Brewers vs. Dodgers Prediction, MLB Picks for Friday, August 14

The Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers game is set for 10:10 p.m. ET on Friday, August 14, with the Dodgers entering as home favorites, returning a 1.49x payout if they win, via PrizePicks.

Today’s contest is Game 2 of a four-game series between these National League powerhouses. The Dodgers won the first series in Milwaukee 2-1, but it was the Brewers who got off to a hot start in this series with a 5-4 come-from-behind win last night. Will the Dodgers tie the series against a fellow World Series favorite tonight?

Below, we'll break down our Brewers vs. Dodgers prediction and picks for Friday’s MLB game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Brewers vs. Dodgers picks on PrizePicks now.

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Brewers vs. Dodgers, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Friday, August 14

If last night’s game was any indication of what this series will look like, then baseball fans are winning. 

The Brewers are 75-47 with the second-best run differential in baseball (+131). However, the Chicago Cubs are just four games behind them for the lead in the NL Central, so every game is still of major importance for the Brew Crew.

The Crew will send SP Robert Gasser (4.15 xERA) to the mound tonight. Gasser has been serviceable for the Brewers this season—especially in the second half, where his 3.68 xFIP ranks a full run ahead of his first-half mark (4.68).

He will have to do a better job of keeping the ball in the yard, though, as his 2.05 HR/9 mark on the road could be a recipe for disaster against a Dodgers team that can slug with the very best.

The Dodgers will look to rebound from a disastrous ninth inning last night, which saw closer Edwin Diaz blow a 4-2 lead in the final frame on the back of giving up 4 straight singles.

Even with that loss, the Dodgers are still 73-49 with the best run differential in MLB (+141). They are eight games ahead of the San Diego Padres for the lead in the NL West and remain the overwhelming favorite to hoist their third straight World Series.

Los Angeles will have SP Yoshinobu Yamamoto (3.15 xERA) toe the rubber tonight. Yamamoto’s 2.65 ERA is certainly impressive, but his 3.46 xFIP is the highest of his three-year Dodgers career, while his 8.2 K/9 is over 2 strikeouts worse than he had in his first two seasons.

L.A. has an overwhelming amount of pitching talent, but it will need last year’s World Series MVP to up his level of play if it wants to go back-to-back-to-back in October.

Brewers vs. Dodgers Winner Payout, Over/Under – Friday, August 14

The Dodgers enter Friday’s game as home favorites against the Brewers, returning a 1.49x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Brewers vs. Dodgers game on PrizePicks.

Make your Brewers vs. Dodgers prediction on the spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 36 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Brewers vs. Dodgers Prediction on Winner – 8/14/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Brewers vs. Dodgers prediction on the winner for Friday, August 14.

Unless otherwise noted, data used in this article is from Baseball Savant or FanGraphs.

• The Brewers are 63-59-0 (51.6%) against the spread (ATS) this season, comfortably in the top half of covering percentages in the league.
• The Dodgers, meanwhile, have consistently fallen short, as seen by their 50-72-0 (41%) ATS record (third-worst).
• While the Dodgers hold the slight season-long advantage offensively, the Brewers' wRC+ (99) ranks 2 points ahead of the boys in blue (97) over the last month.
• Based on the names, the starting pitcher matchup seems to lean with the Dodgers, but Robert Gasser’s 3.68 second-half xFIP is actually ahead of Yamamoto’s 4.20 second-half xFIP.
• The Brew Crew could also have a major advantage in the late stages of this game, as their bullpen (3.36 xFIP last 14 days) is tied for second-best in the league.
• The Dodgers pen in that same span ranks 21st with a 4.87 xFIP.
• These two teams are much more evenly matched than tonight’s projections indicate, suggesting the Brewers may keep in close.

Lock in your Brewers vs. Dodgers prediction on PrizePicks before the first pitch.

Brewers vs. Dodgers Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks – 8/14/26

Here are the top Brewers vs. Dodgers picks to target on PrizePicks for Friday, August 14. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Robert Gasser and Yoshinobu Yamamoto.

Brewers SP Robert Gasser vs. Dodgers: 15.5 Pitcher Outs

• As solid as Gasser has been in the second half, surpassing this projection could be a herculean task against a Dodgers offense that is tied for first in wRC+ (+111).
• Gasser has gone above this projection only once in his last five starts, and that came at home against one of the worst offenses in baseball, the Colorado Rockies.
• For the season, the Dodgers are tied for fourth with a 9.8% BB%. This could force Gasser’s pitch count up early and shorten his overall outing.
• The Brewer’s lefty has struggled a bit more on the road with a 5.36 FIP compared to 3.80 at home.
• Milwaukee only used three relievers last night, leaving it with a plethora of arms that should be fresh and ready to jump in should Gasser struggle in the middle innings of his outing.

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Dodgers SP Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs. Brewers: 7 Strikeouts

• As mentioned, this has not been the same Yamamoto in the strikeout department this season, with his 8.2 K/9 being the lowest of his career dating back to his 2019 season with the Orix Buffaloes in Japan.
• Part of the reason for his decreased strikeout rate is his 11.1% SwStr%, which is 1.5% lower than his 2025 mark of 12.6%.
• Yamamoto has not had more than 7 punch-outs in his last five starts and only once in his last 10 outings.
• His K/9 in the second half of the season is a lowly 6.59; perhaps he is feeling some fatigue from plenty of innings pitched in 2025, including his jaw-dropping performances in the playoffs and World Series.
• The Brewers offense is ranked with the 11th-lowest K% this season (21.5%). 
• Milwaukee also has the league’s highest walk rate (10.8%), which could lead to some extended at-bats for the Dodgers righty, potentially shortening his start tonight.

Add Yoshinobu Yamamoto to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Brewers vs. Dodgers Picks on PrizePicks

We may very well be watching a preview of the NLCS between these two titans. The Brewers' small-ball, keep-the-line-moving approach collides with the overwhelming offensive talent of the Dodgers. Will L.A. be able to even the series tonight?

Don’t wait until lock—make your Brewers vs. Dodgers picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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