Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, MLB Picks for Wednesday, September 2

September 2, 2026

MLB
AP Photo/Abbie Parr
Braves OF Michael Harris II bats during the first inning against the Twins.

Braves vs. Nationals is set for first pitch at 1:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, September 2, with the Braves having a 1.61x payout if they win, via PrizePicks.

After dropping the opener of this two-game series on Tuesday, the Braves will deploy SP Grant Holmes (9-5, 3.71 ERA) on Wednesday. The Nationals plan to start RP Brad Lord (5-2, 3.75 ERA), who has come out of the bullpen in 29 of his 33 appearances this season. Given that he has not thrown more than 53 pitches in an outing since June, this will likely be a bullpen game for Washington.

Below, we’ll break down our Braves vs. Nationals prediction and picks for Wednesday’s MLB game, including game winner, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

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Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Wednesday, September 2

Scoring hasn’t been a problem for the Nationals this season. With their 9-5 victory on Tuesday, they now rank second in runs scored. They have also hit the second-most home runs, while posting the third-highest wRC+ (106), per FanGraphs.

The pitching staffs are a clear difference between these two teams. The Braves have a 4.05 xERA, while the Nationals have a 4.83 mark in the same category. The Braves sport a 1.25 WHIP and a 22.7% strikeout rate, compared to the Nationals having a 1.39 WHIP and a 20.1% strikeout rate.


Braves vs. Nationals Winner Payout, Over/Under – Wednesday, September 2

The Braves enter Wednesday’s game as a road favorite against the Nationals, returning a 1.61x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Braves vs. Nationals game on PrizePicks Team Picks—where you can make real money predictions on every MLB game!

Win Spread Over/Under
ATL Braves 1.61x -1.5 | 1.96x o9.5 | 2.0x
WAS Nationals 2.22x +1.5 | 1.78x u9.5 | 1.75x
Make your Braves vs. Nationals prediction on the spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks—available in 36 states!

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.


Braves vs. Nationals Prediction on Winner – Wednesday, September 2

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Braves vs. Nationals prediction on the winner for Wednesday, September 2.

  • The Nationals have a better record on the road (34-35) than they do at home (33-39).
  • While their pitching struggles, the Nationals have a modest +23 run differential. The Braves’ run differential is +109.
  • Atlanta has allowed 4 or fewer runs in 11 of its last 15 games.
  • The Braves are 8-4 versus the Nationals this season.
  • Washington’s bullpen has a 4.94 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP. The bullpen has allowed 95 home runs, which is the most in baseball by a wide margin. Atlanta’s bullpen has a 3.43 ERA and 1.21 WHIP, giving up up only 57 home runs.
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Braves vs. Nationals Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 9/2/26

Here are top Braves vs. Nationals picks to target on PrizePicks for Wednesday, September 2. Today's MLB picks for PrizePicks include Matt Olson and Michael Harris II.

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Braves 1B Matt Olson vs. Nationals: 5.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

  • Olson has 37 home runs, putting him on pace to reach at least 40 home runs in a season for the second time in his career.
  • The slugging first baseman has launched 23 of his 37 homers off right-handed pitchers.
  • Olson has a 15.1% barrel rate and a 50.3% hard-hit rate this year. For his career, he has a 13.9% barrel rate and a 50.6% hard-hit rate.
  • The veteran first baseman has 5 home runs and 4 doubles over 12 games against the Nationals.
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Braves OF Michael Harris II vs. Nationals: 1.5 Total Bases

  • Harris is 26 for 80 (.325) with 4 home runs and 8 doubles over his last 21 games.
  • The 25-year-old has a .365 wOBA and a .214 ISO on the road.
  • Harris has already set a new career high with 24 home runs, yet his strikeout rate is still low at 19.9%.
  • Lord does not miss many bats, recording a 20.4% strikeout rate for his career.
  • According to Baseball Savant, Harris touts a .317 xBA and a .367 wOBA against fastballs. Lord throws his four-seam fastball 37.5% of the time, which is more than any of his other pitches.
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Make Braves vs. Nationals Picks on PrizePicks

The Braves will try to split their two-game series versus the Nationals with a win on Tuesday in what could be a high-scoring game. With a bullpen game on tap for the Nationals, Olson and Harris have the potential to remain productive at the plate.

Don’t wait until the first pitch—make your Braves vs. Nationals picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 36 states.

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Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. He specializes in the NBA, NFL, and MLB. He is a two-time finalist for the Fantasy Sports Writers Association Basketball Writer of the Year award and won the 2021-22 FSGA NBA Experts Champions league. In addition to PrizePicks, Mike has written for Sports Illustrated, RotoWire, SportsLine, and more.