Alabama vs. Indiana Spread Prediction for Rose Bowl: Hoosiers to Roll Tide?

Indiana Hoosiers QB Fernando Mendoza warms up before a game against Washington.
AP Photo/Darron Cummings

Alabama and Indiana, two schools with vastly different football pedigrees, meet in the Rose Bowl on Thursday in Pasadena, CA. The College Football Playoff clash kicks off at 4:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Alabama (11-3) knocked off Oklahoma, 34-24, in the first round. The Tide are no strangers to the CFP, making their record ninth appearance in the event's 12-year history. They have three national titles and three runner-up finishes during this time. 

Indiana (13-0) is the lone unbeaten team left in FBS after winning their first outright conference title since 1945. The Hoosiers have never won a New Year’s Six game and have no bowl victories since 1991.

Below, we'll break down our Alabama vs. Indiana spread prediction for the Rose Bowl. Use PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real-money rewards on predictions for the CFP.

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Alabama vs. Indiana Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

The Crimson Tide and Hoosiers meet for the first time in their history of the two programs as Indiana returns to the Rose Bowl for the first time since 1968. Alabama is playing in its eighth Rose Bowl, losing in the semifinals two years ago to Michigan. 

Alabama vs. Indiana Over/Under, Spread

Alabama is the underdog, returning a 2.85x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Indiana enters the Rose Bowl as 7.5-point favorites, returning a 1.38x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

  • Spread: Indiana Hoosiers -7.5
  • Over/Under: 48.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Crimson Tide 2.85x | Hoosiers 1.38x

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.

Alabama vs. Indiana Prediction on Spread for Rose Bowl

Let's take a closer look at a spread pick for the Rose Bowl between Alabama and Indiana.

  • Alabama is 9-4-1 covering the spread this season. The 69.2% mark is tied for 12th in the nation. 
  • The Tide are an underdog for the third straight game and fourth time this year after being an underdog five total times from 2016-24.
  • Alabama is 33rd in the nation in scoring offense, averaging 31.4 PPG, and 74th in total yards at 380.1 per game. 
  • The Tide’s defense is 13th in both scoring defense (17.9 PPG) and total yards (288.9) per outing.
  • Indiana is 8-5 against the spread this season, going 6-5 ATS as a favorite. 
  • The Hoosiers have been a favorite in 11 of 13 games and won both games as an underdog, beating Oregon and Ohio State. 
  • The Big Ten champs have been led by their defense, which is second in scoring, holding opponents to 10.9 PPG. They're also fourth in total defense at 257.2 YPG.
  • IU's rush defense yields just 77.6 yards per game, third-best in the country entering the Rose Bowl.
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Make #9 Alabama vs. #1 Indiana Picks on PrizePicks

Can Alabama continue to justify the CFP committee's decision to include them in the playoff, or will Indiana’s undefeated season continue? On PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks, you can make predictions for the Rose Bowl and more.

Just pick your players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in on your predictions if you're right. Or, make your picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 30 states.

Stay locked in on Playbook for more CFB predictions, picks, and news.


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about the author

David Bearman spent 18 years with ESPN in their Stats & Information Department and overseeing their betting content. From 2023-25, he served as Chief Content Officer of Pro Football Network, overseeing all content, including coverage of Super Bowls 58 and 59. He is also the Founder of Betting with Bearman, a 3x a week betting newsletter and weekly podcast on Bleav Podcast Network.

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