On Wednesday night, Alexander Zverev vs. Botic van de Zandschulp will round out quarterfinals play at the US Open.
Zverev has continued his strong run at the Grand Slams this year and is now one win away from reaching at least the semifinals in all four. The German captured his first major trophy at the French Open this year and now has a golden opportunity to add a second following Carlos Alcaraz’s upset in the wee hours this morning.
In contrast, Van de Zandschulp has mostly produced an unremarkable 2026 campaign but has battled his way to his second career US Open quarterfinal after surviving back-to-back five-setters. Does the Dutchman have enough left in the tank to give Zverev a fight?
Below, we’ll break down our Alexander Zverev vs. Botic van de Zandschulp prediction, including recent form, match analysis, and a PrizePicks pick. The match is slated to start at approximately 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.
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Alexander Zverev vs. Botic van de Zandschulp Prediction, Favorite for the US Open Quarterfinals
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Alexander Zverev vs. Botic van de Zandschulp Prediction for US Open – Wednesday, September 9
Match Winner Payouts: Zverev 1.09x | Van de Zandschulp 6.25x
Tournament Round: Quarterfinals
2026 Record Entering the US Open: Zverev 46-13 | Van de Zandschulp 21-18
Head-to-Head Record: First Career Meeting
Scheduled Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
How to Watch: ESPN
Alexander Zverev got off to a sluggish start in the early rounds, grinding through five-setters against Lorenzo Sonego and Quentin Halys, two players ranked outside the top 50. Given he won just two matches between the Canadian Open and Cincinnati Open ahead of the US Open, it was a worrying sign that Zverev might not be long for this tournament.
Instead, he’s seemingly righted the ship with straight-set wins in his last two matches, defeating Alejandro Tabilo 6-2, 7-6(2), 6-2 and Luciano Darderi 6-2, 6-2, 7-6(3).
On paper, this is a favorable quarterfinal matchup for the German, facing an unseeded player who’s put on a lot of mileage over the last two rounds.
Botic van de Zandschulp’s path has been the reverse of Zverev’s, with two straight-set wins followed by a pair of grueling five-setters.
Early on, Van de Zandschulp produced a statement win in the second round by upsetting world No. 7 Alex de Minaur without dropping a set. However, he boarded a rollercoaster after that, going the distance in wins against Zizou Bergs 3-6, 7-6(3), 4-6, 7-6(6), 6-3 and then lucky loser Arthur Gea 3-6, 6-7(0), 7-6 (7), 7-6(3), 6-4.
Over his last two matches, the Dutchman has spent nine hours and 42 minutes on court. Under the circumstances, it’s fair to wonder how much physical and mental energy Van de Zandschulp will have left against his heavily favored opponent.
Even on a fair playing field, Tennis Abstract’s Elo ratings show a wide gap between the two on hard courts, as Zverev rates third while Van de Zandschulp is 53rd. The model projects the German to win 89.0% of the time.
The Dutchman has shown plenty of fight in his run to the quarters, and he could still be a challenge for Zverev, who’s had an up-and-down tournament. However, it may require another marathon for Van de Zandschulp to realistically overcome the world No. 2.
Make your Zverev vs. Van de Zandschulp US Open prediction on PrizePicks now!
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Alexander Zverev vs. Botic van de Zandschulp Pick for the US Open on Wednesday
Despite Van de Zandschulp coming in ranked just No. 70 and lacking any career titles, he’s come close to cracking the top 20 before and has proven he can give elite players problems. Most notably, the Dutchman upset Carlos Alcaraz at the 2024 US Open and Novak Djokovic at 2025 Indian Wells.
Van de Zandschulp had a solid summer ahead of the US Open, going 6-3 across three hard-court events with a top-10 win over Daniil Medvedev.
Zverev’s US Open matches have logged 54, 55, 29, and 29 total games. Van de Zandschulp’s matches here have reached 29, 30, 54, and 58 total games.
Against opponents ranked outside the top 50 this year, Zverev has dropped at least one set and/or gone to a tiebreak in six of nine matches on hard courts.
Per Tennis Data Innovations, Van de Zandschulp's return shot quality and forehand shot quality both rank inside the top 30 over the last 52 weeks.
Zverev vs. Van de Zandschulp Pick – 33.5 Total Games
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Botis van de Zandschulp comes into this match as a sizable underdog, but Alexander Zverev has looked shaky at times during his tournament run. Which one will get through to the semifinals?
Don’t wait until Wednesday’s matches start — make your US Open predictions on PrizePicks now.
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