Brewers vs. Dodgers Prediction, MLB Picks for NLCS Game 3 – Wednesday, October 14

The Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers continue their best-of-seven National League Championship Series at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, October 14, and the matchup will air on FS1. The Dodgers are home favorites and return a 1.53x payout if they win outright, per PrizePicks.

While Games 1 and 2 were both close, the Brewers took care of business at home and arrive in Los Angeles carrying a 2-0 series lead. That leaves the Dodgers with what’s just about a must-win game. Will the two-time defending World Series champions strike back on their home turf?

Below, we'll break down our Brewers vs. Dodgers prediction and picks for Wednesday’s NLCS Game 3 matchup, including the favorite, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Brewers vs. Dodgers picks for NLCS Game 3 on PrizePicks now!

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Brewers vs. Dodgers Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under for NLCS Game 3 – Wednesday, October 14

The Dodgers enter Wednesday’s game as a home favorite against the Brewers, returning a 1.53x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks — or an estimated $153 on a $100 entry.

Here are the full payouts for the Brewers vs. Dodgers game on PrizePicks. PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Make your Brewers vs. Dodgers prediction on winner, over/under, and more on PrizePicks.

In Game 3, the Brewers will turn to SP Robert Gasser to start while the Dodgers roll with SP Blake Snell, giving us a lefty-lefty battle to open Wednesday’s festivities.

In the NLDS, Gasser helped close out the series in Game 4, limiting the San Diego Padres to 1 earned run over 4.0 innings with 3 strikeouts. The 27-year-old threw just 56 pitches in that start, though it’s possible Milwaukee gives him a longer leash this time around to preserve the bullpen.

During the regular season, Gasser posted mostly middle-of-the-road numbers over 109.1 innings, amassing a 4.27 xERA (40th percentile), 22.3% strikeout rate (49th percentile), and 7.4% walk rate (67th percentile), per Baseball Savant.

The southpaw did do a good job of suppressing hard contact, though, allowing a 34.0% hard-hit rate (82nd percentile) and 86.5 mph average exit velocity (93rd percentile).

For Snell, this will be just his 11th start all season, as injuries have once again limited his time on the mound. He started Game 2 of the NLDS, and his performance was a mixed bag at best. While Snell held the Atlanta Braves to 1 earned run and logged 5 strikeouts, he lasted just 3.2 innings due to issuing 5 walks.

The good news is he reached 90 pitches, so his workload shouldn't be an issue. He could pitch deeper into the game if he’s less wild on Wednesday.

Snell was effective when healthy over his nine regular-season outings, recording a 2.17 xERA and 31.8% strikeout rate across 42.2 innings. His 9.2% walk rate over those starts was actually a step up from his career average (10.8%), but as his last appearance showed, free passes can still derail him at times.

Although both teams were among the best offenses during the regular season, they’ve had far different results during the playoffs.

In the regular season, Milwaukee ranked third in wRC+ (107) while Los Angeles was second (111). However, during this postseason, the Brewers have led all teams in wRC+ (107) while the Dodgers have the worst mark (67) among the teams still alive.

An intriguing wrinkle in all of this is the struggles of DH Shohei Ohtani, who appears to be playing at less than 100%. He’s slashing .150/.261/.150 with a 29.2% strikeout rate over 24 postseason plate appearances.

The Dodgers were reportedly thinking about benching their star slugger, but he will remain in the lineup for Game 3.

Brewers vs. Dodgers Prediction on Over/Under for NLCS Game 3 – 10/14/26

Here are the key MLB stats and trends behind our Brewers vs. Dodgers prediction on the over/under for Wednesday, October 14.

• In the regular season, the Brewers averaged 5.08 runs per game, and the Dodgers averaged 4.88. Both were top-four marks.
• Despite Los Angeles’ lackluster results at the plate this postseason, it's still posted an encouraging .321 xwOBA that isn’t far behind Milwaukee’s .330. 
• The Dodgers also have an unusually low .216 BABIP in the playoffs despite putting up a 41.7% hard-hit rate and 9.7% barrel rate.
• During the regular season, Gasser posted a 4.76 xERA vs. right-handed batters compared to a 3.33 xERA against lefties. The southpaw projects to face six righties in tonight’s Dodgers lineup.
• Including the postseason, Snell has recorded an 11% walk rate or higher in five of his 10 starts this year. He’s issued 3+ walks four times.
• The Brewers led the league in walk rate during the regular season (10.6%). They’ve produced an 11.8% walk rate so far this postseason.

Lock in your Brewers vs. Dodgers prediction on PrizePicks for NLCS Game 3 tonight.

Brewers vs. Dodgers Picks, Player Stats for NLCS Game 3: 10/14/26

Here are the top Brewers vs. Dodgers picks to target on Wednesday, October 14. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include William Contreras and Teoscar Hernandez.

Brewers C William Contreras vs. Dodgers: 5 Fantasy Score

• Contreras has been red-hot at the plate in the playoffs, boasting a .522 wOBA and .391 ISO across 27 PAs. He’s also posted a stellar 11.1% strikeout rate and 14.8% walk rate.
• He’s consistently made loud contact, already tallying 12 hard hits (60.0% rate) this postseason.
• During the regular season, Contreras recorded a fantastic 14.7% K-rate (84th percentile). He was also in the 71st percentile for both hard-hit rate (44.1%) and average exit velocity (90.3 mph).
• Contreras has scored 6+ fantasy points in three of his last four games.
• The Brewers backstop was second on the team in RBIs (94) this year. He’s typically hit third during these playoffs. 

Add William Contreras + Brewers to win to your PrizePicks lineup now.

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Dodgers LF Teoscar Hernandez vs. Brewers: 4.5 Fantasy Score

• Although Hernandez has mostly been quiet across 24 postseason PAs, he’s put up an encouraging .347 xwOBA. He’s recorded 3 barrels (18.8% rate) and 8 hard hits (50.0% rate).
• In the regular season, Hernandez was in the 71st percentile or better in barrel rate (10.7%), hard-hit rate (44.8%), and average exit velocity (90.3 mph).
• Gasser's aforementioned xERA vs. righties also included giving up 1.57 HR/9 off a 45.7% fly ball rate in the split. He had a lower strikeout rate (21.8%), too.
• Hernandez posted a massive 148 wRC+ against left-handers compared to just a 92 wRC+ against righties this year. He also had better marks in ISO (.212), strikeout rate (22.2%), and walk rate (12.4%).
• He’s consistently hit in the heart of the order in the playoffs and could bat as high as third tonight.   

Pick Teoscar Hernandez + Dodgers to win on PrizePicks for higher payouts!

Make Brewers vs. Dodgers Game 3 Picks on PrizePicks

The Los Angeles Dodgers badly need a win tonight to avoid going down 3-0 to the Milwaukee Brewers. Will they bounce back in Game 3, or will Milwaukee take complete control of the NLCS?

Don’t wait until the first pitch of NLCS Game 3 tonight — make your Brewers vs. Dodgers picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on MLB game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 36 states.

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