Canada vs. Morocco Prediction, World Cup Picks, Lineups for Round of 16

For the first time in their nation’s history, Canada has advanced out of the group stage of the World Cup and won a knockout stage game — a narrow 1-0 victory vs. South Africa‚.

Next, Canada is set to play in the first game of the Round of 16 vs. Morocco on Saturday, July 4, at 1:00 p.m. ET, live on FOX and Telemundo from NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas.

Although Canadians are rooting for the Reds to be alive in the Quarterfinals as a co-host nation, Morocco is heavily favored, with a 1.33x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks. The winner will go onto face France or Paraguay in the World Cup Semifinals.

Morocco has already defeated a much more highly ranked team in the Netherlands to get here, in a match that was decided in penalty kicks.

Below, we’ll break down our Canada vs. Morocco prediction and World Cup picks for Saturday’s Round of 16 match, including to advance markets, spread, total goals, and best players for PrizePicks.

Make your Canada vs. Morocco World Cup prediction and picks on PrizePicks now!

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Canada vs. Morocco Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, July 4

How to watch Canada vs. Morocco: FOX (English) / Telemundo/Peacock (Spanish)

Kickoff Time: 1:00 p.m. ET

Venue: NRG Stadium (Houston Stadium) in Houston, Texas

The Round of 16 gets underway with Canada vs. Morocco on Saturday, July 4. These two sides met at the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, with Morocco winning 2-1 en route to a fourth-place finish in the tournament. Now, they are favored to win again vs. Canada.

En route to the Round of 16, Canada has not lacked scoring opportunities. Manager Jesse Marsch’s side has the eighth-most goals per match (2.3), third-most xG (8.9), and third-most shots on target per match (7.0), per FotMob.

However, it remains to be seen what Canada looks like against a Morocco team that is easily the toughest opponent the Reds have faced so far.

Against a South Africa side that was 27th in our power rankings entering the Round of 32, Canada needed a 92nd-minute strike from CM Stephen Eustaquio to earn a spot in the Round of 16 in regulation time.

After finishing in fourth place at the 2022 World Cup, Morocco is proving that it isn’t a fluke by reaching the Round of 16. Morocco took down a talented Netherlands squad in the Round of 32 on penalties.

The stats certainly show Morocco outplayed the Netherlands, tallying 11 shots (7 in open play), compared to the Dutch putting up only 6 shots (3 in open play), per WhoScored. Morocco has proven to be a team that can control the tempo of games and is on the ball often, registering the seventh-most average possession (61.7%) in the tournament.

Aside from Morocco having the third-lowest payout to qualify for the quarterfinals (1.33x) with a win, they have the lowest payout to be the furthest-advancing African nation (1.16x) as well, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Canada vs. Morocco: Favorite to Advance, Spread, Total for World Cup Round of 16

Morocco enters Saturday’s game as the favorite, returning a 1.31x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks. Meanwhile, Canada will need to continue creating attacking opportunities to put pressure on Morocco’s back line, which has shown to be vulnerable at time this World Cup.

Here are the full payouts for the Canada vs. Morocco match on PrizePicks.

To Advance Payout: Canada – 3.12x | Morocco – 1.33x

Spread: Morocco -1.5 (3.57x Payout) 

Total Goals: 2.5 (Over – 2.22x)

Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.96x | No 1.78x

Make your Canada vs. Morocco prediction on spread or goals on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

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Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.

Team Picks markets are settled after full-time (90 minutes + stoppage). Extra time and penalties are not included.

Canada vs. Morocco Prediction on Total Goals for Round of 16 

The total goals line – or over/under – is set at 2.5 for Canada vs. Morocco on PrizePicks. Here are the Canada vs. Morocco stats and trends to know before making your World Cup 2026 predictions on PrizePicks.

• If Canada presses as much as they did against South Africa, Morocco has the firepower to take advantage.
• Whenever Canada faced a team that had any attacking threat in this World Cup, they lost 2-1 to Switzerland. The Swiss are seventh in big chances created (15) and ninth in shots on target per match (5.8).
• Meanwhile, Morocco is also seventh in big chances created (15) and 13th in shots on target per match (5.3).
• Morocco has failed to keep a clean sheet in four of their last five matches across all competitions.
• Canada is first in accurate crosses per match (7.3) and seventh in big chances created (15).
• Over their last three matches, Canada has seen at least 3 total goals scored in two of them.

Lock in your Canada vs. Morocco prediction for the 2026 World Cup now!

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Canada vs. Morocco Lineups for Round of 16 – Saturday, July 4

These are the projected Canada vs. Morocco lineups for Saturday's World Cup knockout stage match. Starting XIs are not official and are based on consensus projections.

Canada Lineup vs. Morocco Today

Projected Formation: 4-4-2

• Goalkeeper: Maxime Crépeau
• Defense: Richie Laryea, Derek Cornelius, Moïse Bombito, Alistair Johnston
• Midfield: Liam Millar, Stephen Eustaquio, Nathan Saliba, Tajon Buchanan
• Forwards: Jonathan David, Cyle Larin

Morocco Lineup vs. Canada Today

Projected Formation: 4-2-3-1

• Goalkeeper: Yassine Bounou
• Defense: Noussair Mazraoui, Chadi Riad, Issa Diop, Achraf Hakimi
• Midfield: Neil El Aynaoui, Ayyoub Bouaddi
• Forwards: Bilal El Khannouss, Azzedine Ounahi, Azzedine Ounahi
• Striker: Ismael Saibari

Canada vs. Morocco World Cup Picks, Player Stats for Round of 16

Here are the top Canada vs. Morocco picks to target on PrizePicks for Saturday, July 4. Today’s World Cup 2026 picks are headlined by Achraf Hakimi and Jonathan David.

Morocco RB Achraf Hakimi vs. Canada 

Achraf Hakimi Projections via PrizePicks: 2 Shots, 0.5 Shots on Target, 2.5 Shots Assisted, 15.5 Fantasy Score

• PSG right back Achraf Hakimi is a key piece in moving the ball into the attack for Morocco.
• Hakimi ranks in the 97 percentile in the World Cup with 2.08 successful crosses and 3.23 chances created per 90 minutes, per Fotmob.
• Hakimi has taken at least 2 shots in each of his first four starts at the 2026 World Cup.
• In addition to leading Morocco in shots per 90 minutes (3.0), Hakimi has the second-most shots on target per 90 (0.9) on the squad.
• From his right back position, Hakimi consistently presses forward in the attack, and he has the most chances created (14) and big chances created (3) on Morocco.
• As a result of his offensive prowess as a defender, Hakimi also has the most xG + xA per 90 (0.69) for Morocco.

Combine Morocco + Achraf Hakimi World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks

Canada ST Jonathan David vs. Morocco

Jonathan David Projections via PrizePicks: 2 Shots, 20.5 Passes Attempted, 6.5 Fantasy Score, 0.5 Goal + Assist (Demon)

• David has posted 2 or more shots in all four of his starts in the 2026 World Cup, and he’s played 90 minutes in three straight games.
• On top of that, David has the second-most shots per 90 (4.1) and shots on target per 90 (1.9) for Canada.
• Canada needs David and ST Cyle Larin to be involved often, and David has made at least 21 passes in three consecutive matches.
• David produced a hat trick in the group stage vs. Qatar, which has helped him record the second-most xG + xA per 90 (0.82) for Canada.

Combine Canada + Jonathan David World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks

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Make Your Canada vs. Morocco Prediction on PrizePicks

Morocco has proven they are going to be tough out in the 2026 World Cup, after a deep run at the 2022 World Cup. Will we get goals in Morocco’s Round of 16 match against Canada?

Don’t wait until lock on this Round of 16 match today. Make your Canada vs. Morocco picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right on every World Cup Round of 16 game.

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