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2026 NBA 3-Point Contest Picks, Predictions, Preview: Jamal Murray Show?

Denver Nuggets PG Jamal Murray drives during a game against the Utah Jazz.
AP Photo/David Zalubowski

The best day of NBA All-Star Weekend festivities is upon us, kicking off with the NBA 3-Point Contest at 5:00 p.m. ET on NBC and Peacock.

Similar to years past, there will be an eight-player field shooting 27 balls over 70 seconds across five racks. Four 1-point balls and one 2-point “Money Ball” populate each rack, along with two 3-point "Starry Balls" overall. Each player selects one rack to be all Money Balls. The top three scorers advance to the final round. 

Below, we'll break down the 2026 3-Point Contest with picks, predictions, and a preview, including one longshot selection for PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks.

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2026 NBA 3-Point Contest Preview, Picks, Predictions

Eight players make up the 2026 NBA 3-Point Contest field.

Eastern Conference participants include Charlotte Hornets rookie G-F Kon Knueppel, Cleveland Cavaliers SG Donovan Mitchell, Philadelphia 76ers PG Tyrese Maxey, Miami Heat SG Norman Powell, and Milwaukee Bucks F Bobby Portis. 

As far as the Western Conference is concerned, Portland Trail Blazers PG Damian Lillard will participate despite being out for the season as he recovers from a torn Achilles. Elsewhere, Phoenix Suns SG Devin Booker and Denver Nuggets PG Jamal Murray will play in the event.

State Farm 3-Point Contest Winner Payouts

With PrizePicks Team Picks, you can make predictions on who will win Saturday’s State Farm 3-Point Contest. Below are the payouts for each participant.  

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.

  • Kon Knueppel: 1.2x No | 3.57x Yes
  • Damian Lillard: 1.17x No | 5x Yes
  • Jamal Murray: 1.07x No | 6.25x Yes
  • Devin Booker: 1.09x No | 6.66x Yes
  • Tyrese Maxey: 1.08x No | 6.66x Yes
  • Donovan Mitchell: 1.09x No | 7.14x Yes
  • Norman Powell: 1.06x No | 8.33x Yes
  • Bobby Portis: 1.02x No | 11.11x Yes

State Farm 3-Point Contest Picks for PrizePicks

Here are three players to consider for the 3-Point Contest on Saturday, February 14, on PrizePicks Team Picks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by G-F Kon Knueppel, PG Jamal Murray, and F Bobby Portis.

Charlotte Hornets G-F Kon Knueppel

In a field littered with some of the best shooters in the world, including two former contest champions (Lillard and Booker), Knueppel may stand above the rest as the best. It’s hard to put into words how impressive that is for a rookie, so we’ll let the stats do the talking.

Knueppel is second in the NBA in 3-pointers made (183) and is on pace to obliterate the rookie regular-season record. He ranks second among all participants in percentage (43.1%) behind only Portis, but he's attempted 226 more trey-balls than Portis.

The first-year man will make history if he intends to win this contest, however, as no rookie has ever done it. Knueppel is talented enough to solidify a record-breaking season with some hardware tonight.

Picking Kon Knueppel to win the NBA 3-Point Contest pays out 3.57x on PrizePicks Team Picks if you're right — or $357 on a $100 entry.

Denver Nuggets PG Jamal Murray Projection: RD1 - 5.5 Money Balls Made

Murray to make More than 5.5 Money Balls (9 attempts) could appeal to anyone who has watched him play in pressure moments. He is a bright-lights merchant who plays his best ball when the most eyes are watching.

Murray is averaging 25.7 points per game, by far the most of his career. He's doing it on impressive efficiency from deep, shooting 42.5%, the third-best 3-point percentage of all participants. Additionally, he ranks second in catch-and-shoot 3-point percentage (43.2%), a split that best mimics the style of shot this contest requires.

Picking Jamal Murray to win the NBA 3-Point Contest pays out 6.25x on PrizePicks Team Picks if you're right — or $625 on a $100 entry.

Milwaukee Bucks F Bobby Portis

It’s pretty rare that the highest payout to win also happens to have the best 3-point splits of all participants.

Portis leads all contestants in percentage at 45%. While his volume might not be on the level of the guards around him, he's also playing by far the fewest minutes of all participants yet still averaging a healthy 4.2 attempts per game. He also ranks first among participants in catch-and-shoot 3-point clip at a ridiculous 45.4%.

The 6-foot-9 forward looks to become just the fourth ever big man to win this event, joining Karl-Anthony Towns (2022), Kevin Love (2012), and Dirk Nowitzki (2006).

Picking Bobby Portis to win the NBA 3-Point Contest pays out 11.11x on PrizePicks Team Picks if you're right — or $1,111 on a $100 entry.

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Make NBA All-Star Weekend Picks on PrizePicks

With NBA All-Star Weekend arriving, basketball fans can make predictions on several events and earn real-money rewards if they’re right.  

Make your hoops picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks. Just pick players and predict More or Less on their projected stats. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners (event or game), spreads, and over/unders, and more — now available in 34 states!

Keep it locked in here with the Playbook for continued NBA news, analysis, and picks.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Adi Narang is a professional sports bettor and New York University graduate in Sports Management. A lifelong Denver sports fan, he’s spent over a decade applying data-driven analysis to trends, pricing, and game-level predictions. He’s always up for a sports conversation — from a Nikola Jokić GOAT debate to Korean Baseball batting orders.

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