Alabama and Oklahoma, SEC rivals for the past two years, kick off the second-ever College Football 12-team playoff with a Friday night meeting in Norman, OK.
The Crimson Tide finished tied with Georgia, Ole Miss, and Texas A&M at 7-1 in SEC play before losing to the Georgia Bulldogs in the SEC title game and earning the nine seed in the playoff.
Oklahoma finished 6-2 during its second year in the SEC, falling to Texas and Ole Miss before finishing the season with wins over Tennessee, Alabama, Missouri, and LSU to earn the eight-seed in the CFP.
The Alabama-Oklahoma first round CFP game kicks off Friday at 8:00 p.m. ET on ESPN and ABC. The winner moves on to play top-ranked and undefeated Indiana in the Rose Bowl on January 1.
Below, we'll break down our Alabama-Oklahoma prediction and College Football first round picks, including the top player picks on PrizePicks real money CFB game, including Alabama QB Ty Simpson, Oklahoma QB John Mateer, and WR Isaiah Sategna.
Alabama vs. Oklahoma Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
- The Tide and Sooners meet for the second time this season, with the Sooners prevailing 23-21 in Tuscaloosa on Nov. 13.
- The Sooners also won the first SEC matchup between the two schools last season in Norman.
- Overall, the teams have met eight previous times, with Oklahoma winning five, Alabama two, with one tie.
- The teams met in four bowl games, including the 2018 College Football National Semifinal at the Orange Bowl (won by Alabama) with Bama holding a 2-1-1 record.
Alabama vs. Oklahoma Over/Under, Spread
The ninth-ranked Tide enter the first round CFP game as 2.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.81x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win.
The eighth-ranked Sooners are the home underdog, with a 1.88x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Alabama -2.5
- Total: 40.5
- Game Winner Payout: Alabama 1.81x | Oklahoma 1.88x
Alabama vs. Oklahoma Prediction on Spread
Alabama is the road favorite by 1.5 points, the smallest spread of any of the four CFP quarterfinal games and tied for the smallest spread of the entire bowl season.
- Alabama is 8-4-1 covering the spread this season, but only 1-2-1 against the spread as a road favorite as they currently are. The lone cover was by a half-point in a 7-point win at Auburn.
- The Tide were favorites in 11 of their 13 games this season, going 7-3-1 against the spread, including losing outright to FSU and Oklahoma.
- Oklahoma is 6-5-1 covering the spread this season and will be a home underdog for the first time since upsetting Alabama at home last season.
- The Sooners have been the listed underdog three previous times this season, all away from home. They lost by 17 to Texas in a neutral side game and won outright at Tennessee and at Alabama.
- Alabama is 39th in the nation in scoring offense, averaging 39.2 PPG and 67th in total yards at 389.4 per game.
- Bama will go up against a Sooners’ defense that is seventh in scoring, holding opponents to 13.9 PPG. They also rank ninth in total defense, allowing 273.6 yards per game. Both lead the SEC.
- The Tide D is right behind Oklahoma’s, ranking 12th in both scoring defense (17.4 PPG) and total yards (283.3).
- However, Oklahoma’s offense ranks 77th in scoring (26.4 PPG) and 88th in total offense (353.7 yards per game).
Alabama vs. Oklahoma Picks for PrizePicks
Here are three Alabama vs. Oklahoma player picks for the first round College Football Playoff game for PrizePicks real money CFB game, including Alabama QB Ty Simpson, Oklahoma QB John Mateer, and WR Isaiah Sategna
Pick More or Less on these projections on PrizePicks — plus thousands more —to win real money this CFB season.
Alabama QB Ty Simpson Projection vs. Oklahoma: 240.5 Passing Yards
- After throwing for 240+ yards in eight of the first 10 games of the season, Alabama QB Ty Simpson has failed to reach 240 in the last three.
- Simpson started the season with eight straight multi-TD passing games. The next five, he totaled 6 passing TDs, including three vs. Auburn.
- The junior has 5 INT on the season, second-fewest of any starting QB in the SEC. However, 4 of those 5 INTs have come in the last four games.
- In the November 15 meeting vs. Oklahoma, Simpson threw for 326 yards with 1 TD and 1 INT. He was also sacked 4 times.
Oklahoma QB John Mateer Projection vs. Alabama: 200.5 Passing Yards
- Sooners QB John Mateer exploded onto the scene in Oklahoma’s win over Michigan, throwing for 270 yards and a TD, while running for 74 yards and 2 more TDs. Following that game, he was listed in the top 3 of the Heisman race.
- In his first four games of the season, Mateer threw for 270+ yards in all five games, with 6 TDs and 3 INTs. After suffering a hand injury, Mateer has thrown for 194.7 yards per game with 6 passing TD and 7 INTs over seven games.
- Mateer is a dual-threat QB, rushing for 20+ yards in 10 of 11 games this season and has scored on the ground 7 times, while getting 10+ carries in seven games.
- Mateer’s 128.4 passer rating is ranked 89th among FBS QBs and 14th among 16 qualified SEC QBs.
Oklahoma WR Isaiah Sategna projection vs. Alabama: 67.5 Receiving Yards
- Oklahoma WR Isaiah Sategna has recorded 65+ receiving yards in eight of 12 games this season, including four of the past six games.
- In Sategna’s last two games, he recorded 121 and 109 yards, two of his four 100-yard games this season.
- When facing Alabama on Nov. 15, Sategna was held to 4 catches and 26 yards, his second-lowest output of the season.
- Sategna’s 65 receptions and 948 yards rank second in the SEC this season, while his 6 TDs are fourth.
Make Alabama vs. Oklahoma Predictions on PrizePicks
Will Alabama prove to all the doubters that they belong in the CFP? Or will Oklahoma accomplish the rare feat of beating Alabama twice in one season? The winner heads to the Rose Bowl to face top-ranked Indiana on New Year’s Day. The Alabama-Oklahoma first round CFP game kicks off Friday at 8:00 p.m. ET on ESPN and ABC.
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Stay locked in on Playbook all the way through the College Football Playoff with CFB predictions, picks, and news.
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