Brewers vs. Dodgers Prediction, MLB Picks for NLCS Game 4 – Thursday, October 15

Game 4 of the NLCS between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Los Angeles Dodgers is set for 8:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, October 15, at Dodger Stadium. According to PrizePicks, the Dodgers are a home favorite with a 1.61x payout to win.

Milwaukee is on the verge of a World Series appearance with a commanding 3-0 lead. The Brewers opened the series with a 2-1 win, then won Game 2 (7-4) and followed up with a 6-2 win on Wednesday.

Can Milwaukee finish the job on the road and complete the sweep? Dodgers SP Tyler Glasnow looks to stave off the elimination and force a Game 5.

Below, we'll break down our Brewers vs. Dodgers prediction and picks for Thursday's Game 4, including the winner and player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your picks for Brewers vs. Dodgers on PrizePicks now.

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Brewers vs. Dodgers Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under for NLCS Game 4 – Thursday, October 15

The Dodgers enter Game 4 as the home favorites, returning a 1.61x payout if they win outright — or a $161 return on a $100 entry if you're right.

Here are the full payouts for the Brewers vs. Dodgers game. PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Make your Brewers vs. Dodgers prediction on the winner on PrizePicks.

Tyler Glasnow (2.89 xFIP) will take the ball for Los Angeles as the Dodgers' season hangs in the balance.

The right-hander finished an impressive regular season with a 3.53 ERA, 98 strikeouts, and a 0.95 WHIP over 74 innings. He will, however, have to overcome some command issues that plagued him in his last outing against Atlanta in the NLDS. 

Glasnow allowed just 1 earned run over 4.2 innings in that outing, but he issued 5 walks and needed 78 high-intensity pitches to get through the frame.

The Brewers have not announced a conventional starter for Game 4, with manager Pat Murphy expected to use a bullpen game.

Fortunately for the Brewers, their pen has been absolutely lights out, and they have several fresh arms available, including LHP Kyle Harrison, LHP Shane Drohan, RHP Chad Patrick, and RHP Dustin May.

Milwaukee's pitching staff as a whole has been excellent throughout October, and the bullpen has repeatedly delivered in high-leverage situations. Closer Trevor Megill recorded the final 4 outs in Game 3 to secure the victory, while RHP Robert Gasser delivered 5.0 scoreless innings before LHP DL Hall helped bridge the gap.

The Brew Crew offense has been on fire this postseason, and they have done it their way, by working counts, putting the ball in play, and running the bases hard. C William Contreras has led the team with a ridiculous 238 wRC+ in October, but the team has gotten contributions up and down the lineup.

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Brewers vs. Dodgers Prediction on Winner for NLCS Game 4 – 10/15/26

Here are the key stats and trends behind our Brewers vs. Dodgers prediction on the winner for Thursday's NLCS Game 4.

Unless otherwise noted, data used in this article is from FanGraphs, Baseball Savant, and MLB.com.

• After being swept by the Dodgers in the 2025 NLCS, the Brewers have a legitimate chance at exacting revenge on L.A. by sweeping them and celebrating their World Series appearance on the Dodgers’ home field. 
• While a bullpen game can be worrisome, it could actually favor the Brewers tonight, as many of their arms have worked both as starters and relievers and can mix and match well against the Dodgers' hitters.
• Glasnow’s command issues draw concern against a Brewers lineup that led all of baseball in BB% (10.6%).
• That patient approach has carried into the postseason, as Milwaukee leads all postseason teams in BB% (11.8%) and wRC+ (107).
• The Brewers have been miles better than the Dodgers offensively, who can’t seem to string together at-bats, ranking ninth of 12 postseason teams with 63 wRC+ in October.
• These were two of the best bullpens in baseball during the regular season, with just a 0.02 xFIP differential (LAD 3.74 & MIL 3.76).
• The Brewers pen has been fantastic in the postseason, though, leading all teams in ERA (1.70) and posting the second-lowest opponent batting average (.174).
• The Dodgers’ pen has been good, but still worse than Milwaukee, posting a 2.94 ERA in October.

Lock in your Brewers vs. Dodgers prediction on PrizePicks.

Brewers vs. Dodgers Picks, Player Stats for NLCS on PrizePicks – 10/15/26

Here are two Brewers vs. Dodgers player picks to consider on PrizePicks for Thursday's NLCS Game 4. Today's MLB picks include Tyler Glasnow and Christian Yelich.

Brewers DH Christian Yelich vs. Dodgers: 4.5 Fantasy Score

• Yelich has been awesome in the postseason so far. He has recorded at least 1 hit in all five postseason starts and multiple hits in two of them.
• He has exceeded this projection in four of his five postseason starts.
• Glasnow is not good at holding runners on base. Opposing baserunners went 14 for 17 on stolen-base attempts against him in the regular season, giving Yelich another path to accrue fantasy points.
• Glasnow has given up a 3.30 xFIP and 38.8% hard-hit rate against lefties compared to a 2.27 xFIP and 29.5% hard-hit rate against righties.

Add Christian Yelich to your PrizePicks lineup now.

Dodgers SP Tyler Glasnow vs. Brewers: 6 Strikeouts

• Glasnow’s command issues forced him under his 5.5 projection vs. Atlanta, as he finished with just 5 strikeouts.
• Now he faces an even tougher matchup against a Milwaukee team that has had the best postseason offense so far and simply does not give away at-bats.
• The Brewers are striking out just 21.4% of the time in October, the fourth-lowest strikeout rate among postseason teams.
• With the Dodgers' season on the line tonight, I expect a quick hook for manager Dave Roberts if Glasnow’s command issues resurface or he starts to wear down in the fourth or fifth inning.
• L.A. surprisingly opted not to use some of its high-leverage arms last night, instead using LHP Justin Wrobleski and RHP Roki Sasaki for a few innings. This leaves all the big guns in the pen ready to go at a moment's notice.

Add Tyler Glasnow to your PrizePicks lineup now.

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Make Brewers vs. Dodgers Picks on PrizePicks

The 2026 NLCS reaches a pivotal Game 4 with Milwaukee one win away from its first World Series appearance since 1982. The Brewers have relied on timely power, strong pitching, and a bullpen that has consistently delivered in high-pressure situations.

Don't wait until the first pitch — make your Brewers vs. Dodgers picks on PrizePicks now. Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you're right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 36 states.

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