Braves vs. Yankees Prediction, MLB Picks for Friday, August 7

The Atlanta Braves and New York Yankees will get a three-game series underway on Friday, August 7, at 7:05 p.m. ET. Ahead of Friday’s first pitch, the Yankees are favored at home with a 1.61x payout to secure a victory on PrizePicks Team Picks.

The Yankees went 2-1 against the Braves last season, with all three games taking place at Truist Park. Atlanta defeated the Miami Marlins 11-3 on Thursday to extend their winning streak to eight games, while New York had an off day.

Below, we'll break down our Braves vs. Yankees prediction and picks for Friday’s MLB contest, including the run line, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Braves vs. Yankees prediction and picks on PrizePicks now!

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Braves vs. Yankees Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Friday, August 7

To get the series underway, Braves SP Tyler Mahle (4.11 xFIP across 94.2 IP) and Yankees SP Max Fried (3.64 xFIP across 75.0 IP) will face each other on the mound.

Across his first 18 starts in 2026, Mahle resides in the 48th percentile in xERA (4.07) and 45th percentile in xBA (.244), per Baseball Savant. Mahle will be making his first start for the Braves since being traded to Atlanta ahead of the trade deadline.

Although Fried doesn’t rack up strikeouts at a high clip, he’s in the 98th percentile in xERA (2.39) and 94th percentile in xBA (.193). Fried has made three starts since returning from the injured list, allowing 8 hits and 4 earned runs and striking out 18 in those outings. 

The Braves have been a solid team at the plate recently, posting the 15th-best wRC+ (92), 9th-best wOBA (.307), and third-best ISO (.185) over the last 14 days, per FanGraphs. On the other hand, the Yankees have sputtered in those two weeks, logging the fourth-worst wRC+ (72), second-worst wOBA (.272), and 15th-worst ISO (.153).

At the moment, Atlanta has the sixth-lowest payout to win the World Series (10x) on PrizePicks Team Picks, while New York has the third-lowest (7.69x).

Braves vs. Yankees Winner Payout, Over/Under – Friday, August 7

The Yankees enter Friday’s game as a home favorite against the Braves, returning a 1.61x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Braves vs. Yankees game on PrizePicks.

Make your Braves vs. Yankees prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 36 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Braves vs. Yankees Prediction on Over/Under – 8/7/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Braves vs. Yankees prediction on the total runs for Friday, August 7.

• Over the last 30 days, the Yankees have the 12th-worst wRC+ (91), 10th-worst wOBA (.299), and third-highest strikeout rate (25.4%) against right-handed pitching.
• Along with Atlanta going 3-7 to the Over in their last 10 games, New York is 4-6 to the Over in their last 10.
• When playing on the road, the Braves have the 14th-worst wRC+ (94) and 15th-worst wOBA (.311).
• Just to compare, Atlanta has the ninth-best wRC+ (109) and sixth-best wOBA (.333) at home.
• In his first three starts and 13.1 IP off the injured list, Fried has earned a 2.44 xFIP, 0.90 WHIP, and 36.0% strikeout rate.
• The Yankees are without two of their best hitters (RF Aaron Judge and LF Cody Bellinger) against righties. Judge has a 147 wRC+, and Bellinger has a 125 wRC+ when facing right-handed pitchers this season.
• As a road underdog in 2026, the Braves have the 11th-lowest hit rate on the Over (50.0%), per TeamRankings.

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Braves vs. Yankees Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 8/7/26

Here are the top Braves vs. Yankees picks to target on Friday, August 7. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Max Fried and Austin Riley.

Yankees SP Max Fried vs. Braves: 1.5 Walks Allowed

• While Fried is in just the 58th percentile in walk rate (7.9%), he’s had 2+ walks in just one of his last four starts.
• The Braves have the third-lowest walk rate (7.1%) against lefties.
• Plus, Atlanta has just the sixth-lowest walk rate on the road (8.0%).
• Fried hasn’t pitched into the sixth inning in his first three starts off the injured list, so he may not pitch deep into Friday’s matchup.

Add Max Fried to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Braves 3B Austin Riley vs. Yankees: 3.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

• Against left-handed pitching, Riley has an 85 wRC+, .297 wOBA, .100 ISO, and 30.9% strikeout rate.
• Additionally, he has a 62 wRC+, .262 wOBA, .120 ISO, and 33.8% strikeout rate on the road.
• Fried owns a 3.64 xFIP, 1.07 WHIP, 0.16 HR/9, and 24.1% K-rate against righties.
• Throughout July, Riley tallied a 93 wRC+, .309 wOBA, .147 ISO, and 37.7% strikeout rate.

Add Austin Riley to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Mahle is making his first start for the Braves, and Fried will square off against his former team on Friday. Taking that into account, runs could be at a premium in Friday’s contest, especially with the Yankees struggling at the plate recently.

Don’t wait until the first pitch happens — make your Braves vs. Yankees picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on MLB game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 36 states.

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