrac, the Dodgers have the second-largest payroll in baseball ($302.1 million), and for the most part, it’s money well spent. The back-to-back champions have the best record in the league and are pulling away in the National League West, with their 11-game lead being the largest of any division leader.

Despite their starting pitching ranking second in the league, with a 3.42 ERA, the Dodgers could try to go after the biggest fish in the trade market and add Tigers SP Tarik Skubal to the rotation. If they can pull off that trade, given the talent they already have, they could very well achieve the three-peat.

The Mets will start SP Nolan McLean (3.34 xFIP in 113.1 IP, 20 starts). McLean is a bright spot in a disastrous rotation that’s 22nd in the league with a 4.48 ERA. The Mets likely believe he’s part of their future, so much so that they have announced he's off-limits in trade talks.

Along with McLean, there are four additional players New York says they will not be trading: LF Juan Soto, RF Carson Benge, CF A.J. Ewing, and SP Christian Scott.

The Mets are the team above the Dodgers in payroll ($328.3 million), and unfortunately, that has not translated into the same level of success as the Dodgers. 

Last year, during the first half of the season, it looked like they were going to be a contender, as they were competing against the Phillies to win the NL East. From August 1 onward, they finished with a 21-31 record, the second-worst in the National League and 11.5 games behind in the NL East.

That has carried into the 2026 season, which includes a 12-game losing streak and the third-worst record in the league.

Dodgers vs. Mets Winner Payout, Over/Under – Saturday, July 25

The Dodgers enter Saturday’s game as road favorites, returning a 1.56x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Dodgers vs. Mets game on PrizePicks.

• Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (2.04x payout)
• Over/Under: 7.5 (1.92x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Dodgers 1.56x | Mets 2.32x

Make your Dodgers vs. Mets prediction on the spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 36 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Dodgers vs. Mets Prediction on Spread – 7/25/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Dodgers vs. Mets prediction on the run line for Saturday, July 25.

Data used in this article is from Baseball Savant or FanGraphs.

• The Dodgers' 36-16 record against teams under .500 and 47-26 record against right-handed starters are the best in baseball.
• McLean struggles to get opponents to swing outside the strike zone with a 28.6% chase rate that’s in the 31st percentile. The Dodgers’ 27.1% chase rate is the second-lowest in the league.
• In two career starts against the Dodgers, Yamamoto has a 2.63 ERA and 0.95 WHIP.
• Even when Yamamoto is out of the game, the Mets may have trouble offensively with the Dodgers’ bullpen ranking seventh with a 3.77 ERA.
• The Mets are struggling offensively currently, with their .301 wOBA ranking 21st since July 10.
• McLean isn’t pitching well at Citi Field, going 2-5 with a 4.47 ERA, compared to a 5-1 record and a 2.29 ERA on the road.

Lock in your Dodgers vs. Mets prediction on PrizePicks before the line moves.

Dodgers vs. Mets Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks – 7/25/26

Here are the top Dodgers vs. Mets picks to target on PrizePicks for Saturday, July 25. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Tommy Edman and Juan Soto.

Dodgers LF Tommy Edman vs. Mets: 3.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

• Edman has been one of baseball’s best hitters since his season began in June, following a recovery from an ankle injury. Since June 19, he ranks second in the league in xBA (.334) and seventh in wOBA (.435).
• Edman is a switch hitter and will likely bat from the left side against the right-handed McLean. McLean struggles against left-handed batters at home, allowing a .368 wOBA. 
• McLean throws the sinker more than any other pitch (34%). Edman has excelled against the sinker this season with a .345 xBA, 0.0% whiff rate, and 83.3% hard-hit rate.
• The left-handed Edman is likely to get on base when he puts the ball in play, backed by an impressive .449 BABIP against right-handed pitchers — which is better than his .411 BABIP against southpaws.

Add Tommy Edman to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Mets LF Juan Soto vs. Dodgers: 5.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

• Soto has been one of the best hitters in baseball, ranking in the 96th percentile or higher in several categories, including xwOBA (99th), xBA (98th), xSLG (99th), and squared-up rate (34.9%).
• The Mets left fielder has 1 hit in 3 at-bats against Yamamoto, featuring 1 home run.
• Soto has a higher HR/FB rate against right-handed pitchers (23.9%) than against left-handed pitchers (10.8%). That could be trouble for the right-handed Yamamoto.
• Yamamoto is allowing a 35.0% hard-hit rate, which is only in the 72nd percentile. This could be a disadvantage to Soto’s 48.7% hard-hit rate, which ranks in the 87th percentile.
• Soto’s home/away split is staggering; he is incredible at home with a .452 wOBA compared to a .353 wOBA on the road.

Add Juan Soto to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Dodgers vs. Mets Picks on PrizePicks

The Dodgers are in an Empire State of mind, as they took two of three games against the Yankees in the Bronx, followed by Friday's win against the Mets in Queens. Los Angeles looks to win their third straight series coming out of the All-Star break, aided by Yamamoto getting the ball on Saturday.

Don’t wait until the first pitch happens — make your Dodgers vs. Mets picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 36 states.

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