Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, MLB Picks for Thursday, June 4

The Los Angeles Dodgers (40-22) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (32-29) cap a four-game series on Thursday, June 4, with first pitch slated for 9:40 p.m. ET. According to PrizePicks Team Picks, the Dodgers are a road favorite with a 1.66x payout if they win.

After Arizona won the series opener 4-1 on Monday, Los Angeles has answered with back-to-back wins in 6-5 and 7-0 finals. Will the Dodgers secure a 3-1 series win, or will the D-backs tie the four-game series tonight?

Below, we'll break down our Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks prediction and picks for Thursday’s MLB game, including the winner payouts, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks picks on PrizePicks for tonight's NL West matchup!

{{mlb_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Winner, Over/Under – Thursday, June 4

The Dodgers are rolling with an 8-2 record over their last 10 games, while the Diamondbacks are 1-5 over their previous six matchups.

For Los Angeles, it’s enjoyed exceptional production at the plate with 5.9 runs per game over the last 10 contests — elevated from 5.3 runs per game on the season (first). According to FanGraphs, the Dodgers carry a .254 batting average (fifth), a .345 wOBA (first), and 121 wRC+ (first) over the last 30 days.

Arizona lacks the same success, featuring a .237 batting average (tied for 16th), a .304 wOBA (tied for 21st), and 91 wRC+ (tied for 20th) in the past 30 days. The D-backs’ 4.3 runs per game over the last 10 matchups is slightly below their 4.5 runs per game season average (13th).

Adding to Arizona’s batting troubles, 2B Ketel Marte was out of the lineup on Wednesday and is currently listed as day-to-day.

Dodgers SP Justin Wrobleski will make his 10th start of the season tonight, and he carries a 2.87 ERA, 3.85 xERA, and 4.55 xFIP through 10 appearances and nine starts. Diamondbacks SP Ryne Nelson could put Arizona at a disadvantage, as his 4.82 ERA, 5.03 xERA, and 4.89 xFIP over 12 starts draw concern.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Winner Payout, Over/Under – Thursday, June 4

The Dodgers enter Thursday’s NL West battle as a road favorite against the Diamondbacks, returning a 1.66x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks game on PrizePicks.

• Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (2.08x payout)
• Over/Under: 9.5 (2.04x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Dodgers 1.66x | Diamondbacks 2.12x

Make your Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers prediction on the winner or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction on Spread – 6/4/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks prediction on the run line for Thursday, June 4.

Lock in your Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks prediction on PrizePicks before the first pitch.

• The under is 7-3 in the Dodgers’ last 10 games, and most of this is due to L.A. holding opponents to only 2.7 runs per game over the last 10 contests.
• Over five starts from Dodgers SP Justin Wrobleski in May, Los Angeles won three of five games by at least 2 runs.
• Wrobleski comes off an exceptional start on May 29, pitching for 7.0 innings while allowing only 1 hit and 1 earned run.
• He’s supported by a strong bullpen, as the Dodgers’ relievers boast a 3.13 xERA over the last 30 days (sixth).
• The D-backs are 2-4 in SP Ryne Nelson’s last six starts, including three losses by multiple runs.
• Nelson ceded 9 home runs over six starts in May, contributing to his concerning 2.07 HR/9.
• According to Baseball Savant, Los Angeles carries a 10.1% barrel rate (third) and a 41.4% hard-hit rate (tied for fifth). Plus, it posts 1.4 big flies per contest (third-most).

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks – 6/4/26

Here are the top Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks picks to target on PrizePicks for Thursday, June 4. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Andy Pages and Corbin Carroll.

Dodgers OF Andy Pages vs. Diamondbacks: 5.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

• Baseball Savant gives Ryne Nelson an 11.8% barrel rate allowed (ninth percentile) and a 43.1% hard-hit rate ceded (22nd percentile).
• He also permits a 29.9% ground ball rate (fifth percentile), while FanGraphs gives Arizona’s hurler a 54.4% fly ball rate allowed that’s well above the 39.0% league average.
• Dodgers OF Andy Pages sits second on L.A. with a 42.1% fly ball rate.
• Additionally, Pages sports a 16.3% home run-to-fly ball rate that’s above the 11.0% league average.
• Paired with the potential for good lift, Pages carries a 46.3% hard-hit rate (77th percentile) and a .481 xSLG (82nd percentile).
• Nelson’s most-used pitches are a four-seam fastball (58.0%) and slider (18.4%), and Pages bats .266 and .290 against those pitches this season.
• The Dodgers’ center fielder has posted a 7.6 hitter fantasy score per game over his last five games.

Add Andy Pages to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

{{mlb_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Diamondbacks OF Corbin Carroll vs. Dodgers: 5.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

• While Dodgers SP Justin Wrobleski comes off a strong start, Arizona is a threat with a league-best .279 batting average against left-handed pitching, though this could fall if switch hitter Ketel Marte is out of the lineup.
• Corbin Carroll has raked to the tune of .411 against southpaws and has 1 hit over 3 at-bats against Wrobleski (.333).
• Carroll’s 91.4 average exit velocity (85th percentile), 12.3% barrel rate (77th percentile), and 50.3% hard-hit rate (90th percentile) could pose problems for Wrobleski — who allows a 41.2% hard-hit rate (34th percentile).
• Further, Los Angeles’ lefty features a four-seam fastball (51.3%) and slider (33%). Carroll has hit .268 and .296 against these pitches, with 5 of his 8 homers coming against four-seamers and sliders.

Add Corbin Carroll to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Picks on PrizePicks

The Dodgers lead the NL West by seven games. Arizona is in third place in the division and 7.5 games behind Los Angeles. Will the D-backs cut into the Dodgers’ lead and tie the four-game series with a win tonight?

Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

Stay locked in on Playbook for daily MLB predictions, picks, and news every day all the way through the 2026 MLB season.