The NFL has played games in London for nearly two decades now, but on Saturday at 12 p.m. ET, the second-ever college football game kicks off in the United Kingdom, live on FS1. Arizona State vs. Kansas will begin their 2026 Big 12 seasons at Wembley Stadium in London today in the 2026 Union Jack Classic.
With both teams coming off of losses to SEC opponents, the Arizona State Sun Devils enter as 5.5-point favorites over the Kansas Jayhawks on Saturday, according to PrizePicks. The over/under is set at 51.5 points.
Below, we’ll break down both sides of this London showdown with our Arizona State vs. Kansas prediction and pick against the spread, including payouts from PrizePicks.
Make your Arizona State vs. Kansas college football prediction on PrizePicks now!
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Arizona State vs. Kansas Spread, Over/Under, Favorite for London Game
Arizona State is a 5.5-point favorite vs. Kansas in London ahead of Week 3, with the over/under set at 51.5 points on PrizePicks, with payouts on the under. Both teams failed to cover the spread in Week 2 vs. SEC opponents.
These two teams have only played one game in their history, which Arizona State won, 35-31, on their way to the Big 12 Championship. This game will be played in much different circumstances across the pond in London, especially with a 40-50% chance of precipitation and 15+ mile-per-hour winds at kickoff.
Here are the full payouts for Arizona State vs. Kansas from PrizePicks, including winner payouts, the spread, and over/under.
Make your Arizona State vs. Kansas prediction on the spread on PrizePicks!
PrizePicks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Arizona State vs. Kansas Prediction, Pick Against the Spread for Union Jack Classic
Conveniently, we have a solid data point for comparing these two teams, as both ASU and KU faced superior SEC opponents last week.
Take a glance at the final scores from Week 2, and it may seem like Kansas had the more impressive performance, losing to Missouri, 38-20, while Arizona State lost to Texas A&M, 48-20.
But it’s worth looking a bit deeper. Even on the road, Arizona State hung close with Texas A&M (ranked #8 preseason) late, trailing just 24-20 until a fourth-quarter collapse, which included three turnovers, two of which were pick-sixes. Meanwhile, outside of a few second-quarter explosives, Kansas looked entirely inept vs. Missouri (preseason #25) on both sides.
Arizona State tallied 23 successful plays on offense last week, just one fewer than Texas A&M, according to Game on Paper; meanwhile Kansas had just 18, compared to Mizzou’s 29.
The problems with this matchup for the Jayhawks run deeper than last week’s meager offensive performance. 15 of Arizona State’s 23 successful plays came via the pass, as junior QB Cutter Boley threw for 254 yards and 2 TDs. That was against a Texas A&M defense that ranked 11th in expected points added (EPA) per dropback against in 2025.
Meanwhile, Kansas’ pass defense looked genuinely inept last week; Mizzou QB Austin Simmons carved up the Jayhawks to the tune of 10.1 yards per attempt, totaling 329 yards and 3 TDs.
It seems not much has changed for the Jayhawks’ defense that ranked 118th out of 136 teams in EPA per dropback allowed last season, per Game on Paper.
The Tigers were able to leverage quick three- and five-step dropbacks to get the ball out of Simmons’ hands quickly, leaving the Jayhawks with only a 13.3% pressure rate. It’s easy to see how the Sun Devils could execute a similar game plan this week. Led by junior WR Reed Harris, a 6-foot-4 Boston College transfer who smoked the Aggies for 9-189-2 last week, the Sun Devils’ may have a better wide receiver room than the Tigers.
The Jayhawks did look impressive in their run defense, limiting Mizzou to just 2.4 yards per carry. The front-seven clearly looks like the strength of this team, consistently collapsing gaps — but it may not matter much if there isn’t a competitive secondary behind.
It’s hard to imagine Arizona State will be able to replicate Missouri’s 34% havoc rate it created vs. Kansas on passing plays from last week — including 4 sacks.
That said, the Sun Devils were able to disrupt Texas A&M QB Marcel Reed, who was named to the 2026 Manning Award preseason watchlist, with 2 sacks and -6.4 EPA on passing plays. He finished with just 163 yards on a 60% completion rate. The 163 pass yards for Reed were lower than any game vs. FBS opponent in 2025.
More impressively, they contained Reed on the ground, as well, as he totaled just 17 yards on 7 carries — less than all but three defenses Reed faced in 2025.
On the other side of the ball, Kansas does have the advantage of an additional day of rest, which could become key with the travel across the pond. The Sun Devils will simply need to lean on their veteran secondary to cut out the intermediate throws from Kansas QB Isaiah Marshall.
If they do, the defensive line could cause fits for Marshall, who completed an abysmal 43% of his passes last week. He tacked on 3 turnover-worthy plays, per PFF, and 2 INTs, including this ball that is probably a turnover no less than 80% of the time.
If Marshall doesn’t make serious changes to take better care of the ball, the Sun Devils’ improved secondary will take advantage, and it doesn’t seem likely that Jayhawks' defense will provide much resistance to an ascending Arizona State offense.
The mismatches could compound quickly if Arizona State can also keep Marshall’s rushing upside in check, like they did last week vs. Marcel Reed and the Aggies.
Make your Arizona State vs. Kansas prediction on PrizePicks now — including winner and spread!
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Make Arizona State vs. Kansas Prediction for London Game on PrizePicks
Arizona State and Kansas open up their Big 12 seasons across the pond on Saturday at 12 p.m. ET on FS1. With solid data points in two SEC matchups last week, the Sun Devils showed far more signs of promise in their first test of 2026, especially in the pass game, where the Jayhawks’ defense has looked vulnerable early in the season.
Don’t wait until kickoff from London — make your Kansas vs. Arizona State picks on PrizePicks. Just pick your players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in on your predictions if you’re right.
With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders — now available in 36 states! Combine them with player picks for even higher payouts!
Keep it here with the Playbook for continued college football picks, predictions, futures, and more as we jump into the 2026 season.
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