Dodgers vs. Braves Prediction, MLB Picks for NLDS Game 4 – Wednesday, October 7

First pitch for the Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves game is set for 6 p.m. ET on Wednesday, October 7, at Truist Park in Atlanta.

The Dodgers are one win away from advancing to the NLCS after taking a 2-1 series lead with Tuesday's 3-1 victory. Los Angeles turns to SP Tyler Glasnow in Game 4, while Atlanta counters with SP Tyler Mahle in a must-win game. The Dodgers enter Game 4 as road favorites, returning a 1.63x payout if they win outright.

Will the Dodgers take a big step toward their third straight World Series, or can Mahle and the Braves force a Game 5 with a huge victory in front of their own faithful?

Below, we'll break down our Dodgers vs. Braves prediction and picks for Wednesday's NLDS Game 4, including the winner, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Dodgers vs. Braves picks on PrizePicks now.

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Dodgers vs. Braves Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under for NLDS Game 4 – Wednesday, October 7

Glasnow gets the ball for Los Angeles in what can only be described as a dominant display of pitching depth. The right-hander's strikeout ability is particularly impressive, as he owns one of the league's nastiest swing-and-miss arsenals.

The Dodgers got 3.0 brilliant innings from SP Yoshinobu Yamamoto last night, and as a result, they used only two arms from their bullpen: RP Tanner Scott and closer Edwin Diaz. This should leave the bullpen in good shape if Glasnow struggles early in this matchup.

Atlanta responds with Mahle, whom the Braves acquired as a trade-deadline acquisition from the San Francisco Giants.

Mahle has been very good since joining the Braves. He posted a first-half xFIP of 4.16 as a Giant but owned just a 3.5 xFIP in the second half as a Brave. His biggest improvement was a significant reduction in his walk rate; he walked 3.69 BB/9 in the first half compared to a minuscule 1.77 BB/9 in the second half.

The Braves did have to use four arms out of the bullpen after getting just 5.0 innings from SP Chris Sale last night, but in a must-win game, it still may be all hands on deck if Mahle struggles early and often.

Dodgers vs. Braves Winner Payout, Over/Under for NLDS Game 4 – Wednesday, October 7

The Dodgers enter Game 4 as road favorites against the Braves, returning a 1.63x payout if they win outright.

Here are the full payouts for the Dodgers vs. Braves game on PrizePicks.

Play the Dodgers vs. Braves spread or over/under on PrizePicks.

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Dodgers vs. Braves Prediction on Winner for NLDS Game 4 – 10/7/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Dodgers vs. Braves prediction on the winner for Wednesday's NLDS Game 4.

Unless otherwise noted, data used in this article is from FanGraphs or Baseball Savant.

• The Dodgers were the much better offensive team this season. Los Angeles finished with a 111 wRC+, second in the majors, compared to Atlanta's 97 wRC+ (20th).
• The Braves' poor offensive season has carried over into the postseason, where they've posted just a 78 wRC+ as a team compared to the Dodgers 93 mark.
• Over the final month of the regular season, Atlanta produced only an 88 wRC+, while the Dodgers posted a 121 wRC+. Los Angeles also led MLB in xwOBA during that period at .343.
• The Dodgers have a clear starting-pitching advantage, with Glasnow’s xFIP (2.89) sitting almost a full run below Mahle’s (3.85).
• The bullpen gap is even more pronounced. Los Angeles finished with an 85 FIP- from its bullpen, the best mark in the National League, while Atlanta's bullpen finished at 95 (seventh).
• On top of having better back-end pitchers, L.A. also has more rested arms after needing half as many relievers as Atlanta last night.

Lock in your Dodgers vs. Braves prediction on PrizePicks now.

Dodgers vs. Braves Picks, Player Stats for NLDS Game 4 on PrizePicks: 10/7/26

Here are the top Dodgers vs. Braves picks to target for Wednesday's NLDS Game 4. Today's MLB picks for PrizePicks include Tyler Glasnow and Tyler Mahle.

Dodgers P Tyler Glasnow vs. Braves: 6.5 Strikeouts

• This is a great spot for Glasnow to rack up the strikeouts against a Braves offense that boasts a 24.7% strikeout rate thus far in the postseason.
• Glasnow is one of the league’s truly elite strikeout arms. He averaged 11.9 K/9 during the regular season, recording 98 Ks in just 74 innings.
• His 35.3% strikeout rate and 35.4% whiff rate are both elite and helped him clear this projection in 10 of his 13 regular-season starts.
• Glasnow has been slightly better on the road, posting a 2.18 FIP and 2.73 xFIP away from home compared to a 3.32 FIP and 3.07 xFIP in Los Angeles.
• He's also upped his strikeout stuff in the second half of the season. He had an incredible 11.12 K/9 during the first half of the season and somehow upped it to an otherworldly 12.84 K/9 in the second half.

Add Tyler Glasnow + Dodgers to win to your PrizePicks lineup now.

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Braves P Tyler Mahle vs. Dodgers: 4 Strikeouts

• Mahle averaged 5.1 strikeouts per start during the regular season, leaving little cushion above this projection — especially in the postseason, when managers' hooks are much quicker.
• His 10.4% swinging-strike rate also suggests that he doesn't consistently generate the type of whiffs needed to pile up strikeouts against an elite offense. Los Angeles' 20.4% strikeout rate was the fourth lowest during the regular season.
• Mahle has faced Los Angeles eight times, good for 45.2 career innings, recording 33 strikeouts (6.5 K/9).
• Mahle posted a 7.73 K/9 at home this season compared to an 8.84 K/9 on the road. He also saw his strikeout rate dip slightly during the second half of the season from 8.42/9 to 8.11/9. 

Add Tyler Mahle + Braves to win to your PrizePicks lineup now.

Make Dodgers vs. Braves Picks on PrizePicks

The Dodgers are one win away from another NLCS appearance, while the Braves are fighting to keep their season alive.

Atlanta has home-field advantage and a talented enough lineup to make this interesting, but Los Angeles has the better overall pitching situation, more postseason experience, and most importantly a 2-1 series lead.

Can Atlanta live to see another day, or will L.A. continue to be the class of baseball? Make your Dodgers vs. Braves picks on PrizePicks now. Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you're right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on MLB game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 36 states.

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