5 Most Likely Players to be Traded at MLB Trade Deadline

August 2, 2026

MLB
AP Photo/Karen Warren
Orioles C Adley Rutschman in an at-bat against Peter Lambert vs. the Astros.

The 2026 MLB trade deadline is scheduled for Monday, August 3, at 6:00 p.m. ET. There are countless players across the league who have been mentioned in trade rumors, but some are more likely than others to be dealt to a new team.

RP Mason Miller, SS Jeremy Pena, SS Zach Neto, and SP George Kirby are among the biggest names to be discussed in potential trade talks following the trade of SP Tarik Skubal to the Los Angeles Dodgers. However, which players are expected to be playing elsewhere in the coming days?

Using PrizePicks’ trade projections, let’s discuss the five most likely players to be traded at the MLB trade deadline.

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5 Most Likely Players Moved at MLB Trade Deadline

Here are the players who are most likely to be traded on PrizePicks Team Picks before the 2026 MLB trade deadline concludes.

First Round
Winner Payouts

Player Traded Yes No
Luis Arraez 1.03x 9.09x
Jo Adell 1.63x 1.96x
Adley Rutschman 2.7x 1.28x
Matt Chapman 2.77x 1.23x
Jarren Duran 3.22x 1.31x

Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.


2B Luis Arraez, San Francisco Giants

Although 2B Luis Arraez isn’t an overly exciting hitter from a homer standpoint, he excels at getting on base and batting for average. Across his first 459 plate appearances in 2026, he owns a 122 wRC+, .349 wOBA, and 3.8 WAR, giving him a 122 wRC+ or better in three of his last five seasons, per FanGraphs.

Ahead of the trade deadline, the San Francisco Giants hold a 47-64 record, so their chances of making the playoffs are extremely slim. Trading a 29-year-old infielder who doesn’t hit for power seems like a no-brainer for the Giants.

On Saturday, Arraez was scratched from the lineup due to “cramping,” but he’s been mentioned in trade talks recently.

Teams to Watch: Rays, Yankees, Nationals, Diamondbacks, Guardians


RF Jo Adell, Los Angeles Angels

RF Jo Adell put together a breakout campaign in 2025 with the Los Angeles Angels, producing a career-best 37 HRs in 573 plate appearances. Adell has seen his long-ball production take a dip in 2026, as he’s tallied 16 HRs in 453 plate appearances.

While Adell has lowered his strikeout rate to 23.4% after it was 26.4% in 2025, his barrel rate has fallen to 8.7% from 17.3%, and he’s in just the fifth percentile in squared-up rate (18.2%), per Baseball Savant.

Even though Adell is still 27 years old, the Los Angeles Angels own the worst record (42-69) in the league entering the trade deadline.

Teams to Watch: Yankees, Phillies, Rays, Guardians, Braves

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3B Matt Chapman, San Francisco Giants

Another member of the Giants who could be traded before the trade deadline ends is 3B Matt Chapman. Chapman has shown signs of decline in the power and bat-speed departments, but he’s still a phenomenal defender, and some tweaks to his swing could help him in the latter stages of his career.

In addition to dealing with injuries this season, Chapman has posted just a 95 wRC+, .308 wOBA, and 1.3 WAR across 352 plate appearances. The 95 wRC+ and .308 wOBA would be career-worst marks for Chapman.

Whichever team trades for Chapman is doing so to improve their infield defense, with the hopes they can make some adjustments to his swing to be a reliable hitter again.

Teams to Watch: Nationals, Brewers, Cardinals, Phillies, Marlins


C Adley Rutschman, Baltimore Orioles

After being limited to 365 plate appearances and finishing with only 9 HRs in 2025, C Adley Rutschman has totaled only 8 HRs in 284 plate appearances in 2026. As a former No. 1 overall pick, Rutschman has yet to prove he’s a cornerstone player for the Baltimore Orioles, and he’s now 28 years old.

While the Baltimore Orioles are just outside the AL Wild Card picture, it may be best for both sides to prioritize a change of scenery. There are teams out there who would certainly be intrigued by a switch-hitting catcher who has shown upside before.

There are still positives in Rutschman’s profile, but it remains to be seen if the Orioles are fully prepared to move on from him.

Teams to Watch: Phillies, Rangers, Reds, Padres, Braves


LF Jarren Duran, Boston Red Sox

It seems like forever ago when LF Jarren Duran compiled a 20-HR and 30-SB season for the Boston Red Sox in 2024. Since then, Duran has seen a rapid decline in production, and he’s at only 13 HRs and 15 SBs in 437 plate appearances in 2026.

Moreover, Duran ranks in the 12th percentile in strikeout rate (28.8%), 15th percentile in xwOBA (.293), 21st percentile in xBA (.231), and 28th percentile in xSLG (.372).

Any team acquiring Duran would trade for him with the idea of recapturing some of his magic in 2024 and hoping they can improve his power with adjustments to his swing and approach.

Teams to Watch: Phillies, Braves, Mets, Padres, Cardinals

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Make MLB Trade Deadline Picks on PrizePicks

The 2026 MLB trade deadline is nearing a close, and teams that have their sights on a World Series title are seeking boosts to their rosters. Which players are most likely to be traded at the deadline on PrizePicks?

Don’t wait until the trade deadline concludes — make your MLB trade deadline picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 36 states.

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Skyler Carlin is an experienced writer with nearly 10 years of experience writing and editing NFL, NBA, MLB, CFB, CBB, & soccer content for FanDuel Research & USA Today. When he's not writing, he enjoys cooking, watching movies, & playing video games.